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Spain•Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Saturday, Jan 24, 2026, 15:15Jan 24, 15:15
LLLWL
LWLDW
Match Events
12'
⚽Llamazares I.
12'
⚽
Llamazares I.
Portugalete
AI Prediction
Top Pick40%
Away Win (2)
AI prediction points: 40%. Pick: Away Win (2). Correct Score: 0:1.
Correct Score0:1
Win Probabilities
Derio24%
Draw18%
Portugalete58%
Match Analysis
Portugalete is heavily favored to take the points, backed by a 58% win probability. Our AI model recommends backing Away Win (2), predicting a likely scoreline of 0:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Derio's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Derio
VS
Portugalete
Derio
VS
Portugalete
1.38
Goals Scored
1.63
1.38
Goals Scored
1.63
1
Goals Conceded
1.75
1
Goals Conceded
1.75
1.39
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
1.39
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
75%
Over 1.5
88%
75%
Over 1.5
88%
38%
Over 2.5
75%
38%
Over 2.5
75%
25%
Over 3.5
38%
25%
Over 3.5
38%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 24.01.26 | DeriovsPortugalete | 0:1 |
| 14.09.25 | PortugaletevsDerio | 3:2 |
| 01.03.25 | DeriovsPortugalete | 1:1 |
| 20.10.24 | PortugaletevsDerio | 1:0 |
| 25.02.24 | PortugaletevsDerio | 0:0 |
Derio Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15.07.26 | DeriovsAth Bilbao | 0:3L |
| 06.06.26 | LeioavsDerio | 1:0L |
| 31.05.26 | DeriovsLeioa | 0:1L |
| 24.05.26 | DeriovsLagun Onak | 2:0W |
| 17.05.26 | Lagun OnakvsDerio | 2:0L |
Portugalete Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01.08.26 | SestaovsPortugalete | 2:1L |
| 09.05.26 | Alaves CvsPortugalete | 1:2W |
| 03.05.26 | PortugaletevsAurrera de Vitoria | 1:2L |
| 25.04.26 | LeioavsPortugalete | 1:1D |
| 17.04.26 | PortugaletevsEibar C | 4:2W |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugalete | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 70:29 | 78 |
| 2 | Leioa | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 50:34 | 61 |
| 3 | Derio | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 54:40 | 58 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 54:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Touring KE | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 47:35 | 57 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad C | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 48:39 | 55 |
| 7 | San Ignacio | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 37:27 | 55 |
| 8 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 42:41 | 54 |
| 9 | Alaves C | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 57:40 | 53 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 56:61 | 45 |
| 11 | SCD Durango | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 35:36 | 44 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 32:45 | 39 |
| 13 | Eibar C | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 44:53 | 36 |
| 14 | Pasaia | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 26:46 | 36 |
| 15 | Anorga | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 37:59 | 34 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 42:59 | 33 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 30:60 | 30 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 26:49 | 25 |