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Uruguay•Liga AUF Uruguaya
May 30, 18:00
1:2
finished
WLDDD
LWWLL

Match Events

26'
⚽
Pereyra J.
Danubio
40'
🟨
Kidd F.
Progreso
46'
🔄
Kidd F.
Out: Kidd F. | In: De Leon F.
Progreso
46'
🟨
Azambuja N.
Danubio
54'
🔄
Silva G.
Out: Silva G. | In: Copelotti M.
Progreso
58'
🟨
Trasante G.
Progreso
69'
🔄
Ferreira M.
Out: Ferreira M. | In: Garcia D.
Danubio
69'
🔄
Peralta M.
Out: Peralta M. | In: Femia E.
Danubio
77'
🔄
Balatti F.
Out: Balatti F. | In: Jourdan M.
Danubio
77'
🔄
Azambuja N.
Out: Azambuja N. | In: Fernandez S.
Danubio
77'
🔄
Cougo A.
Out: Cougo A. | In: Andueza F.
Progreso
80'
🔄
Dos Santos J.
Out: Dos Santos J. | In: Silva G.
Progreso
80'
🔄
Pinheiro A.
Out: Pinheiro A. | In: Lemmo I.
Progreso
81'
⚽
Silva G.
Progreso
90'
🟨
Garcia D.
Danubio
90'
⚽
Silva G.
Progreso

AI Prediction

Top Pick40%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 40%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 1:0.
Correct Score1:0

Win Probabilities

Danubio58%
Draw18%
Progreso24%

Match Analysis

Danubio enters this match as the clear favorite with a 58% chance of securing a win. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:0. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Danubio's home ground.

Scoring Trends

Danubio
VS
Progreso
0.75
Goals Scored
1
1.63
Goals Conceded
1.25
0.84
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
75%
Over 1.5
63%
25%
Over 2.5
50%
25%
Over 3.5
13%

Head to Head Matches (H2H)

DateMatchScore
29.08.26
ProgresovsDanubio
1:0
30.05.26
DanubiovsProgreso
1:2
28.02.26
DanubiovsProgreso
2:2
24.08.25
ProgresovsDanubio
1:0
31.05.25
ProgresovsDanubio
0:1

Danubio Last Matches

DateMatchScore
04.10.26
DanubiovsCerro Largo
2:1W
27.09.26
Defensor Sp.vsDanubio
1:0L
24.09.26
DanubiovsPenarol
1:1D
20.09.26
DanubiovsWanderers
1:1D
13.09.26
JuventudvsDanubio
1:1D

Progreso Last Matches

DateMatchScore
03.10.26
Liverpool M.vsProgreso
3:2L
26.09.26
ProgresovsRacing Montevideo
2:1W
19.09.26
Boston RivervsProgreso
1:2W
16.09.26
ProgresovsClub Nacional
0:1L
13.09.26
ProgresovsCA Cerro
1:3L

Group A

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Penarol
751112:316
2
Cerro Largo
73227:511
3
Racing Montevideo
72414:310
4
Liverpool M.
72325:59
5
Central Esp.
72324:49
6
CA Cerro
73046:109
7
Defensor Sp.
71336:96
8
Boston River
71245:105

Group B

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Wanderers
743012:415
2
Club Nacional
74128:813
3
Maldonado
733112:612
4
Montevideo City
740311:1112
5
Juventud
72238:118
6
Albion
71336:86
7
Progreso
72056:116
8
Danubio
70435:94