Cardiff vs Luton Prediction & Stats

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England•League One 2025/2026

Saturday, Feb 14, 2026, 15:00Feb 14, 15:00

Luton

LWWWD

WWWDW

Match Events

Turnbull D.⚽

11'

Turnbull D.🟨

13'

Bagan J.🟨

18'

20'

•Clark J.

Colwill J.⚽

37'

Ng P.⚽

42'

45'

🟨Lonwijk N.

46'

🔄Kodua G.

Out: Kodua G. In: Al Hamadi A.

Bagan J.🔄

Out: Bagan J. In: Kpakio R.

55'

Trott N.🟨

64'

66'

🔄Johnson J.

Out: Johnson J. In: Morris S.

66'

🔄Cole D.

Out: Cole D. In: Wells N.

Willock C.🔄

Out: Willock C. In: Ashford C.

69'

Kellyman O.🔄

Out: Kellyman O. In: Robinson C.

69'

Colwill J.🔄

Out: Colwill J. In: Colwill R.

69'

73'

🔄Richards J.

Out: Richards J. In: van den Berg D.

76'

🟨Palmer K.

Robertson A.🔄

Out: Robertson A. In: Lawlor D.

89'

11'

⚽

Turnbull D.

Cardiff

13'

🟨

Turnbull D.

Cardiff

18'

🟨

Bagan J.

Cardiff

20'

•

Clark J.

Luton

37'

⚽

Colwill J.

Cardiff

42'

⚽

Ng P.

Cardiff

45'

🟨

Lonwijk N.

Luton

46'

🔄

Kodua G.

Out: Kodua G. | In: Al Hamadi A.

Luton

55'

🔄

Bagan J.

Out: Bagan J. | In: Kpakio R.

Cardiff

64'

🟨

Trott N.

Cardiff

66'

🔄

Johnson J.

Out: Johnson J. | In: Morris S.

Luton

66'

🔄

Cole D.

Out: Cole D. | In: Wells N.

Luton

69'

🔄

Willock C.

Out: Willock C. | In: Ashford C.

Cardiff

69'

🔄

Kellyman O.

Out: Kellyman O. | In: Robinson C.

Cardiff

69'

🔄

Colwill J.

Out: Colwill J. | In: Colwill R.

Cardiff

73'

🔄

Richards J.

Out: Richards J. | In: van den Berg D.

Luton

76'

🟨

Palmer K.

Luton

89'

🔄

Robertson A.

Out: Robertson A. | In: Lawlor D.

Cardiff

AI Prediction

Top Pick30%

Home Win (1)

AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 2:1.

Correct Score2:1

Win Probabilities

Cardiff56%

Draw18.5%

Luton25.5%

Match Analysis

Cardiff enters this match as the clear favorite with a 56% chance of securing a win. Expect a high-scoring affair, as both sides have been prolific in front of goal recently. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Cardiff's home ground.

Scoring Trends

Cardiff

Luton

Cardiff

Luton

1.5

Goals Scored

2.25

1.5

Goals Scored

2.25

0.63

Goals Conceded

0.63

Goals Conceded

1.26

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

1.26

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

75%

Over 1.5

100%

75%

Over 1.5

100%

25%

Over 2.5

75%

25%

Over 2.5

75%

25%

Over 3.5

38%

25%

Over 3.5

38%

Head to Head Matches (H2H)

Date	Match	Score
14.02.26	CardiffvsLuton	3:1
23.08.25	LutonvsCardiff	0:1
11.03.25	CardiffvsLuton	1:2
06.11.24	LutonvsCardiff	1:0
31.01.23	LutonvsCardiff	1:0

Cardiff Last Matches

Date	Match	Score
02.05.26	MansfieldvsCardiff	5:4L
25.04.26	CardiffvsNorthampton	5:1W
22.04.26	CardiffvsPort Vale	1:0W
18.04.26	ReadingvsCardiff	1:3W
14.04.26	HuddersfieldvsCardiff	1:1D

Luton Last Matches

Date	Match	Score
02.05.26	BoltonvsLuton	2:3W
25.04.26	LutonvsBarnsley	2:1W
21.04.26	RotherhamvsLuton	0:2W
18.04.26	MansfieldvsLuton	2:2D
15.04.26	LutonvsNorthampton	2:1W

Group A

#	Team	PL	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lincoln City	46	31	10	5	89:41	103
2	Cardiff	46	27	10	9	90:50	91
3	Stockport County	46	22	11	13	71:58	77
4	Bradford City	46	22	11	13	58:51	77
5	Bolton	46	19	18	9	70:52	75
6	Stevenage	46	21	12	13	49:46	75
7	Luton	46	21	11	14	68:56	74
8	Plymouth	46	22	7	17	75:63	73
9	Huddersfield	46	18	13	15	74:64	67
10	Mansfield	46	16	17	13	62:50	65
11	Wycombe	46	17	12	17	69:58	63
12	Reading	46	16	15	15	64:60	63
13	Blackpool	46	17	9	20	54:65	60
14	Doncaster	46	17	9	20	50:69	60
15	Barnsley	46	15	14	17	68:73	59
16	Wigan	46	14	14	18	49:58	56
17	Burton	46	13	15	18	50:60	54
18	Peterborough	46	15	8	23	64:68	53
19	AFC Wimbledon	46	15	8	23	51:72	53
20	Leyton Orient	46	14	10	22	59:71	52
21	Exeter	46	12	13	21	52:61	49
22	Port Vale	46	10	12	24	36:61	42
23	Rotherham	46	10	11	25	41:71	41
24	Northampton	46	9	8	29	39:74	35

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