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WorldWorld Championship 2026
Oct 11, 18:45
1:3
finished
WWLWW
WWLWL

Match Events

4'
Kean M.
Italy
12'
🟨
Barella N.
Italy
15'
🔄
Kean M.
Out: Kean M. | In: Esposito F.
Italy
29'
🟨
Kuusk M.
Estonia
30'
Retegui M.
Italy
38'
Retegui M.
Italy
41'
🟨
Palumets K.
Estonia
46'
🔄
Palumets K.
Out: Palumets K. | In: Schjonning-Larsen M.
Estonia
46'
🔄
Saliste J.
Out: Saliste J. | In: Sinyavskiy V.
Estonia
59'
🟨
Peetson R.
Estonia
62'
🔄
Orsolini R.
Out: Orsolini R. | In: Cambiaso A.
Italy
62'
🔄
Raspadori G.
Out: Raspadori G. | In: Spinazzola L.
Italy
62'
🔄
Tamm A.
Out: Tamm A. | In: Sappinen R.
Estonia
62'
🔄
Kuusk M.
Out: Kuusk M. | In: Mets K.
Estonia
72'
🟨
Bastoni A.
Italy
74'
Esposito F.
Italy
76'
Sappinen R.
Estonia
78'
🔄
Retegui M.
Out: Retegui M. | In: Cristante B.
Italy
78'
🔄
Barella N.
Out: Barella N. | In: Frattesi D.
Italy
83'
🔄
Shein R. R.
Out: Shein R. R. | In: Mustmaa K.
Estonia
84'
🟨
Cambiaso A.
Italy
87'
🟨
Sinyavskiy V.
Estonia

AI Prediction

Top Pick40%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 40%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 2:2.
Correct Score2:2

Win Probabilities

Estonia26%
Draw48%
Italy26%

Match Analysis

This matchup in the World Championship 2026 is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Estonia (26%) and Italy (26%). Expect a high-scoring affair, as both sides have been prolific in front of goal recently. Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Estonia's home ground.

Scoring Trends

Estonia
VS
Italy
1.13
Goals Scored
2.88
2.13
Goals Conceded
1.13
1.05
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18
75%
Over 1.5
100%
63%
Over 2.5
63%
50%
Over 3.5
50%

Head to Head Matches (H2H)

DateMatchScore
11.10.25
EstoniavsItaly
1:3
05.09.25
ItalyvsEstonia
5:0
11.11.20
ItalyvsEstonia
4:0
03.06.11
ItalyvsEstonia
3:0
03.09.10
EstoniavsItaly
1:2

Estonia Last Matches

DateMatchScore
09.06.26
EstoniavsLithuania
1:0W
06.06.26
EstoniavsFaroe Islands
1:0W
30.03.26
RwandavsEstonia
2:0L
27.03.26
KenyavsEstonia
1:2W
18.11.25
CyprusvsEstonia
2:4W

Italy Last Matches

DateMatchScore
07.06.26
GreecevsItaly
0:1W
03.06.26
LuxembourgvsItaly
0:1W
31.03.26
Bosnia & HerzegovinavsItaly
2:1L
26.03.26
ItalyvsNorthern Ireland
2:0W
16.11.25
ItalyvsNorway
1:4L

Group A

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Germany
650116:315
2
Slovakia
64026:812
3
Northern Ireland
63037:69
4
Luxembourg
60061:130

Group B

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Switzerland
642014:214
2
Kosovo
63216:511
3
Slovenia
60423:84
4
Sweden
60244:122

Group C

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Scotland
641113:713
2
Denmark
632116:711
3
Greece
621310:127
4
Belarus
60244:172

Group D

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
France
651016:416
2
Ukraine
631210:1110
3
Iceland
621313:117
4
Azerbaijan
60153:161

Group E

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Spain
651021:216
2
Turkey
641117:1213
3
Georgia
61057:153
4
Bulgaria
61053:193

Group F

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Portugal
641120:713
2
Ireland
63129:710
3
Hungary
622211:108
4
Armenia
61053:193

Group G

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Netherlands
862027:420
2
Poland
852114:717
3
Finland
83148:1410
4
Malta
81254:195
5
Lithuania
80356:153

Group H

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Austria
861122:419
2
Bosnia & Herzegovina
852117:717
3
Romania
841319:1013
4
Cyprus
822411:118
5
San Marino
80082:390

Group I

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Norway
880037:524
2
Italy
860221:1218
3
Israel
840419:2012
4
Estonia
81168:214
5
Moldova
80175:321

Group J

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Belgium
853029:718
2
Wales
851221:1116
3
North Macedonia
834113:1013
4
Kazakhstan
82249:138
5
Liechtenstein
80080:310

Group K

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
England
880022:024
2
Albania
84227:514
3
Serbia
84139:1013
4
Latvia
81255:155
5
Andorra
80173:161

Group L

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Croatia
871026:422
2
Czech Republic
851218:816
3
Faroe Islands
840411:912
4
Montenegro
83058:179
5
Gibraltar
80083:280