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Mozambique•Mocambola
Thursday, May 14, 2026, 13:00May 14, 13:00
LLLWL
WDWDL
AI Prediction
Top Pick60%
Away Win (2)
AI prediction points: 60%. Pick: Away Win (2). Correct Score: 1:2.
Correct Score1:2
Win Probabilities
Ferroviario Nacala21%
Draw17%
Baia de Pemba62%
Match Analysis
Baia de Pemba is heavily favored to take the points, backed by a 62% win probability. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Away Win (2), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Ferroviario Nacala's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Ferroviario Nacala
VS
Baia de Pemba
Ferroviario Nacala
VS
Baia de Pemba
0.13
Goals Scored
0.5
0.13
Goals Scored
0.5
0.88
Goals Conceded
0.38
0.88
Goals Conceded
0.38
0.19
Expected Goals (xG)
0.52
0.19
Expected Goals (xG)
0.52
25%
Over 1.5
25%
25%
Over 1.5
25%
13%
Over 2.5
13%
13%
Over 2.5
13%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25.08.26 | Baia de PembavsFerroviario Nacala | 1:0 |
| 14.05.26 | Ferroviario NacalavsBaia de Pemba | 1:0 |
| 23.09.25 | Baia de PembavsFerroviario Nacala | 3:0 |
| 05.07.25 | Ferroviario NacalavsBaia de Pemba | 1:0 |
| 19.08.23 | Baia de PembavsFerroviario Nacala | 1:0 |
Ferroviario Nacala Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25.08.26 | Baia de PembavsFerroviario Nacala | 1:0L |
| 21.08.26 | AD PembavsFerroviario Nacala | 1:0L |
| 17.08.26 | Ferroviario NacalavsAssociacao Black Bulls | 0:1L |
| 14.08.26 | Ferroviario NacalavsFerroviario Maputo | 1:0W |
| 10.08.26 | MaxaquenevsFerroviario Nacala | 1:0L |
Baia de Pemba Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25.08.26 | Baia de PembavsFerroviario Nacala | 1:0W |
| 22.08.26 | Baia de PembavsFerroviario Nampula | 0:0D |
| 19.08.26 | Baia de PembavsCosta do Sol | 1:0W |
| 14.08.26 | Baia de PembavsMaxaquene | 0:0D |
| 09.08.26 | Associacao Black BullsvsBaia de Pemba | 1:0L |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Associacao Black Bulls | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 23:8 | 35 |
| 2 | Costa do Sol | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21:9 | 28 |
| 3 | Ferroviario Beira | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 19:8 | 28 |
| 4 | Ferroviario Nampula | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 17:17 | 25 |
| 5 | UD Songo | 16 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 16:13 | 24 |
| 6 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 11:11 | 21 |
| 7 | Sofala | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 8:15 | 18 |
| 8 | AD Pemba | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 9:17 | 17 |
| 9 | Ferroviario Maputo | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10:11 | 16 |
| 10 | Baia de Pemba | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 7:9 | 16 |
| 11 | Ferroviario Nacala | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 7:12 | 16 |
| 12 | ENH Vilankulo | 13 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 15:13 | 14 |
| 13 | Maxaquene | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 7:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Chingale de Tete | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 3:13 | 9 |