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Mozambique•Mocambola
Monday, May 11, 2026, 13:00May 11, 13:00
DDWWW
WLLLW
AI Prediction
Top Pick70%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 70%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 2:1.
Correct Score2:1
Win Probabilities
Ferroviario Nacala64%
Draw16.5%
AD Pemba19.5%
Match Analysis
Ferroviario Nacala enters this match as the clear favorite with a 64% chance of securing a win. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Ferroviario Nacala's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Ferroviario Nacala
VS
AD Pemba
Ferroviario Nacala
VS
AD Pemba
0.88
Goals Scored
0.57
0.88
Goals Scored
0.57
0.25
Goals Conceded
0.86
0.25
Goals Conceded
0.86
0.81
Expected Goals (xG)
0.38
0.81
Expected Goals (xG)
0.38
25%
Over 1.5
43%
25%
Over 1.5
43%
25%
Over 2.5
29%
25%
Over 2.5
29%
13%
Over 3.5
0%
13%
Over 3.5
0%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11.05.26 | Ferroviario NacalavsAD Pemba | 1:0 |
Ferroviario Nacala Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 20.06.26 | Ferroviario NacalavsFerroviario Lichinga | 0:0D |
| 23.05.26 | ENH VilankulovsFerroviario Nacala | 1:1D |
| 14.05.26 | Ferroviario NacalavsBaia de Pemba | 1:0W |
| 11.05.26 | Ferroviario NacalavsAD Pemba | 1:0W |
| 03.05.26 | Ferroviario NampulavsFerroviario Nacala | 1:3W |
AD Pemba Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21.06.26 | AD PembavsENH Vilankulo | 2:1W |
| 20.05.26 | Ferroviario LichingavsAD Pemba | 2:0L |
| 14.05.26 | Ferroviario NampulavsAD Pemba | 2:1L |
| 11.05.26 | Ferroviario NacalavsAD Pemba | 1:0L |
| 03.05.26 | Baia de PembavsAD Pemba | 0:1W |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferroviario Beira | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7:1 | 15 |
| 2 | Associacao Black Bulls | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9:2 | 13 |
| 3 | Costa do Sol | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 12 |
| 4 | UD Songo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:7 | 12 |
| 5 | Ferroviario Nacala | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 11 |
| 6 | Ferroviario Nampula | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 9 |
| 7 | Sofala | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4:7 | 9 |
| 8 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:2 | 8 |
| 9 | Ferroviario Maputo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3:5 | 8 |
| 10 | ENH Vilankulo | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 11 | AD Pemba | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 12 | Maxaquene | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2:8 | 3 |
| 13 | Chingale de Tete | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1:8 | 2 |
| 14 | Baia de Pemba | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:6 | 1 |