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AfricaAfrica Cup of Nations 2025
Nov 16, 16:00
0:2
finished
DWWWL
WLLDD

Match Events

15'
Msuva S.
Tanzania
31'
Salum F.
Tanzania
46'
🔄
Arbo A.
Out: Arbo A. | In: Tefera A.
Ethiopia
46'
🔄
Mamo D.
Out: Mamo D. | In: Kassaye Y.
Ethiopia
52'
🟨
Demissie A.
Ethiopia
58'
🟨
Kasa F.
Ethiopia
63'
🔄
Gugsa C.
Out: Gugsa C. | In: James R.
Ethiopia
63'
🔄
Demissie A.
Out: Demissie A. | In: Wolde B.
Ethiopia
66'
🔄
Miroshi N.
Out: Miroshi N. | In: Bitegeko A.
Tanzania
66'
🔄
Mzize C.
Out: Mzize C. | In: Kibu D.
Tanzania
69'
🟨
Mnata M.
Tanzania
74'
🟨
Manula A.
Tanzania
85'
🔄
Yahya M.
Out: Yahya M. | In: Ame I.
Tanzania
85'
🔄
Samatta A.
Out: Samatta A. | In: Saadun N.
Tanzania
88'
🔄
Kasa F.
Out: Kasa F. | In: Terfa A.
Ethiopia
90'
🔄
Msuva S.
Out: Msuva S. | In: Msindo P.
Tanzania

AI Prediction

Top Pick30%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 1:0.
Correct Score1:0

Win Probabilities

Ethiopia56%
Draw18.5%
Tanzania25.5%

Match Analysis

Ethiopia enters this match as the clear favorite with a 56% chance of securing a win. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:0. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Ethiopia's home ground.

Scoring Trends

Ethiopia
VS
Tanzania
1
Goals Scored
0.75
0.57
Goals Conceded
1.5
1.07
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57
43%
Over 1.5
63%
29%
Over 2.5
25%
14%
Over 3.5
13%

Head to Head Matches (H2H)

DateMatchScore
16.11.24
EthiopiavsTanzania
0:2
04.09.24
TanzaniavsEthiopia
0:0
30.11.15
TanzaniavsEthiopia
1:2
28.11.15
TanzaniavsEthiopia
1:1
11.01.13
EthiopiavsTanzania
2:1

Ethiopia Last Matches

DateMatchScore
09.06.26
EthiopiavsMalawi
1:1D
06.06.26
EthiopiavsMalawi
1:0W
31.03.26
EthiopiavsSao Tome and Principe
1:0W
27.03.26
Sao Tome and PrincipevsEthiopia
0:3W
12.10.25
Burkina FasovsEthiopia
3:1L

Tanzania Last Matches

DateMatchScore
29.03.26
MacauvsTanzania
0:6W
26.03.26
TanzaniavsLiechtenstein
0:1L
04.01.26
MoroccovsTanzania
1:0L
30.12.25
TanzaniavsTunisia
1:1D
27.12.25
UgandavsTanzania
1:1D

Group A

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Comoros
63307:412
2
Tunisia
63127:610
3
Gambia
62226:68
4
Madagascar
60244:82

Group B

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Morocco
660026:218
2
Gabon
63127:910
3
Lesotho
61142:134
4
Central Africa
61053:143

Group C

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Egypt
642012:214
2
Botswana
62224:78
3
Mauritania
62133:67
4
Cape Verde
61143:74

Group D

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Nigeria
63219:311
2
Benin
62227:78
3
Rwanda
62225:78
4
Libya
61233:75

Group E

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Algeria
651016:216
2
Equatorial Guinea
62225:88
3
Togo
61237:105
4
Liberia
61144:124

Group F

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Angola
64207:214
2
Sudan
62224:68
3
Niger
62137:67
4
Ghana
60333:73

Group G

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Zambia
64117:413
2
Ivory Coast
640212:312
3
Sierra Leone
61235:105
4
Chad
60331:83

Group H

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
D.R. Congo
64027:312
2
Tanzania
63125:410
3
Guinea
63039:59
4
Ethiopia
61143:124

Group I

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Mali
642010:114
2
Mozambique
63219:511
3
Guinea Bissau
61234:65
4
Eswatini
60242:132

Group J

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Cameroon
64208:214
2
Zimbabwe
62316:49
3
Kenya
61324:76
4
Namibia
60242:72

Group K

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
South Africa
642016:514
2
Uganda
64118:513
3
Congo
61144:124
4
South Sudan
61056:123

Group L

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Senegal
651010:116
2
Burkina Faso
631210:710
3
Burundi
61144:114
4
Malawi
61146:114