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Uganda•Premier League 2025/2026
Wednesday, May 6, 2026, 13:00May 6, 13:00
LDDLW
LWLWW
Match Events
50'
⚽Kamugisha C.
50'
⚽
Kamugisha C.
Mbarara City
AI Prediction
Top Pick30%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 1:1.
Correct Score1:1
Win Probabilities
Lugazi27%
Draw46%
Mbarara City27%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Premier League 2025/2026 is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Lugazi (27%) and Mbarara City (27%). Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Lugazi's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Lugazi
VS
Mbarara City
Lugazi
VS
Mbarara City
0.5
Goals Scored
1.25
0.5
Goals Scored
1.25
0.63
Goals Conceded
1.38
0.63
Goals Conceded
1.38
0.71
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
0.71
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
38%
Over 1.5
75%
38%
Over 1.5
75%
13%
Over 2.5
63%
13%
Over 2.5
63%
0%
Over 3.5
38%
0%
Over 3.5
38%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 06.05.26 | LugazivsMbarara City | 0:1 |
| 24.01.26 | Mbarara CityvsLugazi | 0:0 |
| 10.05.25 | Mbarara CityvsLugazi | 1:0 |
| 12.12.24 | LugazivsMbarara City | 1:1 |
Lugazi Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23.05.26 | LugazivsMaroons | 0:1L |
| 19.05.26 | Express FCvsLugazi | 0:0D |
| 12.05.26 | BULvsLugazi | 0:0D |
| 06.05.26 | LugazivsMbarara City | 0:1L |
| 29.04.26 | BuhimbavsLugazi | 0:2W |
Mbarara City Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23.05.26 | Kampala CityvsMbarara City | 4:1L |
| 19.05.26 | Mbarara CityvsBuhimba | 2:0W |
| 13.05.26 | Mbarara CityvsVilla | 1:3L |
| 06.05.26 | LugazivsMbarara City | 0:1W |
| 28.04.26 | Mbarara CityvsExpress FC | 2:1W |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vipers | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 55:17 | 67 |
| 2 | Kampala City | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 46:22 | 62 |
| 3 | Villa | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 47:17 | 61 |
| 4 | Kitara | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:22 | 56 |
| 5 | Entebbe UPPC | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 30:20 | 51 |
| 6 | NEC FC | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 51 |
| 7 | Police | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 47 |
| 8 | Maroons | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 26:27 | 38 |
| 9 | BUL | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:33 | 37 |
| 10 | Express FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:31 | 37 |
| 11 | Uganda Revenue | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 27:30 | 31 |
| 12 | Mbarara City | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26:46 | 27 |
| 13 | Lugazi | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 19:36 | 25 |
| 14 | UPDF FC | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24:41 | 22 |
| 15 | Calvary | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 14:39 | 21 |
| 16 | Buhimba | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 16:66 | 15 |