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Match Events
50'
⚽Velasco L.
50'
⚽
Velasco L.
Cumbaya
AI Prediction
Top Pick40%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 40%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 1:0.
Correct Score1:0
Win Probabilities
EL Nacional58%
Draw18%
Cumbaya24%
Match Analysis
EL Nacional enters this match as the clear favorite with a 58% chance of securing a win. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:0. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at EL Nacional's home ground.
Scoring Trends
EL Nacional
VS
Cumbaya
EL Nacional
VS
Cumbaya
0.75
Goals Scored
0.5
0.75
Goals Scored
0.5
1.25
Goals Conceded
1
1.25
Goals Conceded
1
0.77
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63
0.77
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63
63%
Over 1.5
38%
63%
Over 1.5
38%
38%
Over 2.5
38%
38%
Over 2.5
38%
13%
Over 3.5
13%
13%
Over 3.5
13%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 08.07.26 | EL NacionalvsCumbaya | 0:1 |
| 24.04.26 | CumbayavsEL Nacional | 2:1 |
| 15.09.24 | EL NacionalvsCumbaya | 2:1 |
| 30.03.24 | CumbayavsEL Nacional | 1:0 |
| 26.08.23 | EL NacionalvsCumbaya | 2:2 |
EL Nacional Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12.09.26 | EL Nacionalvs22 de Julio | 3:0W |
| 05.09.26 | EL NacionalvsLDU Portoviejo | 0:2L |
| 29.08.26 | GualaceovsEL Nacional | 3:0L |
| 20.08.26 | Independiente JuniorsvsEL Nacional | 1:1D |
| 13.08.26 | EL NacionalvsSan Antonio | 0:1L |
Cumbaya Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10.09.26 | CumbayavsGualaceo | 0:1L |
| 04.09.26 | Dep. Santo DomingovsCumbaya | 2:1L |
| 26.08.26 | CumbayavsLDU Portoviejo | 0:0D |
| 20.08.26 | Atletico FCvsCumbaya | 3:0L |
| 13.08.26 | CumbayavsDep. Santo Domingo | 3:3D |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Juniors | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 28:16 | 39 |
| 2 | Atletico FC | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 25:14 | 38 |
| 3 | Nueve de Octubre | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 22:14 | 37 |
| 4 | CD Cuenca Juniors | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 20:23 | 34 |
| 5 | Vinotinto | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 25:17 | 31 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 24:21 | 31 |
| 7 | LDU Portoviejo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 17:22 | 27 |
| 8 | Cumbaya | 22 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 22:22 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Santo Domingo | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 17:16 | 25 |
| 10 | Gualaceo | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 19:16 | 23 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 15:32 | 9 |
| 12 | 22 de Julio | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 10:31 | 9 |