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Europe•UEFA Nations League 2024/2025
Thursday, Mar 20, 2025, 19:45Mar 20, 19:45
WDWLW
DWLDL
Match Events
Tonali S.⚽
9'
46'
🔄Burkardt J.
Out: Burkardt J. In: Kleindienst T.
46'
🔄Raum D.
Out: Raum D. In: Schlotterbeck N.
49'
⚽Kleindienst T.
Rovella N.🟨
52'
55'
🟨Amiri N.
Politano M.🔄
Out: Politano M. In: Bellanova R.
64'
Rovella N.🔄
Out: Rovella N. In: Ricci S.
64'
66'
🔄Amiri N.
Out: Amiri N. In: Leweling J.
Raspadori G.🔄
Out: Raspadori G. In: Maldini D.
71'
Maldini D.🟨
74'
76'
⚽Goretzka L.
82'
🔄Sane L.
Out: Sane L. In: Adeyemi K.
Kean M.🔄
Out: Kean M. In: Lucca L.
83'
Barella N.🔄
Out: Barella N. In: Frattesi D.
83'
90'
🔄Gross P.
Out: Gross P. In: Andrich R.
9'
⚽
Tonali S.
Italy
46'
🔄
Burkardt J.
Out: Burkardt J. | In: Kleindienst T.
Germany
46'
🔄
Raum D.
Out: Raum D. | In: Schlotterbeck N.
Germany
49'
⚽
Kleindienst T.
Germany
52'
🟨
Rovella N.
Italy
55'
🟨
Amiri N.
Germany
64'
🔄
Politano M.
Out: Politano M. | In: Bellanova R.
Italy
64'
🔄
Rovella N.
Out: Rovella N. | In: Ricci S.
Italy
66'
🔄
Amiri N.
Out: Amiri N. | In: Leweling J.
Germany
71'
🔄
Raspadori G.
Out: Raspadori G. | In: Maldini D.
Italy
74'
🟨
Maldini D.
Italy
76'
⚽
Goretzka L.
Germany
82'
🔄
Sane L.
Out: Sane L. | In: Adeyemi K.
Germany
83'
🔄
Kean M.
Out: Kean M. | In: Lucca L.
Italy
83'
🔄
Barella N.
Out: Barella N. | In: Frattesi D.
Italy
90'
🔄
Gross P.
Out: Gross P. | In: Andrich R.
Germany
AI Prediction
Top Pick80%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 80%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 1:0.
Correct Score1:0
Win Probabilities
Italy66%
Draw16%
Germany18%
Match Analysis
Italy enters this match as the clear favorite with a 66% chance of securing a win. Expect a high-scoring affair, as both sides have been prolific in front of goal recently. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:0. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Italy's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Italy
VS
Germany
Italy
VS
Germany
1.57
Goals Scored
2.75
1.57
Goals Scored
2.75
1
Goals Conceded
1.13
1
Goals Conceded
1.13
1.34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
1.34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
71%
Over 1.5
88%
71%
Over 1.5
88%
43%
Over 2.5
88%
43%
Over 2.5
88%
29%
Over 3.5
38%
29%
Over 3.5
38%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23.03.25 | GermanyvsItaly | 3:3 |
| 20.03.25 | ItalyvsGermany | 1:2 |
| 14.06.22 | GermanyvsItaly | 5:2 |
| 04.06.22 | ItalyvsGermany | 1:1 |
| 31.03.20 | GermanyvsItaly | 0:0 |
Italy Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 05.10.26 | ItalyvsTurkey | 3:1W |
| 02.10.26 | FrancevsItaly | 1:1D |
| 28.09.26 | TurkeyvsItaly | 1:4W |
| 25.09.26 | ItalyvsBelgium | 0:2L |
| 07.06.26 | GreecevsItaly | 0:1W |
Germany Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 04.10.26 | GreecevsGermany | 0:0D |
| 01.10.26 | GermanyvsSerbia | 2:0W |
| 27.09.26 | GermanyvsGreece | 0:1L |
| 24.09.26 | NetherlandsvsGermany | 1:1D |
| 29.06.26 | GermanyvsParaguay | 1:2L |