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Kenya•Premier League
Saturday, Feb 28, 2026, 13:00Feb 28, 13:00
LDWDW
WLWLD
Match Events
Assifuah E.⚽
67'
82'
⚽Okoth D.
Morrison E.•
87'
67'
⚽
Assifuah E.
Mahia
82'
⚽
Okoth D.
Mathare United
87'
•
Morrison E.
Mahia
AI Prediction
Top Pick70%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 70%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 1:0.
Correct Score1:0
Win Probabilities
Mahia64%
Draw16.5%
Mathare United19.5%
Match Analysis
Mahia enters this match as the clear favorite with a 64% chance of securing a win. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:0. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Mahia's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Mahia
VS
Mathare United
Mahia
VS
Mathare United
1
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Scored
1
0.5
Goals Conceded
1.25
0.5
Goals Conceded
1.25
1.00
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
1.00
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
38%
Over 1.5
75%
38%
Over 1.5
75%
25%
Over 2.5
50%
25%
Over 2.5
50%
13%
Over 3.5
13%
13%
Over 3.5
13%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 28.02.26 | MahiavsMathare United | 2:1 |
| 30.10.25 | Mathare UnitedvsMahia | 0:2 |
| 08.02.25 | Mathare UnitedvsMahia | 1:2 |
| 28.09.24 | MahiavsMathare United | 4:0 |
| 03.05.23 | MahiavsMathare United | 2:1 |
Mahia Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31.05.26 | MahiavsNairobi United | 0:1L |
| 27.05.26 | Mara SugarvsMahia | 0:0D |
| 17.05.26 | MurangavsMahia | 1:3W |
| 10.05.26 | MahiavsPolice FC | 1:1D |
| 03.05.26 | Kakamega HomeboyzvsMahia | 0:1W |
Mathare United Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31.05.26 | Mathare UnitedvsBandari | 1:0W |
| 23.05.26 | Ulinzi StarsvsMathare United | 2:1L |
| 16.05.26 | Mara SugarvsMathare United | 0:1W |
| 10.05.26 | Mathare UnitedvsAPS Bomet | 0:2L |
| 02.05.26 | SofapakavsMathare United | 2:2D |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 50:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Leopards | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 44:28 | 64 |
| 3 | Police FC | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 31:21 | 55 |
| 4 | Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Shabana | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:34 | 52 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 47:37 | 49 |
| 7 | KCB | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 36:37 | 48 |
| 8 | Muranga | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27:32 | 45 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:35 | 44 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30:30 | 44 |
| 12 | Bandari | 34 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 26:26 | 44 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:37 | 41 |
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31:35 | 41 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:40 | 40 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 19:40 | 27 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 19:51 | 19 |