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Ethiopia•Premier League
Saturday, May 16, 2026, 12:00May 16, 12:00
LDDLW
LLLWW
AI Prediction
Top Pick40%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 40%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 1:0.
Correct Score1:0
Win Probabilities
Hawassa58%
Draw18%
Arba Menche24%
Match Analysis
Hawassa enters this match as the clear favorite with a 58% chance of securing a win. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:0. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Hawassa's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Hawassa
VS
Arba Menche
Hawassa
VS
Arba Menche
0.5
Goals Scored
1
0.5
Goals Scored
1
0.88
Goals Conceded
1.13
0.88
Goals Conceded
1.13
0.64
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
0.64
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
38%
Over 1.5
75%
38%
Over 1.5
75%
25%
Over 2.5
38%
25%
Over 2.5
38%
0%
Over 3.5
13%
0%
Over 3.5
13%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16.05.26 | HawassavsArba Menche | 0:0 |
| 03.01.26 | Arba MenchevsHawassa | 0:0 |
| 12.05.25 | Arba MenchevsHawassa | 0:1 |
| 08.12.24 | HawassavsArba Menche | 0:1 |
| 06.07.23 | HawassavsArba Menche | 1:1 |
Hawassa Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 02.07.26 | HawassavsAdama City | 2:3L |
| 28.06.26 | Ethio Electric S.C.vsHawassa | 1:1D |
| 21.06.26 | HawassavsBahir Dar Kenema | 0:0D |
| 15.06.26 | Negele Arsi Ketema FCvsHawassa | 2:1L |
| 28.05.26 | HawassavsEthiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 1:0W |
Arba Menche Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01.07.26 | Dire DawavsArba Menche | 2:1L |
| 26.06.26 | Arba MenchevsWelwalo Adigrat | 0:1L |
| 22.06.26 | Fasil KenemavsArba Menche | 2:0L |
| 15.06.26 | Arba MenchevsShire Endaselassie | 2:0W |
| 28.05.26 | Mechal SCvsArba Menche | 1:2W |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |