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Mexico•Liga de Expansion MX
Sunday, Feb 15, 2026, 18:00Feb 15, 18:00
LLWDL
LWWDD
Match Events
16'
🟨Venegas J.
23'
🟨Islas O.
De Jesus Bravo Santiago A.🟨
31'
Hernandez S. A.🟨
42'
Sanchez J.🟨
48'
Lara M.🟨
51'
Gonzalez O.🔄
Out: Gonzalez O. In: Valenzuela M.
53'
Cisneros C.🔄
Out: Cisneros C. In: Rivera E.
54'
Lara M.🔄
Out: Lara M. In: Villa O.
64'
Brigido J.🔄
Out: Brigido J. In: Munoz D.
64'
74'
🔄Cardona U.
Out: Cardona U. In: Reyes J.
74'
🔄Dominguez I.
Out: Dominguez I. In: Gomez J.
79'
🟨Guzman W.
81'
🔄Mendoza B.
Out: Mendoza B. In: Samano Salgado F.
De Jesus Bravo Santiago A.🔄
Out: De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. In: Torres D.
86'
87'
🔄Aguilar D.
Out: Aguilar D. In: Gonzalez Calderon L. A.
16'
🟨
Venegas J.
Tepatitlan de Morelos
23'
🟨
Islas O.
Tepatitlan de Morelos
31'
🟨
De Jesus Bravo Santiago A.
Leones Negros
42'
🟨
Hernandez S. A.
Leones Negros
48'
🟨
Sanchez J.
Leones Negros
51'
🟨
Lara M.
Leones Negros
53'
🔄
Gonzalez O.
Out: Gonzalez O. | In: Valenzuela M.
Leones Negros
54'
🔄
Cisneros C.
Out: Cisneros C. | In: Rivera E.
Leones Negros
64'
🔄
Lara M.
Out: Lara M. | In: Villa O.
Leones Negros
64'
🔄
Brigido J.
Out: Brigido J. | In: Munoz D.
Leones Negros
74'
🔄
Cardona U.
Out: Cardona U. | In: Reyes J.
Tepatitlan de Morelos
74'
🔄
Dominguez I.
Out: Dominguez I. | In: Gomez J.
Tepatitlan de Morelos
79'
🟨
Guzman W.
Tepatitlan de Morelos
81'
🔄
Mendoza B.
Out: Mendoza B. | In: Samano Salgado F.
Tepatitlan de Morelos
86'
🔄
De Jesus Bravo Santiago A.
Out: De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. | In: Torres D.
Leones Negros
87'
🔄
Aguilar D.
Out: Aguilar D. | In: Gonzalez Calderon L. A.
Tepatitlan de Morelos
AI Prediction
Top Pick30%
Away Win (2)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Away Win (2). Correct Score: 1:2.
Correct Score1:2
Win Probabilities
Leones Negros25.5%
Draw18.5%
Tepatitlan de Morelos56%
Match Analysis
Tepatitlan de Morelos is heavily favored to take the points, backed by a 56% win probability. Our AI model recommends backing Away Win (2), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Leones Negros's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Leones Negros
VS
Tepatitlan de Morelos
Leones Negros
VS
Tepatitlan de Morelos
1.17
Goals Scored
1.88
1.17
Goals Scored
1.88
1.5
Goals Conceded
1
1.5
Goals Conceded
1
1.04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
1.04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
100%
Over 1.5
100%
100%
Over 1.5
100%
50%
Over 2.5
38%
50%
Over 2.5
38%
17%
Over 3.5
38%
17%
Over 3.5
38%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15.02.26 | Leones NegrosvsTepatitlan de Morelos | 0:0 |
| 07.09.25 | Tepatitlan de MorelosvsLeones Negros | 1:1 |
| 27.04.25 | Leones NegrosvsTepatitlan de Morelos | 2:1 |
| 25.04.25 | Tepatitlan de MorelosvsLeones Negros | 2:1 |
| 01.03.25 | Tepatitlan de MorelosvsLeones Negros | 1:1 |
Leones Negros Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 19.04.26 | Leones NegrosvsCancun | 1:2L |
| 12.04.26 | Venados FCvsLeones Negros | 2:1L |
| 05.04.26 | Leones NegrosvsClub Atletico Morelia | 2:0W |
| 28.03.26 | Alebrijes de OaxacavsLeones Negros | 1:1D |
| 22.03.26 | Leones NegrosvsZacatecas Mineros | 1:3L |
Tepatitlan de Morelos Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31.05.26 | Jaiba BravavsTepatitlan de Morelos | 4:3L |
| 24.05.26 | Tepatitlan de MorelosvsJaiba Brava | 3:1W |
| 17.05.26 | Tepatitlan de MorelosvsJaiba Brava | 1:0W |
| 10.05.26 | Jaiba BravavsTepatitlan de Morelos | 0:0D |
| 04.05.26 | Tepatitlan de MorelosvsZacatecas Mineros | 1:1D |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Cancun | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18:12 | 23 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 22 |
| 5 | Jaiba Brava | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | 21 |
| 7 | Tapatio | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 28:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Atlante | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 20 |
| 9 | Irapuato | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 27:24 | 20 |
| 10 | Tlaxcala | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | 20 |
| 11 | Venados FC | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 16 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 20:29 | 16 |
| 13 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:27 | 12 |
| 15 | Leones Negros | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:25 | 11 |