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Match Events
22'
⚽Chonjo B.
Assifuah E.⚽
86'
22'
⚽
Chonjo B.
Police FC
86'
⚽
Assifuah E.
Mahia
AI Prediction
Top Pick50%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 50%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 2:1.
Correct Score2:1
Win Probabilities
Mahia60%
Draw17.5%
Police FC22.5%
Match Analysis
Mahia enters this match as the clear favorite with a 60% chance of securing a win. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Mahia's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Mahia
VS
Police FC
Mahia
VS
Police FC
0.75
Goals Scored
1.13
0.75
Goals Scored
1.13
0.38
Goals Conceded
0.25
0.38
Goals Conceded
0.25
0.56
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
0.56
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
25%
Over 1.5
38%
25%
Over 1.5
38%
13%
Over 2.5
25%
13%
Over 2.5
25%
13%
Over 3.5
0%
13%
Over 3.5
0%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10.05.26 | MahiavsPolice FC | 1:1 |
| 09.11.25 | Police FCvsMahia | 0:2 |
| 22.06.25 | MahiavsPolice FC | 1:1 |
| 14.12.24 | Police FCvsMahia | 1:0 |
| 03.02.24 | Police FCvsMahia | 3:1 |
Mahia Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31.05.26 | MahiavsNairobi United | 0:1L |
| 27.05.26 | Mara SugarvsMahia | 0:0D |
| 17.05.26 | MurangavsMahia | 1:3W |
| 10.05.26 | MahiavsPolice FC | 1:1D |
| 03.05.26 | Kakamega HomeboyzvsMahia | 0:1W |
Police FC Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14.06.26 | TuskervsPolice FC | 2:1L |
| 31.05.26 | Police FCvsKakamega Homeboyz | 1:1D |
| 27.05.26 | Police FCvsKariobangi Sharks | 1:1D |
| 24.05.26 | Nairobi UnitedvsPolice FC | 0:0D |
| 16.05.26 | Police FCvsBandari | 1:0W |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 50:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Leopards | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 44:28 | 64 |
| 3 | Police FC | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 31:21 | 55 |
| 4 | Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Shabana | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:34 | 52 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 47:37 | 49 |
| 7 | KCB | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 36:37 | 48 |
| 8 | Muranga | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27:32 | 45 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:35 | 44 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30:30 | 44 |
| 12 | Bandari | 34 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 26:26 | 44 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:37 | 41 |
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31:35 | 41 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:40 | 40 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 19:40 | 27 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 19:51 | 19 |