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Italy•Serie D - Group F 2025/2026
Sunday, Dec 14, 2025, 13:30Dec 14, 13:30
LLLDD
DLWLL
Match Events
Gallo M.⚽
24'
24'
⚽
Gallo M.
Castelfidardo
AI Prediction
Top Pick40%
Away Win (2)
AI prediction points: 40%. Pick: Away Win (2). Correct Score: 1:2.
Correct Score1:2
Win Probabilities
Castelfidardo24%
Draw18%
Fossombrone58%
Match Analysis
Fossombrone is heavily favored to take the points, backed by a 58% win probability. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Away Win (2), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Castelfidardo's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Castelfidardo
VS
Fossombrone
Castelfidardo
VS
Fossombrone
0.5
Goals Scored
1
0.5
Goals Scored
1
2
Goals Conceded
1.75
2
Goals Conceded
1.75
0.82
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
0.82
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
75%
Over 1.5
88%
75%
Over 1.5
88%
50%
Over 2.5
63%
50%
Over 2.5
63%
50%
Over 3.5
25%
50%
Over 3.5
25%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 26.04.26 | FossombronevsCastelfidardo | 3:1 |
| 14.12.25 | CastelfidardovsFossombrone | 1:0 |
| 06.04.25 | FossombronevsCastelfidardo | 0:0 |
| 24.11.24 | CastelfidardovsFossombrone | 3:1 |
Castelfidardo Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 03.05.26 | CastelfidardovsAS Sora | 0:2L |
| 26.04.26 | FossombronevsCastelfidardo | 3:1L |
| 19.04.26 | CastelfidardovsVigor Senigallia | 1:3L |
| 12.04.26 | GiulianovavsCastelfidardo | 0:0D |
| 02.04.26 | CastelfidardovsMaceratese | 2:2D |
Fossombrone Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01.11.26 | PietralungavsFossombrone | 0:0D |
| 25.10.26 | FossombronevsTeramo | 2:4L |
| 18.10.26 | AnconavsFossombrone | 2:3W |
| 11.10.26 | FossombronevsTermoli | 1:2L |
| 07.10.26 | AnconavsFossombrone | 2:1L |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ostiamare | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 65:25 | 79 |
| 2 | Ancona | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 59:22 | 76 |
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65:29 | 74 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 55:35 | 55 |
| 5 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 43:31 | 51 |
| 6 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:44 | 51 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40:31 | 49 |
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:40 | 49 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:34 | 44 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43:42 | 42 |
| 11 | Termoli | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 27:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Maceratese | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 43:49 | 38 |
| 13 | AS Sora | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:50 | 38 |
| 14 | Recanatese | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39:57 | 32 |
| 15 | San Marino Calcio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:61 | 31 |
| 16 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 31:55 | 24 |
| 17 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 30:65 | 23 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:69 | 20 |