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USA•USL Championship
Saturday, Mar 14, 2026, 23:00Mar 14, 23:00
WLLLW
WDDDW
Match Events
34'
🟨Benitez M.
Nick Firmino🔄
Out: Nick Firmino In: Lewis J.
63'
Hafferty J.🔄
Out: Hafferty J. In: Brown J.
63'
Greene J.🟨
65'
67'
🔄Rodriguez A.
Out: Rodriguez A. In: Casas J.
67'
🔄Malango M.
Out: Malango M. In: Wanner D.
75'
🔄Ajago F.
Out: Ajago F. In: Edwards K.
Adedokun M.🔄
Out: Adedokun M. In: Midence A.
84'
89'
🔄Spaulding R.
Out: Spaulding R. In: Ukaegbu C.
34'
🟨
Benitez M.
Sacramento Republic
63'
🔄
Nick Firmino
Out: Nick Firmino | In: Lewis J.
Lexington
63'
🔄
Hafferty J.
Out: Hafferty J. | In: Brown J.
Lexington
65'
🟨
Greene J.
Lexington
67'
🔄
Rodriguez A.
Out: Rodriguez A. | In: Casas J.
Sacramento Republic
67'
🔄
Malango M.
Out: Malango M. | In: Wanner D.
Sacramento Republic
75'
🔄
Ajago F.
Out: Ajago F. | In: Edwards K.
Sacramento Republic
84'
🔄
Adedokun M.
Out: Adedokun M. | In: Midence A.
Lexington
89'
🔄
Spaulding R.
Out: Spaulding R. | In: Ukaegbu C.
Sacramento Republic
AI Prediction
Top Pick20%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 20%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 1:1.
Correct Score1:1
Win Probabilities
Lexington28%
Draw44%
Sacramento Republic28%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the USL Championship is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Lexington (28%) and Sacramento Republic (28%). Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Lexington's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Lexington
VS
Sacramento Republic
Lexington
VS
Sacramento Republic
1.13
Goals Scored
1.63
1.13
Goals Scored
1.63
0.75
Goals Conceded
0.75
0.75
Goals Conceded
0.75
0.94
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
0.94
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
50%
Over 1.5
63%
50%
Over 1.5
63%
25%
Over 2.5
38%
25%
Over 2.5
38%
13%
Over 3.5
38%
13%
Over 3.5
38%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16.08.26 | Sacramento RepublicvsLexington | 1:0 |
| 14.03.26 | LexingtonvsSacramento Republic | 0:0 |
| 17.10.25 | LexingtonvsSacramento Republic | 2:2 |
| 20.07.25 | Sacramento RepublicvsLexington | 0:0 |
Lexington Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13.09.26 | Oakland RootsvsLexington | 1:4W |
| 05.09.26 | Sporting JaxvsLexington | 3:2L |
| 29.08.26 | LexingtonvsColorado Springs | 0:1L |
| 27.08.26 | New MexicovsLexington | 2:1L |
| 22.08.26 | LexingtonvsLas Vegas Lights | 2:0W |
Sacramento Republic Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13.09.26 | Sacramento RepublicvsDetroit City | 1:0W |
| 06.09.26 | Orange County SCvsSacramento Republic | 1:1D |
| 30.08.26 | Monterey BayvsSacramento Republic | 1:1D |
| 23.08.26 | Sacramento RepublicvsPhoenix Rising | 2:2D |
| 16.08.26 | Sacramento RepublicvsLexington | 1:0W |
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 41:23 | 48 |
| 2 | Charleston | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 49:31 | 40 |
| 3 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 28:25 | 38 |
| 4 | Detroit City | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 28:19 | 37 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 24:23 | 34 |
| 6 | Louisville City | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 39:39 | 33 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 34:24 | 32 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 28:28 | 30 |
| 9 | Miami FC | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 28:42 | 24 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 23 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 26:40 | 20 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 22 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 28:34 | 19 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 23:39 | 17 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 30:63 | 14 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 41:30 | 43 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 33:23 | 41 |
| 3 | Colorado Springs | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:37 | 37 |
| 4 | FC Tulsa | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 27:21 | 36 |
| 5 | Sacramento Republic | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 30:20 | 36 |
| 6 | San Antonio FC | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 29:28 | 36 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 34:34 | 36 |
| 8 | Lexington | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 37:30 | 34 |
| 9 | Phoenix Rising | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 34:32 | 33 |
| 10 | Las Vegas Lights | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 31:34 | 32 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 29:35 | 27 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25:42 | 18 |