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Kenya•Premier League 2025/2026
Sunday, Jan 18, 2026, 13:00Jan 18, 13:00
LLWWL
LDLWL
Match Events
Oluoch F.⚽
15'
Musa S.⚽
30'
Kappen S.⚽
85'
15'
⚽
Oluoch F.
Mahia
30'
⚽
Musa S.
Mahia
85'
⚽
Kappen S.
Mahia
AI Prediction
Top Pick20%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 20%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 0:0.
Correct Score0:0
Win Probabilities
Mahia28%
Draw44%
Mara Sugar28%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Premier League 2025/2026 is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Mahia (28%) and Mara Sugar (28%). Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 0:0. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Mahia's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Mahia
VS
Mara Sugar
Mahia
VS
Mara Sugar
1.38
Goals Scored
0.57
1.38
Goals Scored
0.57
0.38
Goals Conceded
0.71
0.38
Goals Conceded
0.71
1.10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.42
1.10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.42
38%
Over 1.5
29%
38%
Over 1.5
29%
25%
Over 2.5
29%
25%
Over 2.5
29%
25%
Over 3.5
0%
25%
Over 3.5
0%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 27.05.26 | Mara SugarvsMahia | 0:0 |
| 18.01.26 | MahiavsMara Sugar | 3:0 |
| 27.04.25 | MahiavsMara Sugar | 4:0 |
| 30.11.24 | Mara SugarvsMahia | 0:2 |
Mahia Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23.08.26 | MahiavsTusker | 1:3L |
| 07.08.26 | Rayon SportvsMahia | 2:1L |
| 04.08.26 | MahiavsAl-Hilal Omdurman | 2:1W |
| 30.07.26 | MahiavsGarde Republicaine | 1:0W |
| 27.07.26 | MahiavsVipers | 0:1L |
Mara Sugar Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31.05.26 | MurangavsMara Sugar | 2:1L |
| 27.05.26 | Mara SugarvsMahia | 0:0D |
| 16.05.26 | Mara SugarvsMathare United | 0:1L |
| 13.05.26 | Mara SugarvsShabana | 1:0W |
| 09.05.26 | LeopardsvsMara Sugar | 2:1L |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 50:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Leopards | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 44:28 | 64 |
| 3 | Police FC | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 31:21 | 55 |
| 4 | Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Shabana | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:34 | 52 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 47:37 | 49 |
| 7 | KCB | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 36:37 | 48 |
| 8 | Muranga | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27:32 | 45 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:35 | 44 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30:30 | 44 |
| 12 | Bandari | 34 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 26:26 | 44 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:37 | 41 |
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31:35 | 41 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:40 | 40 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 19:40 | 27 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 19:51 | 19 |