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Europe•UEFA Nations League 2024/2025
Sunday, Mar 23, 2025, 19:45Mar 23, 19:45
DWLDL
WDWLW
Match Events
21'
🟨Gatti F.
Stiller A.🟨
22'
29'
🟨Buongiorno A.
Kimmich J.•
30'
Musiala J.⚽
36'
Kleindienst T.⚽
45'
46'
🔄Gatti F.
Out: Gatti F. In: Politano M.
46'
🔄Maldini D.
Out: Maldini D. In: Frattesi D.
49'
⚽Kean M.
Goretzka L.🔄
Out: Goretzka L. In: Amiri N.
63'
Sane L.🔄
Out: Sane L. In: Adeyemi K.
63'
Stiller A.🔄
Out: Stiller A. In: Gross P.
63'
Adeyemi K.🟨
68'
68'
🔄Tonali S.
Out: Tonali S. In: Raspadori G.
69'
⚽Kean M.
Musiala J.🔄
Out: Musiala J. In: Andrich R.
77'
Rudiger A.🔄
Out: Rudiger A. In: Bisseck Y.
77'
79'
🟨Bastoni A.
Kleindienst T.🟨
79'
85'
🔄Kean M.
Out: Kean M. In: Lucca L.
85'
🔄Ricci S.
Out: Ricci S. In: Zaccagni M.
90'
•Raspadori G.
90'
🟨Barella N.
21'
🟨
Gatti F.
Italy
22'
🟨
Stiller A.
Germany
29'
🟨
Buongiorno A.
Italy
30'
•
Kimmich J.
Germany
36'
⚽
Musiala J.
Germany
45'
⚽
Kleindienst T.
Germany
46'
🔄
Gatti F.
Out: Gatti F. | In: Politano M.
Italy
46'
🔄
Maldini D.
Out: Maldini D. | In: Frattesi D.
Italy
49'
⚽
Kean M.
Italy
63'
🔄
Goretzka L.
Out: Goretzka L. | In: Amiri N.
Germany
63'
🔄
Sane L.
Out: Sane L. | In: Adeyemi K.
Germany
63'
🔄
Stiller A.
Out: Stiller A. | In: Gross P.
Germany
68'
🟨
Adeyemi K.
Germany
68'
🔄
Tonali S.
Out: Tonali S. | In: Raspadori G.
Italy
69'
⚽
Kean M.
Italy
77'
🔄
Musiala J.
Out: Musiala J. | In: Andrich R.
Germany
77'
🔄
Rudiger A.
Out: Rudiger A. | In: Bisseck Y.
Germany
79'
🟨
Bastoni A.
Italy
79'
🟨
Kleindienst T.
Germany
85'
🔄
Kean M.
Out: Kean M. | In: Lucca L.
Italy
85'
🔄
Ricci S.
Out: Ricci S. | In: Zaccagni M.
Italy
90'
•
Raspadori G.
Italy
90'
🟨
Barella N.
Italy
AI Prediction
Top Pick50%
Away Win (2)
AI prediction points: 50%. Pick: Away Win (2). Correct Score: 0:1.
Correct Score0:1
Win Probabilities
Germany22.5%
Draw17.5%
Italy60%
Match Analysis
Italy is heavily favored to take the points, backed by a 60% win probability. Expect a high-scoring affair, as both sides have been prolific in front of goal recently. Our AI model recommends backing Away Win (2), predicting a likely scoreline of 0:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Germany's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Germany
VS
Italy
Germany
VS
Italy
2.75
Goals Scored
1.57
2.75
Goals Scored
1.57
1.13
Goals Conceded
1
1.13
Goals Conceded
1
2.07
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
2.07
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
88%
Over 1.5
71%
88%
Over 1.5
71%
88%
Over 2.5
43%
88%
Over 2.5
43%
38%
Over 3.5
29%
38%
Over 3.5
29%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23.03.25 | GermanyvsItaly | 3:3 |
| 20.03.25 | ItalyvsGermany | 1:2 |
| 14.06.22 | GermanyvsItaly | 5:2 |
| 04.06.22 | ItalyvsGermany | 1:1 |
| 31.03.20 | GermanyvsItaly | 0:0 |
Germany Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 04.10.26 | GreecevsGermany | 0:0D |
| 01.10.26 | GermanyvsSerbia | 2:0W |
| 27.09.26 | GermanyvsGreece | 0:1L |
| 24.09.26 | NetherlandsvsGermany | 1:1D |
| 29.06.26 | GermanyvsParaguay | 1:2L |
Italy Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 05.10.26 | ItalyvsTurkey | 3:1W |
| 02.10.26 | FrancevsItaly | 1:1D |
| 28.09.26 | TurkeyvsItaly | 1:4W |
| 25.09.26 | ItalyvsBelgium | 0:2L |
| 07.06.26 | GreecevsItaly | 0:1W |