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Match Events
54'
🔄Nicolussi Caviglia H.
Out: Nicolussi Caviglia H. In: Ordonez C.
Mandragora R.🟨
61'
Mandragora R.🔄
Out: Mandragora R. In: Fabbian G.
64'
72'
🔄Pellegrino M.
Out: Pellegrino M. In: Elphege N.
72'
🔄Strefezza G.
Out: Strefezza G. In: Oristanio G.
Harrison J.🔄
Out: Harrison J. In: Fazzini J.
81'
82'
🔄Sorensen O.
Out: Sorensen O. In: Estevez N.
Ndour C.🔄
Out: Ndour C. In: Brescianini M.
86'
Pongracic M.🔄
Out: Pongracic M. In: Comuzzo P.
86'
Dodo🟨
90'
54'
🔄
Nicolussi Caviglia H.
Out: Nicolussi Caviglia H. | In: Ordonez C.
Parma
61'
🟨
Mandragora R.
Fiorentina
64'
🔄
Mandragora R.
Out: Mandragora R. | In: Fabbian G.
Fiorentina
72'
🔄
Pellegrino M.
Out: Pellegrino M. | In: Elphege N.
Parma
72'
🔄
Strefezza G.
Out: Strefezza G. | In: Oristanio G.
Parma
81'
🔄
Harrison J.
Out: Harrison J. | In: Fazzini J.
Fiorentina
82'
🔄
Sorensen O.
Out: Sorensen O. | In: Estevez N.
Parma
86'
🔄
Ndour C.
Out: Ndour C. | In: Brescianini M.
Fiorentina
86'
🔄
Pongracic M.
Out: Pongracic M. | In: Comuzzo P.
Fiorentina
90'
🟨
Dodo
Fiorentina
AI Prediction
Top Pick30%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 1:1.
Correct Score1:1
Win Probabilities
Fiorentina27%
Draw46%
Parma27%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Serie A 2025/2026 is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Fiorentina (27%) and Parma (27%). Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Fiorentina's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Fiorentina
VS
Parma
Fiorentina
VS
Parma
0.63
Goals Scored
0.88
0.63
Goals Scored
0.88
1.13
Goals Conceded
1
1.13
Goals Conceded
1
0.69
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
0.69
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
50%
Over 1.5
50%
50%
Over 1.5
50%
38%
Over 2.5
13%
38%
Over 2.5
13%
13%
Over 3.5
13%
13%
Over 3.5
13%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 08.03.26 | FiorentinavsParma | 0:0 |
| 27.12.25 | ParmavsFiorentina | 1:0 |
| 13.04.25 | FiorentinavsParma | 0:0 |
| 17.08.24 | ParmavsFiorentina | 1:1 |
| 06.12.23 | FiorentinavsParma | 3:2 |
Fiorentina Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 22.05.26 | FiorentinavsAtalanta | 1:1D |
| 17.05.26 | JuventusvsFiorentina | 0:2W |
| 10.05.26 | FiorentinavsGenoa | 0:0D |
| 04.05.26 | AS RomavsFiorentina | 4:0L |
| 26.04.26 | FiorentinavsSassuolo | 0:0D |
Parma Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 24.05.26 | ParmavsSassuolo | 1:0W |
| 17.05.26 | ComovsParma | 1:0L |
| 10.05.26 | ParmavsAS Roma | 2:3L |
| 03.05.26 | IntervsParma | 2:0L |
| 25.04.26 | ParmavsPisa | 1:0W |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89:35 | 87 |
| 2 | Napoli | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58:36 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59:31 | 73 |
| 4 | Como | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65:29 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53:35 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:34 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51:36 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49:46 | 56 |
| 9 | Lazio | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41:40 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45:48 | 50 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46:50 | 49 |
| 12 | Torino | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:63 | 45 |
| 13 | Parma | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28:46 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:53 | 43 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:50 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | 41 |
| 17 | Lecce | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28:50 | 38 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32:57 | 34 |
| 19 | Verona | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25:61 | 21 |
| 20 | Pisa | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26:71 | 18 |