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World•Friendly International 2024
Mar 24, 20:00
2:0
finished
WWLWL
LWDLW

Match Events

3'
âš½
Pellegrini Lo.
Italy
38'
🟨
Jorginho
Italy
46'
🔄
Bellanova R.
Out: Bellanova R. | In: Di Lorenzo G.
Italy
65'
🔄
Minda A.
Out: Minda A. | In: Paez K.
Ecuador
66'
🟨
Zaniolo N.
Italy
67'
🔄
Pellegrini Lo.
Out: Pellegrini Lo. | In: Frattesi D.
Italy
67'
🔄
Jorginho
Out: Jorginho | In: Locatelli M.
Italy
73'
🟨
Mancini G.
Italy
76'
🔄
Zaniolo N.
Out: Zaniolo N. | In: Orsolini R.
Italy
76'
🔄
Raspadori G.
Out: Raspadori G. | In: Retegui M.
Italy
79'
🔄
Franco A.
Out: Franco A. | In: Gruezo C.
Ecuador
80'
🔄
Sarmiento J.
Out: Sarmiento J. | In: Obando A.
Ecuador
88'
🔄
Dimarco F.
Out: Dimarco F. | In: Cambiaso A.
Italy
89'
🟨
Cambiaso A.
Italy
90'
âš½
Barella N.
Italy

AI Prediction

Top Pick20%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 20%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 1:1.
Correct Score1:1

Win Probabilities

Italy28%
Draw44%
Ecuador28%

Match Analysis

This matchup in the Friendly International 2024 is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Italy (28%) and Ecuador (28%). Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Italy's home ground.

Scoring Trends

Italy
VS
Ecuador
1.75
Goals Scored
1.38
0.88
Goals Conceded
0.63
1.31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
75%
Over 1.5
88%
50%
Over 2.5
25%
25%
Over 3.5
0%

Head to Head Matches (H2H)

DateMatchScore
24.03.24
ItalyvsEcuador
2:0
11.06.05
ItalyvsEcuador
1:1
03.06.02
ItalyvsEcuador
2:0

Italy Last Matches

DateMatchScore
07.06.26
GreecevsItaly
0:1W
03.06.26
LuxembourgvsItaly
0:1W
31.03.26
Bosnia & HerzegovinavsItaly
2:1L
26.03.26
ItalyvsNorthern Ireland
2:0W
16.11.25
ItalyvsNorway
1:4L

Ecuador Last Matches

DateMatchScore
01.07.26
MexicovsEcuador
2:0L
25.06.26
EcuadorvsGermany
2:1W
21.06.26
EcuadorvsCuracao
0:0D
14.06.26
Ivory CoastvsEcuador
1:0L
07.06.26
EcuadorvsGuatemala
3:0W