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Kenya•Premier League 2025/2026
Saturday, Feb 28, 2026, 13:00Feb 28, 13:00
LLLLW
WLWLD
Match Events
Assifuah E.⚽
67'
82'
⚽Okoth D.
Morrison E.•
87'
67'
⚽
Assifuah E.
Mahia
82'
⚽
Okoth D.
Mathare United
87'
•
Morrison E.
Mahia
AI Prediction
Top Pick50%
Away Win (2)
AI prediction points: 50%. Pick: Away Win (2). Correct Score: 0:1.
Correct Score0:1
Win Probabilities
Mahia22.5%
Draw17.5%
Mathare United60%
Match Analysis
Mathare United is heavily favored to take the points, backed by a 60% win probability. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Away Win (2), predicting a likely scoreline of 0:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Mahia's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Mahia
VS
Mathare United
Mahia
VS
Mathare United
1.25
Goals Scored
0.33
1.25
Goals Scored
0.33
1
Goals Conceded
0.33
1
Goals Conceded
0.33
0.90
Expected Goals (xG)
0.46
0.90
Expected Goals (xG)
0.46
50%
Over 1.5
17%
50%
Over 1.5
17%
50%
Over 2.5
17%
50%
Over 2.5
17%
25%
Over 3.5
0%
25%
Over 3.5
0%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 28.02.26 | MahiavsMathare United | 2:1 |
| 30.10.25 | Mathare UnitedvsMahia | 0:2 |
| 08.02.25 | Mathare UnitedvsMahia | 1:2 |
| 28.09.24 | MahiavsMathare United | 4:0 |
| 03.05.23 | MahiavsMathare United | 2:1 |
Mahia Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13.09.26 | PyramidsvsMahia | 5:1L |
| 06.09.26 | MahiavsPyramids | 0:2L |
| 23.08.26 | MahiavsTusker | 1:3L |
| 07.08.26 | Rayon SportvsMahia | 2:1L |
| 04.08.26 | MahiavsAl-Hilal Omdurman | 2:1W |
Mathare United Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31.05.26 | Mathare UnitedvsBandari | 1:0W |
| 23.05.26 | Ulinzi StarsvsMathare United | 2:1L |
| 16.05.26 | Mara SugarvsMathare United | 0:1W |
| 10.05.26 | Mathare UnitedvsAPS Bomet | 0:2L |
| 02.05.26 | SofapakavsMathare United | 2:2D |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 50:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Leopards | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 44:28 | 64 |
| 3 | Police FC | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 31:21 | 55 |
| 4 | Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Shabana | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:34 | 52 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 47:37 | 49 |
| 7 | KCB | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 36:37 | 48 |
| 8 | Muranga | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27:32 | 45 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:35 | 44 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30:30 | 44 |
| 12 | Bandari | 34 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 26:26 | 44 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:37 | 41 |
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31:35 | 41 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:40 | 40 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 19:40 | 27 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 19:51 | 19 |