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Ethiopia•Premier League
Thursday, Feb 5, 2026, 10:00Feb 5, 10:00
LLLWD
WLWWL
AI Prediction
Top Pick50%
Away Win (2)
AI prediction points: 50%. Pick: Away Win (2). Correct Score: 0:1.
Correct Score0:1
Win Probabilities
Ethiopian Insurance22.5%
Draw17.5%
Fasil Kenema60%
Match Analysis
Fasil Kenema is heavily favored to take the points, backed by a 60% win probability. Our AI model recommends backing Away Win (2), predicting a likely scoreline of 0:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Ethiopian Insurance's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Ethiopian Insurance
VS
Fasil Kenema
Ethiopian Insurance
VS
Fasil Kenema
1.25
Goals Scored
1
1.25
Goals Scored
1
0.88
Goals Conceded
1.13
0.88
Goals Conceded
1.13
1.13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
1.13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
63%
Over 1.5
63%
63%
Over 1.5
63%
38%
Over 2.5
38%
38%
Over 2.5
38%
13%
Over 3.5
25%
13%
Over 3.5
25%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01.07.26 | Fasil KenemavsEthiopian Insurance | 1:0 |
| 05.02.26 | Ethiopian InsurancevsFasil Kenema | 0:0 |
| 13.05.25 | Fasil KenemavsEthiopian Insurance | 0:2 |
| 05.02.25 | Ethiopian InsurancevsFasil Kenema | 0:1 |
| 09.03.24 | Ethiopian InsurancevsFasil Kenema | 0:2 |
Ethiopian Insurance Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01.07.26 | Fasil KenemavsEthiopian Insurance | 1:0L |
| 27.06.26 | Ethiopian InsurancevsShire Endaselassie | 0:3L |
| 21.06.26 | Mechal SCvsEthiopian Insurance | 1:0L |
| 14.06.26 | Ethiopian InsurancevsDire Dawa | 1:0W |
| 30.05.26 | Welwalo AdigratvsEthiopian Insurance | 1:1D |
Fasil Kenema Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01.07.26 | Fasil KenemavsEthiopian Insurance | 1:0W |
| 26.06.26 | St. GeorgesvsFasil Kenema | 1:0L |
| 22.06.26 | Fasil KenemavsArba Menche | 2:0W |
| 15.06.26 | Hadiya HossanavsFasil Kenema | 0:1W |
| 29.05.26 | Fasil KenemavsSheger Ketema FC | 0:1L |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |