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Mozambique•Mocambola
Monday, May 11, 2026, 13:00May 11, 13:00
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AI Prediction
Top Pick30%
Away Win (2)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Away Win (2). Correct Score: 1:2.
Correct Score1:2
Win Probabilities
Ferroviario Nacala25.5%
Draw18.5%
AD Pemba56%
Match Analysis
AD Pemba is heavily favored to take the points, backed by a 56% win probability. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Away Win (2), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Ferroviario Nacala's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Ferroviario Nacala
VS
AD Pemba
Ferroviario Nacala
VS
AD Pemba
0.13
Goals Scored
0.38
0.13
Goals Scored
0.38
1
Goals Conceded
1.5
1
Goals Conceded
1.5
0.50
Expected Goals (xG)
0.49
0.50
Expected Goals (xG)
0.49
25%
Over 1.5
75%
25%
Over 1.5
75%
13%
Over 2.5
25%
13%
Over 2.5
25%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21.08.26 | AD PembavsFerroviario Nacala | 1:0 |
| 11.05.26 | Ferroviario NacalavsAD Pemba | 1:0 |
Ferroviario Nacala Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25.08.26 | Baia de PembavsFerroviario Nacala | 1:0L |
| 21.08.26 | AD PembavsFerroviario Nacala | 1:0L |
| 17.08.26 | Ferroviario NacalavsAssociacao Black Bulls | 0:1L |
| 14.08.26 | Ferroviario NacalavsFerroviario Maputo | 1:0W |
| 10.08.26 | MaxaquenevsFerroviario Nacala | 1:0L |
AD Pemba Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 26.08.26 | AD PembavsFerroviario Nampula | 2:0W |
| 21.08.26 | AD PembavsFerroviario Nacala | 1:0W |
| 18.08.26 | AD PembavsMaxaquene | 1:0W |
| 15.08.26 | AD PembavsCosta do Sol | 0:2L |
| 09.08.26 | Ferroviario MaputovsAD Pemba | 2:0L |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Associacao Black Bulls | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 20:7 | 32 |
| 2 | Costa do Sol | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21:9 | 28 |
| 3 | Ferroviario Beira | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 19:8 | 28 |
| 4 | Ferroviario Nampula | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 17:17 | 25 |
| 5 | UD Songo | 15 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 15:10 | 24 |
| 6 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 11:11 | 21 |
| 7 | Sofala | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8:15 | 17 |
| 8 | AD Pemba | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 9:17 | 17 |
| 9 | Ferroviario Maputo | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10:11 | 16 |
| 10 | Baia de Pemba | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 7:9 | 16 |
| 11 | Ferroviario Nacala | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 7:12 | 16 |
| 12 | ENH Vilankulo | 13 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 15:13 | 14 |
| 13 | Maxaquene | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 7:17 | 9 |
| 14 | Chingale de Tete | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 3:13 | 9 |