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Match Events
83'
⚽Andre Castro
83'
⚽
Andre Castro
Falcon
AI Prediction
Top Pick40%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 40%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 1:1.
Correct Score1:1
Win Probabilities
Guarany SE26%
Draw48%
Falcon26%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Sergipano is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Guarany SE (26%) and Falcon (26%). Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Guarany SE's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Guarany SE
VS
Falcon
Guarany SE
VS
Falcon
1.13
Goals Scored
0.63
1.13
Goals Scored
0.63
1.13
Goals Conceded
1.63
1.13
Goals Conceded
1.63
1.19
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
1.19
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
63%
Over 1.5
75%
63%
Over 1.5
75%
38%
Over 2.5
50%
38%
Over 2.5
50%
25%
Over 3.5
13%
25%
Over 3.5
13%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11.02.26 | Guarany SEvsFalcon | 0:1 |
| 15.02.25 | Guarany SEvsFalcon | 2:0 |
Guarany SE Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21.02.26 | ConfiancavsGuarany SE | 1:0L |
| 14.02.26 | ItabaianavsGuarany SE | 1:1D |
| 11.02.26 | Guarany SEvsFalcon | 0:1L |
| 08.02.26 | Guarany SEvsDesportiva Aracaju | 2:1W |
| 05.02.26 | ConfiancavsGuarany SE | 1:0L |
Falcon Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 20.02.26 | ItabaianavsFalcon | 1:0L |
| 14.02.26 | FalconvsDesportiva Aracaju | 2:0W |
| 11.02.26 | Guarany SEvsFalcon | 0:1W |
| 07.02.26 | America de PropriavsFalcon | 2:1L |
| 03.02.26 | FalconvsAtletico Gloriense | 2:1W |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sergipe | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 20 |
| 2 | Itabaiana | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:4 | 17 |
| 3 | Lagarto | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:8 | 16 |
| 4 | Confianca | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10:6 | 15 |
| 5 | Guarany SE | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | America de Propria | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 8:8 | 12 |
| 7 | Falcon | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Atletico Gloriense | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14:13 | 10 |
| 9 | Dorense | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 10 | Desportiva Aracaju | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:17 | 2 |