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Europe•UEFA Nations League 2024/2025
Sunday, Mar 23, 2025, 19:45Mar 23, 19:45
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Match Events
21'
🟨Gatti F.
Stiller A.🟨
22'
29'
🟨Buongiorno A.
Kimmich J.•
30'
Musiala J.âš½
36'
Kleindienst T.âš½
45'
46'
🔄Gatti F.
Out: Gatti F. In: Politano M.
46'
🔄Maldini D.
Out: Maldini D. In: Frattesi D.
49'
âš½Kean M.
Goretzka L.🔄
Out: Goretzka L. In: Amiri N.
63'
Sane L.🔄
Out: Sane L. In: Adeyemi K.
63'
Stiller A.🔄
Out: Stiller A. In: Gross P.
63'
Adeyemi K.🟨
68'
68'
🔄Tonali S.
Out: Tonali S. In: Raspadori G.
69'
âš½Kean M.
Musiala J.🔄
Out: Musiala J. In: Andrich R.
77'
Rudiger A.🔄
Out: Rudiger A. In: Bisseck Y.
77'
79'
🟨Bastoni A.
Kleindienst T.🟨
79'
85'
🔄Kean M.
Out: Kean M. In: Lucca L.
85'
🔄Ricci S.
Out: Ricci S. In: Zaccagni M.
90'
•Raspadori G.
90'
🟨Barella N.
21'
🟨
Gatti F.
Italy
22'
🟨
Stiller A.
Germany
29'
🟨
Buongiorno A.
Italy
30'
•
Kimmich J.
Germany
36'
âš½
Musiala J.
Germany
45'
âš½
Kleindienst T.
Germany
46'
🔄
Gatti F.
Out: Gatti F. | In: Politano M.
Italy
46'
🔄
Maldini D.
Out: Maldini D. | In: Frattesi D.
Italy
49'
âš½
Kean M.
Italy
63'
🔄
Goretzka L.
Out: Goretzka L. | In: Amiri N.
Germany
63'
🔄
Sane L.
Out: Sane L. | In: Adeyemi K.
Germany
63'
🔄
Stiller A.
Out: Stiller A. | In: Gross P.
Germany
68'
🟨
Adeyemi K.
Germany
68'
🔄
Tonali S.
Out: Tonali S. | In: Raspadori G.
Italy
69'
âš½
Kean M.
Italy
77'
🔄
Musiala J.
Out: Musiala J. | In: Andrich R.
Germany
77'
🔄
Rudiger A.
Out: Rudiger A. | In: Bisseck Y.
Germany
79'
🟨
Bastoni A.
Italy
79'
🟨
Kleindienst T.
Germany
85'
🔄
Kean M.
Out: Kean M. | In: Lucca L.
Italy
85'
🔄
Ricci S.
Out: Ricci S. | In: Zaccagni M.
Italy
90'
•
Raspadori G.
Italy
90'
🟨
Barella N.
Italy
AI Prediction
Top Pick100%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 100%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 1:0.
Correct Score1:0
Win Probabilities
Germany70%
Draw15%
Italy15%
Match Analysis
Germany enters this match as the clear favorite with a 70% chance of securing a win. Expect a high-scoring affair, as both sides have been prolific in front of goal recently. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:0. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Germany's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Germany
VS
Italy
Germany
VS
Italy
2.63
Goals Scored
1.75
2.63
Goals Scored
1.75
0.63
Goals Conceded
0.88
0.63
Goals Conceded
0.88
1.96
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
1.96
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
75%
Over 1.5
75%
75%
Over 1.5
75%
63%
Over 2.5
50%
63%
Over 2.5
50%
38%
Over 3.5
25%
38%
Over 3.5
25%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23.03.25 | GermanyvsItaly | 3:3 |
| 20.03.25 | ItalyvsGermany | 1:2 |
| 14.06.22 | GermanyvsItaly | 5:2 |
| 04.06.22 | ItalyvsGermany | 1:1 |
| 31.03.20 | GermanyvsItaly | 0:0 |
Germany Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 29.06.26 | GermanyvsParaguay | 1:2L |
| 25.06.26 | EcuadorvsGermany | 2:1L |
| 20.06.26 | GermanyvsIvory Coast | 2:1W |
| 14.06.26 | GermanyvsCuracao | 7:1W |
| 06.06.26 | USAvsGermany | 1:2W |
Italy Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 07.06.26 | GreecevsItaly | 0:1W |
| 03.06.26 | LuxembourgvsItaly | 0:1W |
| 31.03.26 | Bosnia & HerzegovinavsItaly | 2:1L |
| 26.03.26 | ItalyvsNorthern Ireland | 2:0W |
| 16.11.25 | ItalyvsNorway | 1:4L |