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England•National League South
Saturday, Feb 14, 2026, 15:00Feb 14, 15:00
WWDWD
LWWDL
Match Events
7'
⚽Leahy T.
Gibbs H.⚽
37'
Sandat H.•
45'
71'
⚽Thompson J.
Balanta A.⚽
90'
7'
⚽
Leahy T.
Tonbridge
37'
⚽
Gibbs H.
Hornchurch
45'
•
Sandat H.
Hornchurch
71'
⚽
Thompson J.
Tonbridge
90'
⚽
Balanta A.
Hornchurch
AI Prediction
Top Pick50%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 50%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 2:1.
Correct Score2:1
Win Probabilities
Hornchurch60%
Draw17.5%
Tonbridge22.5%
Match Analysis
Hornchurch enters this match as the clear favorite with a 60% chance of securing a win. Expect a high-scoring affair, as both sides have been prolific in front of goal recently. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Hornchurch's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Hornchurch
VS
Tonbridge
Hornchurch
VS
Tonbridge
2.25
Goals Scored
1.88
2.25
Goals Scored
1.88
1.63
Goals Conceded
1
1.63
Goals Conceded
1
1.74
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
1.74
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
75%
Over 1.5
63%
75%
Over 1.5
63%
75%
Over 2.5
50%
75%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
Over 3.5
25%
50%
Over 3.5
25%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14.02.26 | HornchurchvsTonbridge | 3:2 |
| 08.11.25 | TonbridgevsHornchurch | 0:1 |
| 18.04.25 | TonbridgevsHornchurch | 0:1 |
| 04.02.25 | HornchurchvsTonbridge | 2:2 |
| 15.12.20 | TonbridgevsHornchurch | 0:1 |
Hornchurch Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 09.05.26 | HornchurchvsTorquay | 3:2W |
| 02.05.26 | HornchurchvsWeston-super-Mare | 2:0W |
| 25.04.26 | HornchurchvsMaidenhead | 0:0D |
| 18.04.26 | Chippenham TownvsHornchurch | 1:3W |
| 14.04.26 | HornchurchvsChelmsford | 3:3D |
Tonbridge Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25.04.26 | TonbridgevsTorquay | 1:2L |
| 18.04.26 | FarnboroughvsTonbridge | 1:6W |
| 11.04.26 | TonbridgevsSalisbury | 3:2W |
| 06.04.26 | Eastbourne BoroughvsTonbridge | 1:1D |
| 03.04.26 | TonbridgevsEbbsfleet | 1:2L |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Worthing FC | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 99:52 | 84 |
| 2 | Hornchurch | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 81:64 | 81 |
| 3 | Torquay | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 87:62 | 80 |
| 4 | Dorking Wanderers | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 78:61 | 79 |
| 5 | Hemel Hempstead | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 55:48 | 79 |
| 6 | Weston-super-Mare | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 61:48 | 78 |
| 7 | Maidenhead | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 66:41 | 77 |
| 8 | Maidstone | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 72:50 | 77 |
| 9 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 73:54 | 77 |
| 10 | Chelmsford | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 73:62 | 73 |
| 11 | Chesham | 46 | 21 | 9 | 16 | 68:55 | 72 |
| 12 | AFC Totton | 46 | 20 | 6 | 20 | 60:79 | 66 |
| 13 | Dagenham & Red. | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 61:62 | 64 |
| 14 | Tonbridge | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 66:65 | 60 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 53:54 | 59 |
| 16 | Slough Town | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 69:87 | 54 |
| 17 | Salisbury | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 50:65 | 53 |
| 18 | Hampton & Richmond | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 56:72 | 53 |
| 19 | Farnborough | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 72:92 | 53 |
| 20 | Dover Ath. | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 60:75 | 50 |
| 21 | Bath City | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 50:77 | 43 |
| 22 | Chippenham Town | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 53:80 | 42 |
| 23 | Enfield Town | 46 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 55:82 | 40 |
| 24 | Eastbourne Borough | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 59:90 | 36 |