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Mexico•Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026
Sunday, Feb 15, 2026, 18:00Feb 15, 18:00
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Match Events
16'
🟨Venegas J.
23'
🟨Islas O.
De Jesus Bravo Santiago A.🟨
31'
Hernandez S. A.🟨
42'
Sanchez J.🟨
48'
Nuno M.🟨
51'
Gonzalez O.🔄
Out: Gonzalez O. In: Valenzuela M.
53'
Cisneros C.🔄
Out: Cisneros C. In: Rivera E.
54'
Nuno M.🔄
Out: Nuno M. In: Villa O.
64'
Brigido J.🔄
Out: Brigido J. In: Munoz D.
64'
74'
🔄Cardona U.
Out: Cardona U. In: Reyes J.
74'
🔄Dominguez I.
Out: Dominguez I. In: Gomez J.
79'
🟨Guzman W.
81'
🔄Mendoza B.
Out: Mendoza B. In: Samano Salgado F.
De Jesus Bravo Santiago A.🔄
Out: De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. In: Torres D.
86'
87'
🔄Aguilar D.
Out: Aguilar D. In: Gonzalez Calderon L. A.
16'
🟨
Venegas J.
Tepatitlan de Morelos
23'
🟨
Islas O.
Tepatitlan de Morelos
31'
🟨
De Jesus Bravo Santiago A.
Leones Negros
42'
🟨
Hernandez S. A.
Leones Negros
48'
🟨
Sanchez J.
Leones Negros
51'
🟨
Nuno M.
Leones Negros
53'
🔄
Gonzalez O.
Out: Gonzalez O. | In: Valenzuela M.
Leones Negros
54'
🔄
Cisneros C.
Out: Cisneros C. | In: Rivera E.
Leones Negros
64'
🔄
Nuno M.
Out: Nuno M. | In: Villa O.
Leones Negros
64'
🔄
Brigido J.
Out: Brigido J. | In: Munoz D.
Leones Negros
74'
🔄
Cardona U.
Out: Cardona U. | In: Reyes J.
Tepatitlan de Morelos
74'
🔄
Dominguez I.
Out: Dominguez I. | In: Gomez J.
Tepatitlan de Morelos
79'
🟨
Guzman W.
Tepatitlan de Morelos
81'
🔄
Mendoza B.
Out: Mendoza B. | In: Samano Salgado F.
Tepatitlan de Morelos
86'
🔄
De Jesus Bravo Santiago A.
Out: De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. | In: Torres D.
Leones Negros
87'
🔄
Aguilar D.
Out: Aguilar D. | In: Gonzalez Calderon L. A.
Tepatitlan de Morelos
AI Prediction
Top Pick50%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 50%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 2:1.
Correct Score2:1
Win Probabilities
Leones Negros60%
Draw17.5%
Tepatitlan de Morelos22.5%
Match Analysis
Leones Negros enters this match as the clear favorite with a 60% chance of securing a win. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Leones Negros's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Leones Negros
VS
Tepatitlan de Morelos
Leones Negros
VS
Tepatitlan de Morelos
1.43
Goals Scored
1
1.43
Goals Scored
1
0.86
Goals Conceded
0.63
0.86
Goals Conceded
0.63
1.11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
1.11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
71%
Over 1.5
75%
71%
Over 1.5
75%
43%
Over 2.5
0%
43%
Over 2.5
0%
14%
Over 3.5
0%
14%
Over 3.5
0%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15.02.26 | Leones NegrosvsTepatitlan de Morelos | 0:0 |
| 07.09.25 | Tepatitlan de MorelosvsLeones Negros | 1:1 |
| 27.04.25 | Leones NegrosvsTepatitlan de Morelos | 2:1 |
| 25.04.25 | Tepatitlan de MorelosvsLeones Negros | 2:1 |
| 01.03.25 | Tepatitlan de MorelosvsLeones Negros | 1:1 |
Leones Negros Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 02.08.26 | CancunvsLeones Negros | 0:2W |
| 25.07.26 | TlaxcalavsLeones Negros | 2:4W |
| 19.04.26 | Leones NegrosvsCancun | 1:2L |
| 12.04.26 | Venados FCvsLeones Negros | 2:1L |
| 05.04.26 | Leones NegrosvsClub Atletico Morelia | 2:0W |
Tepatitlan de Morelos Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01.08.26 | CorrecaminosvsTepatitlan de Morelos | 3:1L |
| 25.07.26 | Tepatitlan de MorelosvsAlacranes de Durango | 0:1L |
| 31.05.26 | Jaiba BravavsTepatitlan de Morelos | 4:3L |
| 24.05.26 | Tepatitlan de MorelosvsJaiba Brava | 3:1W |
| 17.05.26 | Tepatitlan de MorelosvsJaiba Brava | 1:0W |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Cancun | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18:12 | 23 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 22 |
| 5 | Jaiba Brava | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | 21 |
| 7 | Tapatio | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 28:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Atlante | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 20 |
| 9 | Irapuato | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 27:24 | 20 |
| 10 | Tlaxcala | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | 20 |
| 11 | Venados FC | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 16 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 20:29 | 16 |
| 13 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:27 | 12 |
| 15 | Leones Negros | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:25 | 11 |