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Uganda•Premier League 2025/2026
Wednesday, May 6, 2026, 13:00May 6, 13:00
WLWLD
DLLWL
Match Events
50'
⚽Kamugisha C.
50'
⚽
Kamugisha C.
Mbarara City
AI Prediction
Top Pick30%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 1:0.
Correct Score1:0
Win Probabilities
Lugazi56%
Draw18.5%
Mbarara City25.5%
Match Analysis
Lugazi enters this match as the clear favorite with a 56% chance of securing a win. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:0. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Lugazi's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Lugazi
VS
Mbarara City
Lugazi
VS
Mbarara City
0.63
Goals Scored
0.88
0.63
Goals Scored
0.88
0.75
Goals Conceded
1.13
0.75
Goals Conceded
1.13
0.73
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
0.73
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
38%
Over 1.5
50%
38%
Over 1.5
50%
25%
Over 2.5
38%
25%
Over 2.5
38%
0%
Over 3.5
25%
0%
Over 3.5
25%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 06.05.26 | LugazivsMbarara City | 0:1 |
| 24.01.26 | Mbarara CityvsLugazi | 0:0 |
| 10.05.25 | Mbarara CityvsLugazi | 1:0 |
| 12.12.24 | LugazivsMbarara City | 1:1 |
Lugazi Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 09.09.26 | Entebbe UPPCvsLugazi | 0:1W |
| 01.09.26 | NEC FCvsLugazi | 3:1L |
| 29.08.26 | LugazivsKigezi HomeBoyz | 2:1W |
| 23.05.26 | LugazivsMaroons | 0:1L |
| 19.05.26 | Express FCvsLugazi | 0:0D |
Mbarara City Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11.09.26 | Mbarara CityvsNEC FC | 0:0D |
| 29.08.26 | PolicevsMbarara City | 1:0L |
| 23.05.26 | Kampala CityvsMbarara City | 4:1L |
| 19.05.26 | Mbarara CityvsBuhimba | 2:0W |
| 13.05.26 | Mbarara CityvsVilla | 1:3L |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vipers | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 55:17 | 67 |
| 2 | Kampala City | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 46:22 | 62 |
| 3 | Villa | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 47:17 | 61 |
| 4 | Kitara | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:22 | 56 |
| 5 | Entebbe UPPC | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 30:20 | 51 |
| 6 | NEC FC | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 51 |
| 7 | Police | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 47 |
| 8 | Maroons | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 26:27 | 38 |
| 9 | BUL | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:33 | 37 |
| 10 | Express FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:31 | 37 |
| 11 | Uganda Revenue | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 27:30 | 31 |
| 12 | Mbarara City | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26:46 | 27 |
| 13 | Lugazi | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 19:36 | 25 |
| 14 | UPDF FC | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24:41 | 22 |
| 15 | Calvary | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 14:39 | 21 |
| 16 | Buhimba | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 16:66 | 15 |