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Kenya•Premier League
Saturday, Feb 28, 2026, 13:00Feb 28, 13:00
WWLWL
WLWLD
Match Events
Assifuah E.⚽
67'
82'
⚽Okoth D.
Morrison E.•
87'
67'
⚽
Assifuah E.
Mahia
82'
⚽
Okoth D.
Mathare United
87'
•
Morrison E.
Mahia
AI Prediction
Top Pick90%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 90%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 1:0.
Correct Score1:0
Win Probabilities
Mahia68%
Draw15.5%
Mathare United16.5%
Match Analysis
Mahia enters this match as the clear favorite with a 68% chance of securing a win. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:0. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Mahia's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Mahia
VS
Mathare United
Mahia
VS
Mathare United
0.75
Goals Scored
1.29
0.75
Goals Scored
1.29
0.5
Goals Conceded
1.14
0.5
Goals Conceded
1.14
0.81
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
0.81
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
25%
Over 1.5
71%
25%
Over 1.5
71%
13%
Over 2.5
57%
13%
Over 2.5
57%
13%
Over 3.5
14%
13%
Over 3.5
14%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 28.02.26 | MahiavsMathare United | 2:1 |
| 30.10.25 | Mathare UnitedvsMahia | 0:2 |
| 08.02.25 | Mathare UnitedvsMahia | 1:2 |
| 28.09.24 | MahiavsMathare United | 4:0 |
| 03.05.23 | MahiavsMathare United | 2:1 |
Mahia Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 04.08.26 | MahiavsAl-Hilal Omdurman | 2:1W |
| 30.07.26 | MahiavsGarde Republicaine | 1:0W |
| 27.07.26 | MahiavsVipers | 0:1L |
| 24.07.26 | APRvsMahia | 0:5W |
| 31.05.26 | MahiavsNairobi United | 0:1L |
Mathare United Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31.05.26 | Mathare UnitedvsBandari | 1:0W |
| 23.05.26 | Ulinzi StarsvsMathare United | 2:1L |
| 16.05.26 | Mara SugarvsMathare United | 0:1W |
| 10.05.26 | Mathare UnitedvsAPS Bomet | 0:2L |
| 02.05.26 | SofapakavsMathare United | 2:2D |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 50:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Leopards | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 44:28 | 64 |
| 3 | Police FC | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 31:21 | 55 |
| 4 | Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Shabana | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:34 | 52 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 47:37 | 49 |
| 7 | KCB | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 36:37 | 48 |
| 8 | Muranga | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27:32 | 45 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:35 | 44 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30:30 | 44 |
| 12 | Bandari | 34 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 26:26 | 44 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:37 | 41 |
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31:35 | 41 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:40 | 40 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 19:40 | 27 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 19:51 | 19 |