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Europe•UEFA Nations League
Oct 2, 18:45
1:1
finished
WDWWL
WDWLW

Match Events

54'
🟨
Fagioli N.
Italy
55'
⚽
Olise M.
France
62'
🔄
Tonali S.
Out: Tonali S. | In: Barella N.
Italy
62'
🔄
Esposito F.
Out: Esposito F. | In: Vergara A.
Italy
68'
⚽
Bastoni A.
Italy
73'
🟨
Upamecano D.
France
73'
🟨
Kean M.
Italy
76'
🔄
Doue D.
Out: Doue D. | In: Barcola B.
France
76'
🔄
Cherki R.
Out: Cherki R. | In: Camavinga E.
France
80'
🔄
Esposito Se.
Out: Esposito Se. | In: Maldini D.
Italy
80'
🔄
Frattesi D.
Out: Frattesi D. | In: Doumbia I.
Italy
82'
🟨
Vergara A.
Italy
85'
🟨
Upamecano D.
France
85'
🟥
Upamecano D.
France
87'
🔄
Da Cunha L.
Out: Da Cunha L. | In: Lacroix M.
France
90'
🔄
Fagioli N.
Out: Fagioli N. | In: Scamacca G.
Italy
90'
🟨
Bastoni A.
Italy

AI Prediction

Top Pick30%
Away Win (2)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Away Win (2). Correct Score: 3:5.
Correct Score3:5

Win Probabilities

France25.5%
Draw18.5%
Italy56%

Match Analysis

Italy is heavily favored to take the points, backed by a 56% win probability. Expect a high-scoring affair, as both sides have been prolific in front of goal recently. Our AI model recommends backing Away Win (2), predicting a likely scoreline of 3:5. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at France's home ground.

Scoring Trends

France
VS
Italy
2.5
Goals Scored
1.57
0.63
Goals Conceded
1
1.91
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
88%
Over 1.5
71%
75%
Over 2.5
43%
38%
Over 3.5
29%

Head to Head Matches (H2H)

DateMatchScore
02.10.26
FrancevsItaly
1:1
17.11.24
ItalyvsFrance
1:3
06.09.24
FrancevsItaly
1:3
01.06.18
FrancevsItaly
3:1
01.09.16
ItalyvsFrance
1:3

France Last Matches

DateMatchScore
05.10.26
FrancevsBelgium
4:1W
02.10.26
FrancevsItaly
1:1D
28.09.26
BelgiumvsFrance
0:1W
25.09.26
TurkeyvsFrance
0:1W
18.07.26
FrancevsEngland
4:6L

Italy Last Matches

DateMatchScore
05.10.26
ItalyvsTurkey
3:1W
02.10.26
FrancevsItaly
1:1D
28.09.26
TurkeyvsItaly
1:4W
25.09.26
ItalyvsBelgium
0:2L
07.06.26
GreecevsItaly
0:1W

Group 1

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
France
43107:210
2
Italy
42118:57
3
Belgium
42026:56
4
Turkey
40042:110

Group 2

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Netherlands
42207:58
2
Greece
42205:38
3
Germany
41213:25
4
Serbia
40043:80

Group 3

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Spain
440012:512
2
England
430114:39
3
Croatia
41034:143
4
Czech Republic
40042:100

Group 4

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Portugal
44009:412
2
Denmark
42027:76
3
Wales
41032:53
4
Norway
41036:83