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EuropeUEFA Nations League 2024/2025
Mar 20, 19:45
1:2
finished
WWLWL
LLWWW

Match Events

9'
Tonali S.
Italy
46'
🔄
Burkardt J.
Out: Burkardt J. | In: Kleindienst T.
Germany
46'
🔄
Raum D.
Out: Raum D. | In: Schlotterbeck N.
Germany
49'
Kleindienst T.
Germany
52'
🟨
Rovella N.
Italy
55'
🟨
Amiri N.
Germany
64'
🔄
Politano M.
Out: Politano M. | In: Bellanova R.
Italy
64'
🔄
Rovella N.
Out: Rovella N. | In: Ricci S.
Italy
66'
🔄
Amiri N.
Out: Amiri N. | In: Leweling J.
Germany
71'
🔄
Raspadori G.
Out: Raspadori G. | In: Maldini D.
Italy
74'
🟨
Maldini D.
Italy
76'
Goretzka L.
Germany
82'
🔄
Sane L.
Out: Sane L. | In: Adeyemi K.
Germany
83'
🔄
Kean M.
Out: Kean M. | In: Lucca L.
Italy
83'
🔄
Barella N.
Out: Barella N. | In: Frattesi D.
Italy
90'
🔄
Gross P.
Out: Gross P. | In: Andrich R.
Germany

AI Prediction

Top Pick70%
Away Win (2)
AI prediction points: 70%. Pick: Away Win (2). Correct Score: 0:1.
Correct Score0:1

Win Probabilities

Italy19.5%
Draw16.5%
Germany64%

Match Analysis

Germany is heavily favored to take the points, backed by a 64% win probability. Expect a high-scoring affair, as both sides have been prolific in front of goal recently. Our AI model recommends backing Away Win (2), predicting a likely scoreline of 0:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Italy's home ground.

Scoring Trends

Italy
VS
Germany
1.75
Goals Scored
2.63
0.88
Goals Conceded
0.63
1.31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
75%
Over 1.5
75%
50%
Over 2.5
63%
25%
Over 3.5
38%

Head to Head Matches (H2H)

DateMatchScore
23.03.25
GermanyvsItaly
3:3
20.03.25
ItalyvsGermany
1:2
14.06.22
GermanyvsItaly
5:2
04.06.22
ItalyvsGermany
1:1
31.03.20
GermanyvsItaly
0:0

Italy Last Matches

DateMatchScore
07.06.26
GreecevsItaly
0:1W
03.06.26
LuxembourgvsItaly
0:1W
31.03.26
Bosnia & HerzegovinavsItaly
2:1L
26.03.26
ItalyvsNorthern Ireland
2:0W
16.11.25
ItalyvsNorway
1:4L

Germany Last Matches

DateMatchScore
29.06.26
GermanyvsParaguay
1:2L
25.06.26
EcuadorvsGermany
2:1L
20.06.26
GermanyvsIvory Coast
2:1W
14.06.26
GermanyvsCuracao
7:1W
06.06.26
USAvsGermany
1:2W