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Kazakhstan•Premier League
Sunday, Aug 16, 2026, 12:00Aug 16, 12:00
WLWLL
WWLWW
Match Events
Opeh S.🟨
20'
23'
⚽Senhadji R.
35'
🟨Ustimenko D.
Poe J.🟨
36'
40'
🔄Senhadji R.
Out: Senhadji R. In: Asrankulov R.
42'
🟨Borsic A.
Shimamura Y.🔄
Out: Shimamura Y. In: Khalmatov M.
46'
Karimov R.🔄
Out: Karimov R. In: Leonardo Kalil
46'
52'
⚽Lisakovich V.
Ramos L.🔄
Out: Ramos L. In: Mukhametzhanov T.
60'
68'
🟨Marochkin A.
68'
🟨Borsic A.
68'
🟥Borsic A.
72'
🟨Myakish M.
73'
🔄Talal A.
Out: Talal A. In: Ndiaye P.
Yudenkov R.🟨
76'
81'
🟨Cavnic N.
Nyrkov D.🔄
Out: Nyrkov D. In: Toleuov B.
85'
88'
🔄Tagybergen A.
Out: Tagybergen A. In: Cisse A.
89'
🔄Lisakovich V.
Out: Lisakovich V. In: Guerra L.
Yudenkov R.🟨
90'
Yudenkov R.🟥
90'
20'
🟨
Opeh S.
Ertis Pavlodar
23'
⚽
Senhadji R.
Tobol
35'
🟨
Ustimenko D.
Tobol
36'
🟨
Poe J.
Ertis Pavlodar
40'
🔄
Senhadji R.
Out: Senhadji R. | In: Asrankulov R.
Tobol
42'
🟨
Borsic A.
Tobol
46'
🔄
Shimamura Y.
Out: Shimamura Y. | In: Khalmatov M.
Ertis Pavlodar
46'
🔄
Karimov R.
Out: Karimov R. | In: Leonardo Kalil
Ertis Pavlodar
52'
⚽
Lisakovich V.
Tobol
60'
🔄
Ramos L.
Out: Ramos L. | In: Mukhametzhanov T.
Ertis Pavlodar
68'
🟨
Marochkin A.
Tobol
68'
🟨
Borsic A.
Tobol
68'
🟥
Borsic A.
Tobol
72'
🟨
Myakish M.
Tobol
73'
🔄
Talal A.
Out: Talal A. | In: Ndiaye P.
Tobol
76'
🟨
Yudenkov R.
Ertis Pavlodar
81'
🟨
Cavnic N.
Tobol
85'
🔄
Nyrkov D.
Out: Nyrkov D. | In: Toleuov B.
Ertis Pavlodar
88'
🔄
Tagybergen A.
Out: Tagybergen A. | In: Cisse A.
Tobol
89'
🔄
Lisakovich V.
Out: Lisakovich V. | In: Guerra L.
Tobol
90'
🟨
Yudenkov R.
Ertis Pavlodar
90'
🟥
Yudenkov R.
Ertis Pavlodar
AI Prediction
Top Pick90%
Away Win (2)
AI prediction points: 90%. Pick: Away Win (2). Correct Score: 1:2.
Correct Score1:2
Win Probabilities
Ertis Pavlodar16.5%
Draw15.5%
Tobol68%
Match Analysis
Tobol is heavily favored to take the points, backed by a 68% win probability. Our AI model recommends backing Away Win (2), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Ertis Pavlodar's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Ertis Pavlodar
VS
Tobol
Ertis Pavlodar
VS
Tobol
1.25
Goals Scored
1
1.25
Goals Scored
1
1.38
Goals Conceded
1.25
1.38
Goals Conceded
1.25
1.16
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
1.16
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
75%
Over 1.5
88%
75%
Over 1.5
88%
63%
Over 2.5
38%
63%
Over 2.5
38%
25%
Over 3.5
0%
25%
Over 3.5
0%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16.08.26 | Ertis PavlodarvsTobol | 0:2 |
| 09.05.26 | TobolvsErtis Pavlodar | 1:0 |
| 15.08.20 | Ertis PavlodarvsTobol | 0:0 |
| 18.07.20 | TobolvsErtis Pavlodar | 0:0 |
| 05.05.20 | Ertis PavlodarvsTobol | 0:0 |
Ertis Pavlodar Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13.09.26 | Ertis PavlodarvsOkzhetpes | 2:1W |
| 05.09.26 | Zhetysu TaldykorganvsErtis Pavlodar | 1:0L |
| 30.08.26 | Ertis PavlodarvsAktobe | 2:1W |
| 16.08.26 | Ertis PavlodarvsTobol | 0:2L |
| 09.08.26 | Yelimay SemeyvsErtis Pavlodar | 3:1L |
Tobol Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13.09.26 | Kairat AlmatyvsTobol | 1:4W |
| 06.09.26 | TobolvsUlytau | 3:1W |
| 30.08.26 | Kaspij AktauvsTobol | 1:0L |
| 25.08.26 | TobolvsKaisar Kyzylorda | 3:2W |
| 16.08.26 | Ertis PavlodarvsTobol | 0:2W |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 48:18 | 58 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 51:19 | 57 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 41:25 | 45 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 38:34 | 42 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 36:29 | 41 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 33:33 | 35 |
| 7 | Tobol | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 33:33 | 34 |
| 8 | Zhenis | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 25:29 | 32 |
| 9 | Ulytau | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 22:30 | 31 |
| 10 | Kaspij Aktau | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 26:36 | 26 |
| 11 | Altai | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 25:34 | 25 |
| 12 | Atyrau | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 18:25 | 23 |
| 13 | Ertis Pavlodar | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24:33 | 23 |
| 14 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 21:32 | 23 |
| 15 | Kyzylzhar | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 25:39 | 23 |
| 16 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 26:43 | 22 |