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EnglandFA Cup
Jan 11, 12:00
1:3
finished
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Match Events

18'
🟨
Fraulo O.
Derby
33'
Piroe J.
Leeds
35'
Brereton Diaz B.
Derby
46'
🔄
Fraulo O.
Out: Fraulo O. | In: Adams E.
Derby
46'
🔄
Bornauw S.
Out: Bornauw S. | In: Justin J.
Leeds
55'
Gnonto W.
Leeds
59'
Tanaka A.
Leeds
63'
🔄
Travis L.
Out: Travis L. | In: Ozoh D.
Derby
63'
🔄
Blackett-Taylor C.
Out: Blackett-Taylor C. | In: Brewster R.
Derby
73'
🔄
Gruev I.
Out: Gruev I. | In: Longstaff S.
Leeds
73'
🔄
Salvesen L.
Out: Salvesen L. | In: Agyemang P.
Derby
73'
🔄
Clark B.
Out: Clark B. | In: Eames O.
Derby
86'
🔄
Gnonto W.
Out: Gnonto W. | In: Byram S.
Leeds
89'
🔄
Piroe J.
Out: Piroe J. | In: Stach A.
Leeds
89'
🔄
Okafor N.
Out: Okafor N. | In: Aaronson B.
Leeds
90'
🟨
Harrison J.
Leeds
90'
Justin J.
Leeds

AI Prediction

Top Pick30%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 1:1.
Correct Score1:1

Win Probabilities

Derby27%
Draw46%
Leeds27%

Match Analysis

This matchup in the FA Cup is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Derby (27%) and Leeds (27%). Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Derby's home ground.

Scoring Trends

Derby
VS
Leeds
1.5
Goals Scored
1.25
1.5
Goals Conceded
1.38
1.36
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
88%
Over 1.5
63%
63%
Over 2.5
50%
38%
Over 3.5
38%

Head to Head Matches (H2H)

DateMatchScore
11.01.26
DerbyvsLeeds
1:3
29.12.24
DerbyvsLeeds
0:1
07.12.24
LeedsvsDerby
2:0
19.07.20
DerbyvsLeeds
1:3
21.09.19
LeedsvsDerby
1:1

Derby Last Matches

DateMatchScore
04.08.26
RotherhamvsDerby
1:1D
01.08.26
BurtonvsDerby
1:0L
31.07.26
MansfieldvsDerby
1:3W
28.07.26
DerbyvsValencia
1:2L
24.07.26
FreiburgvsDerby
3:1L

Leeds Last Matches

DateMatchScore
02.08.26
LiverpoolvsLeeds
2:4W
30.07.26
SunderlandvsLeeds
0:1W
25.07.26
WrexhamvsLeeds
3:2L
24.05.26
West HamvsLeeds
3:0L
17.05.26
LeedsvsBrighton
1:0W