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Kazakhstan•Premier League
Saturday, May 16, 2026, 14:00May 16, 14:00
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Match Events
20'
🟨Ashirbek A.
Stephen G.🔄
Out: Stephen G. In: Nyrkov D.
26'
Poe J.⚽
27'
31'
🟨Orazov R.
34'
🔄Ilic H.
Out: Ilic H. In: Bakhtiyarov A.
Omatay M.🔄
Out: Omatay M. In: Shimamura Y.
45'
Klimovich V.🟨
45'
48'
⚽Orazov R.
52'
⚽Bakhtiyarov A.
53'
🟨Bakhtiyarov A.
61'
🟨Berezkin E.
Sedko P.🔄
Out: Sedko P. In: Agimanov T.
65'
66'
🔄Murtazaev R.
Out: Murtazaev R. In: Sviridov I.
66'
🔄Placca F.
Out: Placca F. In: Zhaksylykov A.
Poe J.🔄
Out: Poe J. In: Baybosynov N.
66'
Shvyrev V.🔄
Out: Shvyrev V. In: Turlybek M.
66'
81'
🔄Palacio D.
Out: Palacio D. In: Ndreca E.
81'
🔄Orazov R.
Out: Orazov R. In: Baygaliev A.
Agimanov T.⚽
86'
20'
🟨
Ashirbek A.
Yelimay Semey
26'
🔄
Stephen G.
Out: Stephen G. | In: Nyrkov D.
Ertis Pavlodar
27'
⚽
Poe J.
Ertis Pavlodar
31'
🟨
Orazov R.
Yelimay Semey
34'
🔄
Ilic H.
Out: Ilic H. | In: Bakhtiyarov A.
Yelimay Semey
45'
🔄
Omatay M.
Out: Omatay M. | In: Shimamura Y.
Ertis Pavlodar
45'
🟨
Klimovich V.
Ertis Pavlodar
48'
⚽
Orazov R.
Yelimay Semey
52'
⚽
Bakhtiyarov A.
Yelimay Semey
53'
🟨
Bakhtiyarov A.
Yelimay Semey
61'
🟨
Berezkin E.
Yelimay Semey
65'
🔄
Sedko P.
Out: Sedko P. | In: Agimanov T.
Ertis Pavlodar
66'
🔄
Murtazaev R.
Out: Murtazaev R. | In: Sviridov I.
Yelimay Semey
66'
🔄
Placca F.
Out: Placca F. | In: Zhaksylykov A.
Yelimay Semey
66'
🔄
Poe J.
Out: Poe J. | In: Baybosynov N.
Ertis Pavlodar
66'
🔄
Shvyrev V.
Out: Shvyrev V. | In: Turlybek M.
Ertis Pavlodar
81'
🔄
Palacio D.
Out: Palacio D. | In: Ndreca E.
Yelimay Semey
81'
🔄
Orazov R.
Out: Orazov R. | In: Baygaliev A.
Yelimay Semey
86'
⚽
Agimanov T.
Ertis Pavlodar
AI Prediction
Top Pick20%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 20%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 2:2.
Correct Score2:2
Win Probabilities
Ertis Pavlodar28%
Draw44%
Yelimay Semey28%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Premier League is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Ertis Pavlodar (28%) and Yelimay Semey (28%). Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Ertis Pavlodar's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Ertis Pavlodar
VS
Yelimay Semey
Ertis Pavlodar
VS
Yelimay Semey
1
Goals Scored
1.25
1
Goals Scored
1.25
1.38
Goals Conceded
1.63
1.38
Goals Conceded
1.63
1.11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
1.11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
63%
Over 1.5
88%
63%
Over 1.5
88%
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
Over 2.5
50%
25%
Over 3.5
50%
25%
Over 3.5
50%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 09.08.26 | Yelimay SemeyvsErtis Pavlodar | 3:1 |
| 16.05.26 | Ertis PavlodarvsYelimay Semey | 2:2 |
Ertis Pavlodar Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13.09.26 | Ertis PavlodarvsOkzhetpes | 2:1W |
| 05.09.26 | Zhetysu TaldykorganvsErtis Pavlodar | 1:0L |
| 30.08.26 | Ertis PavlodarvsAktobe | 2:1W |
| 16.08.26 | Ertis PavlodarvsTobol | 0:2L |
| 09.08.26 | Yelimay SemeyvsErtis Pavlodar | 3:1L |
Yelimay Semey Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12.09.26 | Yelimay SemeyvsZhetysu Taldykorgan | 2:1W |
| 06.09.26 | FC AstanavsYelimay Semey | 4:0L |
| 31.08.26 | Yelimay SemeyvsKairat Almaty | 0:2L |
| 16.08.26 | Kaspij AktauvsYelimay Semey | 2:2D |
| 09.08.26 | Yelimay SemeyvsErtis Pavlodar | 3:1W |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 48:18 | 58 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 51:19 | 57 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 41:25 | 45 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 38:34 | 42 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 36:29 | 41 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 33:33 | 35 |
| 7 | Tobol | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 33:33 | 34 |
| 8 | Zhenis | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 25:29 | 32 |
| 9 | Ulytau | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 22:30 | 31 |
| 10 | Kaspij Aktau | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 26:36 | 26 |
| 11 | Altai | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 25:34 | 25 |
| 12 | Atyrau | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 18:25 | 23 |
| 13 | Ertis Pavlodar | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24:33 | 23 |
| 14 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 21:32 | 23 |
| 15 | Kyzylzhar | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 25:39 | 23 |
| 16 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 26:43 | 22 |