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Europe•UEFA Nations League
Tuesday, Oct 6, 2026, 18:45Oct 6, 18:45
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Match Events
19'
⚽Balov K.
31'
🟨Rusev G.
34'
⚽Iliev A.
41'
🟨Velkov S.
Moris A.🔄
Out: Moris A. In: Pereira Cardoso T.
46'
Videira J.🔄
Out: Videira J. In: Dardari A.
46'
Duarte E.🔄
Out: Duarte E. In: Olesen M.
46'
50'
🔄Rusev G.
Out: Rusev G. In: Panayotov P.
51'
🟨Stoyanov Y.
66'
🔄Balov K.
Out: Balov K. In: Ivanov S.
66'
🔄Iliev A.
Out: Iliev A. In: Nikolov V.
de Sousa T.🔄
Out: de Sousa T. In: Rupil T.
67'
Veiga E.🔄
Out: Veiga E. In: Thill S.
78'
Carlson D.🟨
82'
83'
🔄Minchev M.
Out: Minchev M. In: Dimitrov K.
19'
⚽
Balov K.
Bulgaria
31'
🟨
Rusev G.
Bulgaria
34'
⚽
Iliev A.
Bulgaria
41'
🟨
Velkov S.
Bulgaria
46'
🔄
Moris A.
Out: Moris A. | In: Pereira Cardoso T.
Luxembourg
46'
🔄
Videira J.
Out: Videira J. | In: Dardari A.
Luxembourg
46'
🔄
Duarte E.
Out: Duarte E. | In: Olesen M.
Luxembourg
50'
🔄
Rusev G.
Out: Rusev G. | In: Panayotov P.
Bulgaria
51'
🟨
Stoyanov Y.
Bulgaria
66'
🔄
Balov K.
Out: Balov K. | In: Ivanov S.
Bulgaria
66'
🔄
Iliev A.
Out: Iliev A. | In: Nikolov V.
Bulgaria
67'
🔄
de Sousa T.
Out: de Sousa T. | In: Rupil T.
Luxembourg
78'
🔄
Veiga E.
Out: Veiga E. | In: Thill S.
Luxembourg
82'
🟨
Carlson D.
Luxembourg
83'
🔄
Minchev M.
Out: Minchev M. | In: Dimitrov K.
Bulgaria
AI Prediction
Top Pick40%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 40%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 1:1.
Correct Score1:1
Win Probabilities
Luxembourg26%
Draw48%
Bulgaria26%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the UEFA Nations League is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Luxembourg (26%) and Bulgaria (26%). Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Luxembourg's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Luxembourg
VS
Bulgaria
Luxembourg
VS
Bulgaria
1
Goals Scored
2
1
Goals Scored
2
0.88
Goals Conceded
1.75
0.88
Goals Conceded
1.75
1.14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
1.14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
63%
Over 1.5
75%
63%
Over 1.5
75%
25%
Over 2.5
63%
25%
Over 2.5
63%
0%
Over 3.5
38%
0%
Over 3.5
38%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 06.10.26 | LuxembourgvsBulgaria | 0:2 |
| 26.09.26 | BulgariavsLuxembourg | 1:2 |
| 15.11.24 | LuxembourgvsBulgaria | 0:1 |
| 12.10.24 | BulgariavsLuxembourg | 0:0 |
| 20.11.22 | LuxembourgvsBulgaria | 0:0 |
Luxembourg Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 06.10.26 | LuxembourgvsBulgaria | 0:2L |
| 03.10.26 | EstoniavsLuxembourg | 1:0L |
| 29.09.26 | LuxembourgvsIceland | 0:3L |
| 26.09.26 | BulgariavsLuxembourg | 1:2W |
| 06.06.26 | AlbaniavsLuxembourg | 0:1W |
Bulgaria Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 06.10.26 | LuxembourgvsBulgaria | 0:2W |
| 03.10.26 | IcelandvsBulgaria | 3:0L |
| 29.09.26 | BulgariavsEstonia | 0:0D |
| 26.09.26 | BulgariavsLuxembourg | 1:2L |
| 05.06.26 | MoldovavsBulgaria | 2:2D |
Group 1
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albania | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Belarus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Finland | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:2 | 7 |
| 4 | San Marino | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:16 | 0 |
Group 2
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
Group 3
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slovakia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 3 | Moldova | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 2 |
Group 4
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iceland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:1 | 8 |
| 2 | Estonia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Bulgaria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | 3 |