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AfricaAfrica Cup of Nations 2025
Oct 12, 16:00
4:1
finished
LLDDW
DWWWL

Match Events

18'
🟨
Habtamu S.
Ethiopia
18'
Guirassy S.
Guinea
37'
Guirassy S.
Guinea
45'
Guirassy S.
Guinea
46'
🔄
Baye Y.
Out: Baye Y. | In: James R.
Ethiopia
46'
🔄
Demissie A.
Out: Demissie A. | In: Gezahegn W.
Ethiopia
48'
Cisse S.
Guinea
53'
Markneh C.
Ethiopia
54'
🟨
Markneh C.
Ethiopia
64'
🔄
Guirassy S.
Out: Guirassy S. | In: Bayo M.
Guinea
65'
🔄
Conte I.
Out: Conte I. | In: Conte A.
Guinea
67'
🔄
Hamid S.
Out: Hamid S. | In: Tunjo A.
Ethiopia
72'
🔄
Dagnachew S.
Out: Dagnachew S. | In: Biniam A.
Ethiopia
72'
🔄
Gugsa C.
Out: Gugsa C. | In: Desta B.
Ethiopia
76'
🔄
Camara M.
Out: Camara M. | In: Conde C.
Guinea
76'
🔄
Kamano F.
Out: Kamano F. | In: Balde A.
Guinea
90'
🔄
Cisse S.
Out: Cisse S. | In: Camara A.
Guinea

AI Prediction

Top Pick30%
Away Win (2)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Away Win (2). Correct Score: 0:1.
Correct Score0:1

Win Probabilities

Guinea25.5%
Draw18.5%
Ethiopia56%

Match Analysis

Ethiopia is heavily favored to take the points, backed by a 56% win probability. Our AI model recommends backing Away Win (2), predicting a likely scoreline of 0:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Guinea's home ground.

Scoring Trends

Guinea
VS
Ethiopia
1.38
Goals Scored
1
0.75
Goals Conceded
1
1.18
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
75%
Over 1.5
63%
50%
Over 2.5
25%
13%
Over 3.5
13%

Head to Head Matches (H2H)

DateMatchScore
15.10.24
EthiopiavsGuinea
0:3
12.10.24
GuineavsEthiopia
4:1
27.03.23
EthiopiavsGuinea
2:3
24.03.23
GuineavsEthiopia
2:0
04.09.11
GuineavsEthiopia
1:0

Guinea Last Matches

DateMatchScore
04.06.26
Northern IrelandvsGuinea
1:0L
31.03.26
GuineavsBenin
0:1L
27.03.26
GuineavsTogo
2:2D
18.11.25
GuineavsNiger
1:1D
15.11.25
GuineavsLiberia
2:0W

Ethiopia Last Matches

DateMatchScore
09.06.26
EthiopiavsMalawi
1:1D
06.06.26
EthiopiavsMalawi
1:0W
31.03.26
EthiopiavsSao Tome and Principe
1:0W
27.03.26
Sao Tome and PrincipevsEthiopia
0:3W
12.10.25
Burkina FasovsEthiopia
3:1L

Group A

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Comoros
63307:412
2
Tunisia
63127:610
3
Gambia
62226:68
4
Madagascar
60244:82

Group B

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Morocco
660026:218
2
Gabon
63127:910
3
Lesotho
61142:134
4
Central Africa
61053:143

Group C

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Egypt
642012:214
2
Botswana
62224:78
3
Mauritania
62133:67
4
Cape Verde
61143:74

Group D

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Nigeria
63219:311
2
Benin
62227:78
3
Rwanda
62225:78
4
Libya
61233:75

Group E

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Algeria
651016:216
2
Equatorial Guinea
62225:88
3
Togo
61237:105
4
Liberia
61144:124

Group F

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Angola
64207:214
2
Sudan
62224:68
3
Niger
62137:67
4
Ghana
60333:73

Group G

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Zambia
64117:413
2
Ivory Coast
640212:312
3
Sierra Leone
61235:105
4
Chad
60331:83

Group H

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
D.R. Congo
64027:312
2
Tanzania
63125:410
3
Guinea
63039:59
4
Ethiopia
61143:124

Group I

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Mali
642010:114
2
Mozambique
63219:511
3
Guinea Bissau
61234:65
4
Eswatini
60242:132

Group J

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Cameroon
64208:214
2
Zimbabwe
62316:49
3
Kenya
61324:76
4
Namibia
60242:72

Group K

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
South Africa
642016:514
2
Uganda
64118:513
3
Congo
61144:124
4
South Sudan
61056:123

Group L

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Senegal
651010:116
2
Burkina Faso
631210:710
3
Burundi
61144:114
4
Malawi
61146:114