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EuropeUEFA Nations League Women
Feb 21, 17:15
1:0
finished
DWDWD
WDWWW

Match Events

5'
Bonansea B.
Italy W
37'
🟨
Jones C.
Wales W
46'
🔄
Jones C.
Out: Jones C. | In: Morgan F.
Wales W
55'
🟨
Girelli C.
Italy W
63'
🔄
Greggi G.
Out: Greggi G. | In: Dragoni G.
Italy W
63'
🔄
Girelli C.
Out: Girelli C. | In: Cambiaghi M.
Italy W
69'
🔄
Fishlock J.
Out: Fishlock J. | In: Joel L.
Wales W
69'
🔄
Holland C.
Out: Holland C. | In: Griffiths M.
Wales W
78'
🔄
Bonansea B.
Out: Bonansea B. | In: Merlo B.
Italy W
78'
🔄
Cantore S.
Out: Cantore S. | In: Piemonte M.
Italy W
85'
🔄
Roberts R.
Out: Roberts R. | In: Green J.
Wales W
85'
🔄
Cain H.
Out: Cain H. | In: Estcourt C.
Wales W
90'
🟨
Evans G.
Wales W

AI Prediction

Top Pick30%
Away Win (2)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Away Win (2). Correct Score: 1:2.
Correct Score1:2

Win Probabilities

Italy W25.5%
Draw18.5%
Wales W56%

Match Analysis

Wales W is heavily favored to take the points, backed by a 56% win probability. Our AI model recommends backing Away Win (2), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Italy W's home ground.

Scoring Trends

Italy W
VS
Wales W
1
Goals Scored
2.5
1.13
Goals Conceded
1.63
1.11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
63%
Over 1.5
88%
25%
Over 2.5
75%
13%
Over 3.5
63%

Head to Head Matches (H2H)

DateMatchScore
03.06.25
Wales WvsItaly W
1:4
21.02.25
Italy WvsWales W
1:0
22.01.19
Italy WvsWales W
2:0
02.03.18
Wales WvsItaly W
0:3

Italy W Last Matches

DateMatchScore
09.06.26
Sweden WvsItaly W
2:2D
05.06.26
Italy WvsSerbia W
3:0W
18.04.26
Denmark WvsItaly W
0:0D
14.04.26
Serbia WvsItaly W
0:6W
07.03.26
Italy WvsDenmark W
1:1D

Wales W Last Matches

DateMatchScore
09.06.26
Wales WvsCzech Republic W
3:1W
05.06.26
Montenegro WvsWales W
1:1D
18.04.26
Albania WvsWales W
0:1W
14.04.26
Wales WvsAlbania W
4:0W
07.03.26
Wales WvsMontenegro W
6:1W

Group 1

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Germany W
651026:416
2
Netherlands W
632111:1011
3
Austria W
62045:166
4
Scotland W
60153:151

Group 2

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
France W
660014:218
2
Norway W
62224:58
3
Iceland W
60426:94
4
Switzerland W
60244:122

Group 3

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Spain W
650121:815
2
England W
631216:610
3
Belgium W
62049:166
4
Portugal W
61145:214

Group 4

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Sweden W
633013:612
2
Italy W
631211:710
3
Denmark W
63038:139
4
Wales W
60244:102