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Europe•UEFA Nations League
Saturday, Oct 3, 2026, 16:00Oct 3, 16:00
DWDDW
LLLWW
Match Events
Peetson R.⚽
5'
29'
🟨Mahmutovic E.
Henn J.🟨
44'
62'
🔄Dardari A.
Out: Dardari A. In: Kadamani H.
62'
🔄Duarte E.
Out: Duarte E. In: Thill S.
Mannilaan M.🔄
Out: Mannilaan M. In: Mustmaa K.
66'
68'
🟨Natami O.
Palumets K.🔄
Out: Palumets K. In: Soomets M.
72'
73'
🔄Thill V.
Out: Thill V. In: Rupil T.
Kuusk M.🟨
73'
78'
🟨Selimovic V.
Kait M.🔄
Out: Kait M. In: Ainsalu M.
80'
Mets K.🟨
82'
83'
🔄Bohnert F.
Out: Bohnert F. In: Olesen M.
83'
🔄Mahmutovic E.
Out: Mahmutovic E. In: Dzogovic E.
84'
🟨Barreiro L.
85'
🟨Dzogovic E.
87'
🟨Olesen M.
Poom M.🟨
88'
5'
⚽
Peetson R.
Estonia
29'
🟨
Mahmutovic E.
Luxembourg
44'
🟨
Henn J.
Estonia
62'
🔄
Dardari A.
Out: Dardari A. | In: Kadamani H.
Luxembourg
62'
🔄
Duarte E.
Out: Duarte E. | In: Thill S.
Luxembourg
66'
🔄
Mannilaan M.
Out: Mannilaan M. | In: Mustmaa K.
Estonia
68'
🟨
Natami O.
Luxembourg
72'
🔄
Palumets K.
Out: Palumets K. | In: Soomets M.
Estonia
73'
🔄
Thill V.
Out: Thill V. | In: Rupil T.
Luxembourg
73'
🟨
Kuusk M.
Estonia
78'
🟨
Selimovic V.
Luxembourg
80'
🔄
Kait M.
Out: Kait M. | In: Ainsalu M.
Estonia
82'
🟨
Mets K.
Estonia
83'
🔄
Bohnert F.
Out: Bohnert F. | In: Olesen M.
Luxembourg
83'
🔄
Mahmutovic E.
Out: Mahmutovic E. | In: Dzogovic E.
Luxembourg
84'
🟨
Barreiro L.
Luxembourg
85'
🟨
Dzogovic E.
Luxembourg
87'
🟨
Olesen M.
Luxembourg
88'
🟨
Poom M.
Estonia
AI Prediction
Top Pick100%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 100%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 1:0.
Correct Score1:0
Win Probabilities
Estonia70%
Draw15%
Luxembourg15%
Match Analysis
Estonia enters this match as the clear favorite with a 70% chance of securing a win. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:0. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Estonia's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Estonia
VS
Luxembourg
Estonia
VS
Luxembourg
1.38
Goals Scored
1
1.38
Goals Scored
1
1.38
Goals Conceded
1
1.38
Goals Conceded
1
1.18
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
1.18
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
75%
Over 1.5
63%
75%
Over 1.5
63%
38%
Over 2.5
38%
38%
Over 2.5
38%
25%
Over 3.5
0%
25%
Over 3.5
0%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 03.10.26 | EstoniavsLuxembourg | 1:0 |
| 12.10.05 | LuxembourgvsEstonia | 0:2 |
| 04.09.04 | EstoniavsLuxembourg | 4:0 |
| 25.04.00 | LuxembourgvsEstonia | 1:1 |
Estonia Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 06.10.26 | EstoniavsIceland | 0:0D |
| 03.10.26 | EstoniavsLuxembourg | 1:0W |
| 29.09.26 | BulgariavsEstonia | 0:0D |
| 26.09.26 | IcelandvsEstonia | 1:1D |
| 09.06.26 | EstoniavsLithuania | 1:0W |
Luxembourg Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 06.10.26 | LuxembourgvsBulgaria | 0:2L |
| 03.10.26 | EstoniavsLuxembourg | 1:0L |
| 29.09.26 | LuxembourgvsIceland | 0:3L |
| 26.09.26 | BulgariavsLuxembourg | 1:2W |
| 06.06.26 | AlbaniavsLuxembourg | 0:1W |
Group 1
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albania | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Belarus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Finland | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:2 | 7 |
| 4 | San Marino | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:16 | 0 |
Group 2
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
Group 3
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slovakia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 3 | Moldova | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 2 |
Group 4
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iceland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:1 | 8 |
| 2 | Estonia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Bulgaria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | 3 |