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Match Events
Oluoch F.⚽
15'
Musa S.⚽
30'
Kappen S.⚽
85'
15'
⚽
Oluoch F.
Mahia
30'
⚽
Musa S.
Mahia
85'
⚽
Kappen S.
Mahia
AI Prediction
Top Pick80%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 80%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 1:0.
Correct Score1:0
Win Probabilities
Mahia66%
Draw16%
Mara Sugar18%
Match Analysis
Mahia enters this match as the clear favorite with a 66% chance of securing a win. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:0. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Mahia's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Mahia
VS
Mara Sugar
Mahia
VS
Mara Sugar
0.75
Goals Scored
0.75
0.75
Goals Scored
0.75
0.5
Goals Conceded
0.63
0.5
Goals Conceded
0.63
0.66
Expected Goals (xG)
0.55
0.66
Expected Goals (xG)
0.55
25%
Over 1.5
25%
25%
Over 1.5
25%
13%
Over 2.5
25%
13%
Over 2.5
25%
13%
Over 3.5
0%
13%
Over 3.5
0%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 27.05.26 | Mara SugarvsMahia | 0:0 |
| 18.01.26 | MahiavsMara Sugar | 3:0 |
| 27.04.25 | MahiavsMara Sugar | 4:0 |
| 30.11.24 | Mara SugarvsMahia | 0:2 |
Mahia Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 04.08.26 | MahiavsAl-Hilal Omdurman | 2:1W |
| 30.07.26 | MahiavsGarde Republicaine | 1:0W |
| 27.07.26 | MahiavsVipers | 0:1L |
| 24.07.26 | APRvsMahia | 0:5W |
| 31.05.26 | MahiavsNairobi United | 0:1L |
Mara Sugar Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31.05.26 | MurangavsMara Sugar | 2:1L |
| 27.05.26 | Mara SugarvsMahia | 0:0D |
| 16.05.26 | Mara SugarvsMathare United | 0:1L |
| 13.05.26 | Mara SugarvsShabana | 1:0W |
| 09.05.26 | LeopardsvsMara Sugar | 2:1L |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 50:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Leopards | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 44:28 | 64 |
| 3 | Police FC | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 31:21 | 55 |
| 4 | Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Shabana | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:34 | 52 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 47:37 | 49 |
| 7 | KCB | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 36:37 | 48 |
| 8 | Muranga | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27:32 | 45 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:35 | 44 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30:30 | 44 |
| 12 | Bandari | 34 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 26:26 | 44 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:37 | 41 |
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31:35 | 41 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:40 | 40 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 19:40 | 27 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 19:51 | 19 |