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Wales•Cymru South
Saturday, Aug 1, 2026, 13:30Aug 1, 13:30
DLDLW
WWLLW
Match Events
Jenkins R.🟥
45'
45'
•Griffiths D.
Thomas L.•
50'
Jones T.⚽
58'
Thomas L.⚽
69'
71'
⚽Bishop L.
77'
⚽Fowler V.
88'
⚽Griffiths D.
Reed L.⚽
90'
45'
🟥
Jenkins R.
Carmarthen Town
45'
•
Griffiths D.
Caerau Ely
50'
•
Thomas L.
Carmarthen Town
58'
⚽
Jones T.
Carmarthen Town
69'
⚽
Thomas L.
Carmarthen Town
71'
⚽
Bishop L.
Caerau Ely
77'
⚽
Fowler V.
Caerau Ely
88'
⚽
Griffiths D.
Caerau Ely
90'
⚽
Reed L.
Carmarthen Town
AI Prediction
Top Pick20%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 20%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 2:2.
Correct Score2:2
Win Probabilities
Carmarthen Town28%
Draw44%
Caerau Ely28%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Cymru South is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Carmarthen Town (28%) and Caerau Ely (28%). Expect a high-scoring affair, as both sides have been prolific in front of goal recently. Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Carmarthen Town's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Carmarthen Town
VS
Caerau Ely
Carmarthen Town
VS
Caerau Ely
2.25
Goals Scored
1.63
2.25
Goals Scored
1.63
2.5
Goals Conceded
1.88
2.5
Goals Conceded
1.88
1.99
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
1.99
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
100%
Over 1.5
75%
100%
Over 1.5
75%
100%
Over 2.5
50%
100%
Over 2.5
50%
88%
Over 3.5
38%
88%
Over 3.5
38%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01.08.26 | Carmarthen TownvsCaerau Ely | 4:3 |
| 21.02.26 | Caerau ElyvsCarmarthen Town | 3:4 |
| 28.11.25 | Carmarthen TownvsCaerau Ely | 1:1 |
| 25.01.25 | Carmarthen TownvsCaerau Ely | 2:0 |
| 06.08.24 | Caerau ElyvsCarmarthen Town | 2:2 |
Carmarthen Town Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12.09.26 | Carmarthen TownvsYnyshir Albions | 2:2D |
| 31.08.26 | Carmarthen TownvsTrethomas Bluebirds | 2:3L |
| 28.08.26 | LlanellivsCarmarthen Town | 2:2D |
| 22.08.26 | Carmarthen TownvsTreowen | 2:4L |
| 14.08.26 | Carmarthen TownvsAfan Lido | 3:1W |
Caerau Ely Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11.09.26 | Caerau ElyvsLlanelli | 3:0W |
| 31.08.26 | Caerau ElyvsTreowen | 3:2W |
| 28.08.26 | Baglan DragonsvsCaerau Ely | 3:1L |
| 21.08.26 | Caerau ElyvsPure Swansea | 1:5L |
| 14.08.26 | Trethomas BluebirdsvsCaerau Ely | 2:4W |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 19:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Treowen | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Pontypridd United | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 6 | Carmarthen Town | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 17:16 | 11 |
| 7 | Caerau Ely | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16:17 | 10 |
| 8 | Afan Lido | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | 10 |
| 9 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14:13 | 9 |
| 10 | Ynyshir Albions | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 11 | Caerphilly | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 8 |
| 12 | Cardiff Draconians | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 13 | Newport City | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 14 | Pontardawe | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:13 | 3 |
| 15 | Llanelli | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:23 | 2 |
| 16 | Llantwit Major | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:15 | 1 |