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Italy•Serie D - Group D
Sunday, Feb 1, 2026, 13:30Feb 1, 13:30
LDLWW
WDWDW
Match Events
Gori M.⚽
8'
23'
⚽Calabrese A.
Brighenti A.•
36'
Gasperi M.⚽
53'
8'
⚽
Gori M.
Desenzano Calvina
23'
⚽
Calabrese A.
SCD Progresso
36'
•
Brighenti A.
Desenzano Calvina
53'
⚽
Gasperi M.
Desenzano Calvina
AI Prediction
Top Pick20%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 20%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 1:1.
Correct Score1:1
Win Probabilities
Desenzano Calvina28%
Draw44%
SCD Progresso28%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Serie D - Group D is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Desenzano Calvina (28%) and SCD Progresso (28%). Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Desenzano Calvina's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Desenzano Calvina
VS
SCD Progresso
Desenzano Calvina
VS
SCD Progresso
1.63
Goals Scored
1.38
1.63
Goals Scored
1.38
0.38
Goals Conceded
1.25
0.38
Goals Conceded
1.25
1.41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
1.41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
50%
Over 1.5
88%
50%
Over 1.5
88%
25%
Over 2.5
50%
25%
Over 2.5
50%
13%
Over 3.5
13%
13%
Over 3.5
13%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01.02.26 | Desenzano CalvinavsSCD Progresso | 3:1 |
| 28.09.25 | SCD ProgressovsDesenzano Calvina | 0:1 |
| 02.02.20 | Desenzano CalvinavsSCD Progresso | 5:0 |
| 29.09.19 | SCD ProgressovsDesenzano Calvina | 1:0 |
Desenzano Calvina Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31.05.26 | ScafatesevsDesenzano Calvina | 1:0L |
| 24.05.26 | Desenzano CalvinavsScafatese | 1:1D |
| 17.05.26 | Desenzano CalvinavsGrosseto | 0:1L |
| 10.05.26 | OstiamarevsDesenzano Calvina | 0:2W |
| 03.05.26 | Sangiuliano CityvsDesenzano Calvina | 0:5W |
SCD Progresso Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 03.05.26 | SCD ProgressovsSasso Marconi | 4:1W |
| 26.04.26 | Sant'AngelovsSCD Progresso | 1:1D |
| 19.04.26 | LentigionevsSCD Progresso | 1:2W |
| 12.04.26 | SCD ProgressovsCorreggese | 1:1D |
| 02.04.26 | TuttocuoiovsSCD Progresso | 0:2W |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 60:21 | 77 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 61:22 | 71 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 60:35 | 64 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:30 | 55 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:29 | 55 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:29 | 52 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:45 | 47 |
| 10 | SCD Progresso | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:42 | 39 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Correggese | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 35:36 | 39 |
| 13 | Crema | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:47 | 38 |
| 14 | Imolese | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 28:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:49 | 31 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:45 | 31 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31:62 | 23 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 34 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 18:73 | 8 |