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Italy•Serie D - Group I 2025/2026
Sunday, Mar 1, 2026, 14:00Mar 1, 14:00
LDLWL
DWDDW
Match Events
17'
⚽Toure I.
Varela I.•
90'
17'
⚽
Toure I.
ACR Messina
90'
•
Varela I.
Castrumfavara
AI Prediction
Top Pick50%
Away Win (2)
AI prediction points: 50%. Pick: Away Win (2). Correct Score: 0:1.
Correct Score0:1
Win Probabilities
Castrumfavara22.5%
Draw17.5%
ACR Messina60%
Match Analysis
ACR Messina is heavily favored to take the points, backed by a 60% win probability. Our AI model recommends backing Away Win (2), predicting a likely scoreline of 0:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Castrumfavara's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Castrumfavara
VS
ACR Messina
Castrumfavara
VS
ACR Messina
2
Goals Scored
0.8
2
Goals Scored
0.8
1
Goals Conceded
0.4
1
Goals Conceded
0.4
1.41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
1.41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
88%
Over 1.5
40%
88%
Over 1.5
40%
75%
Over 2.5
0%
75%
Over 2.5
0%
38%
Over 3.5
0%
38%
Over 3.5
0%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01.03.26 | CastrumfavaravsACR Messina | 1:1 |
| 26.10.25 | ACR MessinavsCastrumfavara | 2:1 |
Castrumfavara Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01.11.26 | NissavsCastrumfavara | 5:1L |
| 28.10.26 | CastrumfavaravsReggina | 2:2D |
| 18.10.26 | TrapanivsCastrumfavara | 1:0L |
| 11.10.26 | CastrumfavaravsIgea Virtus | 3:2W |
| 04.10.26 | LameziavsCastrumfavara | 2:0L |
ACR Messina Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10.05.26 | USD RagusavsACR Messina | 0:0D |
| 03.05.26 | ACR MessinavsMilazzo | 1:0W |
| 26.04.26 | Igea VirtusvsACR Messina | 1:1D |
| 19.04.26 | LameziavsACR Messina | 1:1D |
| 12.04.26 | ACR MessinavsUSD Ragusa | 1:0W |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A.C. Savoia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 63:29 | 69 |
| 2 | Nissa | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 51:27 | 67 |
| 3 | Reggina | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 44:23 | 66 |
| 4 | Athletic Palermo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 59:47 | 60 |
| 5 | Gelbison | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 44:32 | 60 |
| 6 | Sambiase | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 38:30 | 53 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 49:36 | 53 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31:36 | 44 |
| 9 | Gela | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 41:44 | 43 |
| 10 | Lamezia | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 43:35 | 42 |
| 11 | Castrumfavara | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:47 | 38 |
| 12 | Enna | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 50:53 | 36 |
| 13 | Vibonese | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:47 | 35 |
| 14 | USD Ragusa | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 23:34 | 34 |
| 15 | ACR Messina | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 28:33 | 32 |
| 16 | AS Acireale | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 37:50 | 32 |
| 17 | Sancataldese | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 31:49 | 29 |
| 18 | Paterno | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22:72 | 19 |