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Uganda•Premier League
Wednesday, May 6, 2026, 13:00May 6, 13:00
LDDLW
LWLWW
Match Events
50'
⚽Kamugisha C.
50'
⚽
Kamugisha C.
Mbarara City
AI Prediction
Top Pick20%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 20%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 1:1.
Correct Score1:1
Win Probabilities
Lugazi28%
Draw44%
Mbarara City28%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Premier League is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Lugazi (28%) and Mbarara City (28%). Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Lugazi's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Lugazi
VS
Mbarara City
Lugazi
VS
Mbarara City
0.5
Goals Scored
1
0.5
Goals Scored
1
1.25
Goals Conceded
1.38
1.25
Goals Conceded
1.38
0.71
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
0.71
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
63%
Over 1.5
63%
63%
Over 1.5
63%
25%
Over 2.5
63%
25%
Over 2.5
63%
0%
Over 3.5
38%
0%
Over 3.5
38%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 06.05.26 | LugazivsMbarara City | 0:1 |
| 24.01.26 | Mbarara CityvsLugazi | 0:0 |
| 10.05.25 | Mbarara CityvsLugazi | 1:0 |
| 12.12.24 | LugazivsMbarara City | 1:1 |
Lugazi Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23.05.26 | LugazivsMaroons | 0:1L |
| 19.05.26 | Express FCvsLugazi | 0:0D |
| 12.05.26 | BULvsLugazi | 0:0D |
| 06.05.26 | LugazivsMbarara City | 0:1L |
| 29.04.26 | BuhimbavsLugazi | 0:2W |
Mbarara City Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23.05.26 | Kampala CityvsMbarara City | 4:1L |
| 19.05.26 | Mbarara CityvsBuhimba | 2:0W |
| 13.05.26 | Mbarara CityvsVilla | 1:3L |
| 06.05.26 | LugazivsMbarara City | 0:1W |
| 28.04.26 | Mbarara CityvsExpress FC | 2:1W |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vipers | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 55:17 | 67 |
| 2 | Kampala City | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 46:22 | 62 |
| 3 | Villa | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 47:17 | 61 |
| 4 | Kitara | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:22 | 56 |
| 5 | Entebbe UPPC | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 30:20 | 51 |
| 6 | NEC FC | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 51 |
| 7 | Police | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 47 |
| 8 | Maroons | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 26:27 | 38 |
| 9 | BUL | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:33 | 37 |
| 10 | Express FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:31 | 37 |
| 11 | Uganda Revenue | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 27:30 | 31 |
| 12 | Mbarara City | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26:46 | 27 |
| 13 | Lugazi | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 19:36 | 25 |
| 14 | UPDF FC | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24:41 | 22 |
| 15 | Calvary | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 14:39 | 21 |
| 16 | Buhimba | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 16:66 | 15 |