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Europe•UEFA Nations League
Tuesday, Oct 6, 2026, 18:45Oct 6, 18:45
DWDDW
DWWDL
Match Events
25'
🟨Gretarsson D. L.
Saliste J.🔄
Out: Saliste J. In: Schjonning-Larsen M.
61'
Mannilaan M.🔄
Out: Mannilaan M. In: Mustmaa K.
61'
Palumets K.🔄
Out: Palumets K. In: Kait M.
61'
67'
🔄Magnusson H.
Out: Magnusson H. In: Tomasson L.
67'
🔄Sigurdsson G.
Out: Sigurdsson G. In: Willumsson B.
Kristal P.🔄
Out: Kristal P. In: Skvortsov M.
68'
Schjonning-Larsen M.🟨
84'
25'
🟨
Gretarsson D. L.
Iceland
61'
🔄
Saliste J.
Out: Saliste J. | In: Schjonning-Larsen M.
Estonia
61'
🔄
Mannilaan M.
Out: Mannilaan M. | In: Mustmaa K.
Estonia
61'
🔄
Palumets K.
Out: Palumets K. | In: Kait M.
Estonia
67'
🔄
Magnusson H.
Out: Magnusson H. | In: Tomasson L.
Iceland
67'
🔄
Sigurdsson G.
Out: Sigurdsson G. | In: Willumsson B.
Iceland
68'
🔄
Kristal P.
Out: Kristal P. | In: Skvortsov M.
Estonia
84'
🟨
Schjonning-Larsen M.
Estonia
AI Prediction
Top Pick30%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 1:0.
Correct Score1:0
Win Probabilities
Estonia56%
Draw18.5%
Iceland25.5%
Match Analysis
Estonia enters this match as the clear favorite with a 56% chance of securing a win. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:0. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Estonia's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Estonia
VS
Iceland
Estonia
VS
Iceland
1.38
Goals Scored
0.75
1.38
Goals Scored
0.75
1.38
Goals Conceded
1.75
1.38
Goals Conceded
1.75
1.39
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
1.39
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
75%
Over 1.5
88%
75%
Over 1.5
88%
38%
Over 2.5
38%
38%
Over 2.5
38%
25%
Over 3.5
25%
25%
Over 3.5
25%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 06.10.26 | EstoniavsIceland | 0:0 |
| 26.09.26 | IcelandvsEstonia | 1:1 |
| 08.01.23 | IcelandvsEstonia | 1:1 |
| 15.01.19 | EstoniavsIceland | 0:0 |
| 31.03.15 | EstoniavsIceland | 1:1 |
Estonia Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 06.10.26 | EstoniavsIceland | 0:0D |
| 03.10.26 | EstoniavsLuxembourg | 1:0W |
| 29.09.26 | BulgariavsEstonia | 0:0D |
| 26.09.26 | IcelandvsEstonia | 1:1D |
| 09.06.26 | EstoniavsLithuania | 1:0W |
Iceland Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 06.10.26 | EstoniavsIceland | 0:0D |
| 03.10.26 | IcelandvsBulgaria | 3:0W |
| 29.09.26 | LuxembourgvsIceland | 0:3W |
| 26.09.26 | IcelandvsEstonia | 1:1D |
| 10.06.26 | ArgentinavsIceland | 3:0L |
Group 1
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albania | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Belarus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Finland | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:2 | 7 |
| 4 | San Marino | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:16 | 0 |
Group 2
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
Group 3
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slovakia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 3 | Moldova | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 2 |
Group 4
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iceland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:1 | 8 |
| 2 | Estonia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Bulgaria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | 3 |