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Kazakhstan•Premier League
Sunday, Aug 16, 2026, 12:00Aug 16, 12:00
WWLWL
LWWLW
Match Events
Opeh S.🟨
20'
23'
⚽Senhadji R.
35'
🟨Ustimenko D.
Poe J.🟨
36'
40'
🔄Senhadji R.
Out: Senhadji R. In: Asrankulov R.
42'
🟨Borsic A.
Shimamura Y.🔄
Out: Shimamura Y. In: Khalmatov M.
46'
Karimov R.🔄
Out: Karimov R. In: Leonardo Kalil
46'
52'
⚽Lisakovich V.
Ramos L.🔄
Out: Ramos L. In: Mukhametzhanov T.
60'
68'
🟨Marochkin A.
68'
🟨Borsic A.
68'
🟥Borsic A.
72'
🟨Myakish M.
73'
🔄Talal A.
Out: Talal A. In: Ndiaye P.
Yudenkov R.🟨
76'
81'
🟨Cavnic N.
Nyrkov D.🔄
Out: Nyrkov D. In: Toleuov B.
85'
88'
🔄Tagybergen A.
Out: Tagybergen A. In: Cisse A.
89'
🔄Lisakovich V.
Out: Lisakovich V. In: Guerra L.
Yudenkov R.🟨
90'
Yudenkov R.🟥
90'
20'
🟨
Opeh S.
Ertis Pavlodar
23'
⚽
Senhadji R.
Tobol
35'
🟨
Ustimenko D.
Tobol
36'
🟨
Poe J.
Ertis Pavlodar
40'
🔄
Senhadji R.
Out: Senhadji R. | In: Asrankulov R.
Tobol
42'
🟨
Borsic A.
Tobol
46'
🔄
Shimamura Y.
Out: Shimamura Y. | In: Khalmatov M.
Ertis Pavlodar
46'
🔄
Karimov R.
Out: Karimov R. | In: Leonardo Kalil
Ertis Pavlodar
52'
⚽
Lisakovich V.
Tobol
60'
🔄
Ramos L.
Out: Ramos L. | In: Mukhametzhanov T.
Ertis Pavlodar
68'
🟨
Marochkin A.
Tobol
68'
🟨
Borsic A.
Tobol
68'
🟥
Borsic A.
Tobol
72'
🟨
Myakish M.
Tobol
73'
🔄
Talal A.
Out: Talal A. | In: Ndiaye P.
Tobol
76'
🟨
Yudenkov R.
Ertis Pavlodar
81'
🟨
Cavnic N.
Tobol
85'
🔄
Nyrkov D.
Out: Nyrkov D. | In: Toleuov B.
Ertis Pavlodar
88'
🔄
Tagybergen A.
Out: Tagybergen A. | In: Cisse A.
Tobol
89'
🔄
Lisakovich V.
Out: Lisakovich V. | In: Guerra L.
Tobol
90'
🟨
Yudenkov R.
Ertis Pavlodar
90'
🟥
Yudenkov R.
Ertis Pavlodar
AI Prediction
Top Pick30%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 2:2.
Correct Score2:2
Win Probabilities
Ertis Pavlodar27%
Draw46%
Tobol27%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Premier League is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Ertis Pavlodar (27%) and Tobol (27%). Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Ertis Pavlodar's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Ertis Pavlodar
VS
Tobol
Ertis Pavlodar
VS
Tobol
1.25
Goals Scored
1.13
1.25
Goals Scored
1.13
1.38
Goals Conceded
1.38
1.38
Goals Conceded
1.38
1.20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
1.20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
75%
Over 1.5
75%
75%
Over 1.5
75%
63%
Over 2.5
50%
63%
Over 2.5
50%
25%
Over 3.5
13%
25%
Over 3.5
13%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16.08.26 | Ertis PavlodarvsTobol | 0:2 |
| 09.05.26 | TobolvsErtis Pavlodar | 1:0 |
| 15.08.20 | Ertis PavlodarvsTobol | 0:0 |
| 18.07.20 | TobolvsErtis Pavlodar | 0:0 |
| 05.05.20 | Ertis PavlodarvsTobol | 0:0 |
Ertis Pavlodar Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18.09.26 | AltaivsErtis Pavlodar | 1:2W |
| 13.09.26 | Ertis PavlodarvsOkzhetpes | 2:1W |
| 05.09.26 | Zhetysu TaldykorganvsErtis Pavlodar | 1:0L |
| 30.08.26 | Ertis PavlodarvsAktobe | 2:1W |
| 16.08.26 | Ertis PavlodarvsTobol | 0:2L |
Tobol Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 17.09.26 | TobolvsYelimay Semey | 0:2L |
| 13.09.26 | Kairat AlmatyvsTobol | 1:4W |
| 06.09.26 | TobolvsUlytau | 3:1W |
| 30.08.26 | Kaspij AktauvsTobol | 1:0L |
| 25.08.26 | TobolvsKaisar Kyzylorda | 3:2W |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 51:18 | 61 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 51:20 | 57 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 42:25 | 48 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 41:35 | 45 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 38:31 | 42 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 35:33 | 38 |
| 7 | Tobol | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 8 | Zhenis | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ulytau | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 24:32 | 32 |
| 10 | Kaspij Aktau | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:36 | 29 |
| 11 | Ertis Pavlodar | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 26:34 | 26 |
| 12 | Altai | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 26:36 | 25 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 22:33 | 24 |
| 14 | Kyzylzhar | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26:40 | 24 |
| 15 | Atyrau | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 18:28 | 23 |
| 16 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 26:44 | 22 |