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Mozambique•Mocambola
Thursday, May 14, 2026, 13:00May 14, 13:00
LDLDD
DWDDD
AI Prediction
Top Pick30%
Away Win (2)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Away Win (2). Correct Score: 1:2.
Correct Score1:2
Win Probabilities
Ferroviario Nacala25.5%
Draw18.5%
Baia de Pemba56%
Match Analysis
Baia de Pemba is heavily favored to take the points, backed by a 56% win probability. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Away Win (2), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Ferroviario Nacala's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Ferroviario Nacala
VS
Baia de Pemba
Ferroviario Nacala
VS
Baia de Pemba
0.38
Goals Scored
0.63
0.38
Goals Scored
0.63
0.5
Goals Conceded
1
0.5
Goals Conceded
1
0.53
Expected Goals (xG)
0.49
0.53
Expected Goals (xG)
0.49
25%
Over 1.5
38%
25%
Over 1.5
38%
0%
Over 2.5
25%
0%
Over 2.5
25%
0%
Over 3.5
13%
0%
Over 3.5
13%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14.05.26 | Ferroviario NacalavsBaia de Pemba | 1:0 |
| 23.09.25 | Baia de PembavsFerroviario Nacala | 3:0 |
| 05.07.25 | Ferroviario NacalavsBaia de Pemba | 1:0 |
| 19.08.23 | Baia de PembavsFerroviario Nacala | 1:0 |
| 06.05.23 | Ferroviario NacalavsBaia de Pemba | 0:1 |
Ferroviario Nacala Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01.08.26 | Ferroviario NacalavsChingale de Tete | 0:1L |
| 27.07.26 | Ferroviario NacalavsUD Songo | 0:0D |
| 03.07.26 | Ferroviario BeiravsFerroviario Nacala | 2:0L |
| 29.06.26 | SofalavsFerroviario Nacala | 0:0D |
| 20.06.26 | Ferroviario NacalavsFerroviario Lichinga | 0:0D |
Baia de Pemba Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 29.07.26 | Baia de PembavsSofala | 0:0D |
| 25.07.26 | Baia de PembavsFerroviario Beira | 2:1W |
| 01.07.26 | Chingale de TetevsBaia de Pemba | 0:0D |
| 26.06.26 | UD SongovsBaia de Pemba | 1:1D |
| 18.06.26 | Baia de PembavsENH Vilankulo | 2:2D |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferroviario Beira | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 13:6 | 20 |
| 2 | UD Songo | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 12:8 | 18 |
| 3 | Associacao Black Bulls | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 11:3 | 17 |
| 4 | Ferroviario Nampula | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 17 |
| 5 | Costa do Sol | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:8 | 15 |
| 6 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 7 | Sofala | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6:10 | 14 |
| 8 | Ferroviario Nacala | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6:5 | 13 |
| 9 | Ferroviario Maputo | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5:5 | 11 |
| 10 | ENH Vilankulo | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 10:9 | 9 |
| 11 | AD Pemba | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5:11 | 8 |
| 12 | Baia de Pemba | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5:8 | 7 |
| 13 | Chingale de Tete | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2:10 | 7 |
| 14 | Maxaquene | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4:11 | 4 |