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Match Events
50'
•Luan Silva
64'
⚽Yago Henrique
Andre Castro🟥
88'
50'
•
Luan Silva
Itabaiana
64'
⚽
Yago Henrique
Itabaiana
88'
🟥
Andre Castro
Falcon
AI Prediction
Top Pick30%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 2:2.
Correct Score2:2
Win Probabilities
Falcon27%
Draw46%
Itabaiana27%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Sergipano is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Falcon (27%) and Itabaiana (27%). Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Falcon's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Falcon
VS
Itabaiana
Falcon
VS
Itabaiana
0
Goals Scored
0.75
0
Goals Scored
0.75
0
Goals Conceded
1.88
0
Goals Conceded
1.88
0.53
Expected Goals (xG)
0.41
0.53
Expected Goals (xG)
0.41
0%
Over 1.5
63%
0%
Over 1.5
63%
0%
Over 2.5
50%
0%
Over 2.5
50%
0%
Over 3.5
25%
0%
Over 3.5
25%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 20.02.26 | ItabaianavsFalcon | 1:0 |
| 16.01.26 | FalconvsItabaiana | 0:2 |
| 01.02.25 | ItabaianavsFalcon | 4:0 |
| 18.02.24 | ItabaianavsFalcon | 4:0 |
| 26.03.23 | ItabaianavsFalcon | 2:1 |
Falcon Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 20.02.26 | ItabaianavsFalcon | 1:0L |
| 14.02.26 | FalconvsDesportiva Aracaju | 2:0W |
| 11.02.26 | Guarany SEvsFalcon | 0:1W |
| 07.02.26 | America de PropriavsFalcon | 2:1L |
| 03.02.26 | FalconvsAtletico Gloriense | 2:1W |
Itabaiana Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13.07.26 | ItabaianavsBrusque | 1:0W |
| 07.07.26 | AmazonasvsItabaiana | 0:2W |
| 27.06.26 | ItabaianavsFerroviaria | 1:0W |
| 20.06.26 | AnapolisvsItabaiana | 2:0L |
| 14.06.26 | ItabaianavsItuano | 2:2D |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sergipe | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 20 |
| 2 | Itabaiana | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:4 | 17 |
| 3 | Lagarto | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:8 | 16 |
| 4 | Confianca | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10:6 | 15 |
| 5 | Guarany SE | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | America de Propria | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 8:8 | 12 |
| 7 | Falcon | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Atletico Gloriense | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14:13 | 10 |
| 9 | Dorense | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 10 | Desportiva Aracaju | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:17 | 2 |