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Match Events
Ayoub J.âš½
13'
El Zein K.🟨
26'
Ataya R.🔄
Out: Ataya R. In: Osman M.
32'
46'
🔄Toirov K.
Out: Toirov K. In: Sharipov D.
46'
🔄Khushvakhtov D.
Out: Khushvakhtov D. In: Khamrokulov N.
46'
🔄Dzhuraboev Z.
Out: Dzhuraboev Z. In: Rakhmatzoda R.
Kheir El Dine A.🔄
Out: Kheir El Dine A. In: Bitar G.
46'
Srour H.🔄
Out: Srour H. In: Tneich A.
62'
Darwiche K.🔄
Out: Darwiche K. In: Bader K.
62'
66'
🔄Shukurov A.
Out: Shukurov A. In: Boboev B.
Ayoub J.🔄
Out: Ayoub J. In: Shahin L.
79'
Bugiel O.🔄
Out: Bugiel O. In: Haidar M.
79'
82'
🟨Olimzoda F.
83'
🔄Olimzoda F.
Out: Olimzoda F. In: Solehov S.
Haidar M.🟨
90'
El Hayek M.🟨
90'
90'
🟨Rakhmatzoda R.
Bader K.🟨
90'
13'
âš½
Ayoub J.
Lebanon
26'
🟨
El Zein K.
Lebanon
32'
🔄
Ataya R.
Out: Ataya R. | In: Osman M.
Lebanon
46'
🔄
Toirov K.
Out: Toirov K. | In: Sharipov D.
Tajikistan
46'
🔄
Khushvakhtov D.
Out: Khushvakhtov D. | In: Khamrokulov N.
Tajikistan
46'
🔄
Dzhuraboev Z.
Out: Dzhuraboev Z. | In: Rakhmatzoda R.
Tajikistan
46'
🔄
Kheir El Dine A.
Out: Kheir El Dine A. | In: Bitar G.
Lebanon
62'
🔄
Srour H.
Out: Srour H. | In: Tneich A.
Lebanon
62'
🔄
Darwiche K.
Out: Darwiche K. | In: Bader K.
Lebanon
66'
🔄
Shukurov A.
Out: Shukurov A. | In: Boboev B.
Tajikistan
79'
🔄
Ayoub J.
Out: Ayoub J. | In: Shahin L.
Lebanon
79'
🔄
Bugiel O.
Out: Bugiel O. | In: Haidar M.
Lebanon
82'
🟨
Olimzoda F.
Tajikistan
83'
🔄
Olimzoda F.
Out: Olimzoda F. | In: Solehov S.
Tajikistan
90'
🟨
Haidar M.
Lebanon
90'
🟨
El Hayek M.
Lebanon
90'
🟨
Rakhmatzoda R.
Tajikistan
90'
🟨
Bader K.
Lebanon
AI Prediction
Top Pick30%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 1:1.
Correct Score1:1
Win Probabilities
Lebanon27%
Draw46%
Tajikistan27%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Merdeka Cup is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Lebanon (27%) and Tajikistan (27%). Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Lebanon's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Lebanon
VS
Tajikistan
Lebanon
VS
Tajikistan
1.25
Goals Scored
2
1.25
Goals Scored
2
0.5
Goals Conceded
0.63
0.5
Goals Conceded
0.63
0.99
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
0.99
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
63%
Over 1.5
88%
63%
Over 1.5
88%
38%
Over 2.5
50%
38%
Over 2.5
50%
13%
Over 3.5
25%
13%
Over 3.5
25%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 04.09.24 | LebanonvsTajikistan | 1:0 |
| 22.01.24 | TajikistanvsLebanon | 2:1 |
Lebanon Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 04.06.26 | LebanonvsYemen | 0:2L |
| 26.11.25 | SudanvsLebanon | 2:1L |
| 18.11.25 | BruneivsLebanon | 0:3W |
| 14.10.25 | BhutanvsLebanon | 0:4W |
| 09.10.25 | LebanonvsBhutan | 2:0W |
Tajikistan Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 09.06.26 | TajikistanvsIndia | 1:1D |
| 05.06.26 | TajikistanvsIndia | 3:1W |
| 31.03.26 | TajikistanvsPhilippines | 1:1D |
| 18.11.25 | Timor-LestevsTajikistan | 0:5W |
| 14.10.25 | MaldivesvsTajikistan | 0:3W |