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Match Events
Blackett-Taylor C.🟨
9'
19'
⚽Ashford C.
Morris C.⚽
26'
39'
⚽Salech Y.
Clark B.⚽
49'
53'
🟨Robertson A.
Fraulo O.🟨
55'
59'
🔄Colwill R.
Out: Colwill R. In: Turnbull D.
59'
🔄Ashford C.
Out: Ashford C. In: Willock C.
Travis L.🟨
60'
Fraulo O.🔄
Out: Fraulo O. In: Hedges R.
65'
Blackett-Taylor C.🔄
Out: Blackett-Taylor C. In: Brewster R.
65'
71'
🔄Moylan J.
Out: Moylan J. In: Colwill J.
71'
🔄Tanner O.
Out: Tanner O. In: Davies I.
Johnston M.🟨
80'
Sanderson D.🟨
85'
Johnston M.🔄
Out: Johnston M. In: Nyambe R.
88'
Morris C.🔄
Out: Morris C. In: Salvesen L.
88'
9'
🟨
Blackett-Taylor C.
Derby
19'
⚽
Ashford C.
Cardiff
26'
⚽
Morris C.
Derby
39'
⚽
Salech Y.
Cardiff
49'
⚽
Clark B.
Derby
53'
🟨
Robertson A.
Cardiff
55'
🟨
Fraulo O.
Derby
59'
🔄
Colwill R.
Out: Colwill R. | In: Turnbull D.
Cardiff
59'
🔄
Ashford C.
Out: Ashford C. | In: Willock C.
Cardiff
60'
🟨
Travis L.
Derby
65'
🔄
Fraulo O.
Out: Fraulo O. | In: Hedges R.
Derby
65'
🔄
Blackett-Taylor C.
Out: Blackett-Taylor C. | In: Brewster R.
Derby
71'
🔄
Moylan J.
Out: Moylan J. | In: Colwill J.
Cardiff
71'
🔄
Tanner O.
Out: Tanner O. | In: Davies I.
Cardiff
80'
🟨
Johnston M.
Derby
85'
🟨
Sanderson D.
Derby
88'
🔄
Johnston M.
Out: Johnston M. | In: Nyambe R.
Derby
88'
🔄
Morris C.
Out: Morris C. | In: Salvesen L.
Derby
AI Prediction
Top Pick40%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 40%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 2:2.
Correct Score2:2
Win Probabilities
Derby26%
Draw48%
Cardiff26%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Championship is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Derby (26%) and Cardiff (26%). Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Derby's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Derby
VS
Cardiff
Derby
VS
Cardiff
0.88
Goals Scored
1.75
0.88
Goals Scored
1.75
1.75
Goals Conceded
1.75
1.75
Goals Conceded
1.75
1.06
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
1.06
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
88%
Over 1.5
100%
88%
Over 1.5
100%
63%
Over 2.5
75%
63%
Over 2.5
75%
13%
Over 3.5
50%
13%
Over 3.5
50%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 22.08.26 | DerbyvsCardiff | 2:2 |
| 25.01.25 | CardiffvsDerby | 2:1 |
| 14.09.24 | DerbyvsCardiff | 1:0 |
| 07.05.22 | DerbyvsCardiff | 0:1 |
| 01.03.22 | CardiffvsDerby | 1:0 |
Derby Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12.09.26 | DerbyvsBirmingham | 1:2L |
| 09.09.26 | DerbyvsWest Brom | 0:1L |
| 05.09.26 | West HamvsDerby | 3:0L |
| 01.09.26 | PortsmouthvsDerby | 0:2W |
| 29.08.26 | DerbyvsSwansea | 0:3L |
Cardiff Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12.09.26 | BoltonvsCardiff | 1:0L |
| 08.09.26 | CardiffvsStoke City | 1:1D |
| 05.09.26 | PortsmouthvsCardiff | 2:0L |
| 02.09.26 | QPRvsCardiff | 2:1L |
| 29.08.26 | CardiffvsSheffield Utd | 2:2D |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20:9 | 14 |
| 2 | Swansea | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 3 | West Brom | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 5 | QPR | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 12 |
| 6 | Charlton | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | 12 |
| 7 | Wolves | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Southampton | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 10 | Stoke City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:11 | 10 |
| 11 | Bristol City | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:11 | 10 |
| 12 | Norwich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13:13 | 9 |
| 13 | Millwall | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 14 | Sheffield Utd | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 16 | Lincoln City | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 8 |
| 17 | Watford | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 19 | Wrexham | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:11 | 7 |
| 20 | Bolton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7:11 | 4 |
| 22 | Derby | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 4 |
| 23 | Preston | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6:13 | 3 |
| 24 | Burnley | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8:16 | 3 |