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Uganda•Premier League 2025/2026
Wednesday, Feb 18, 2026, 13:00Feb 18, 13:00
WWDWL
DDDLD
AI Prediction
Top Pick70%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 70%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 2:1.
Correct Score2:1
Win Probabilities
Calvary64%
Draw16.5%
Express FC19.5%
Match Analysis
Calvary enters this match as the clear favorite with a 64% chance of securing a win. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Calvary's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Calvary
VS
Express FC
Calvary
VS
Express FC
0.75
Goals Scored
0.5
0.75
Goals Scored
0.5
0.25
Goals Conceded
1
0.25
Goals Conceded
1
0.77
Expected Goals (xG)
0.35
0.77
Expected Goals (xG)
0.35
38%
Over 1.5
63%
38%
Over 1.5
63%
0%
Over 2.5
13%
0%
Over 2.5
13%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18.02.26 | CalvaryvsExpress FC | 0:0 |
| 04.12.25 | Express FCvsCalvary | 4:0 |
Calvary Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01.11.26 | CalvaryvsCatda | 1:0W |
| 18.10.26 | Buwambo UnitedvsCalvary | 0:1W |
| 11.10.26 | CalvaryvsAmus College FC | 0:0D |
| 08.10.26 | CalvaryvsKaaro Karungi | 2:0W |
| 04.10.26 | Young Elephant AcademyvsCalvary | 2:0L |
Express FC Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01.11.26 | NtugasazevsExpress FC | 1:1D |
| 27.10.26 | Express FCvsKataka | 2:2D |
| 21.10.26 | LugazivsExpress FC | 0:0D |
| 15.10.26 | Express FCvsUPDF FC | 1:2L |
| 08.10.26 | NEC FCvsExpress FC | 0:0D |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vipers | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 55:17 | 67 |
| 2 | Kampala City | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 46:22 | 62 |
| 3 | Villa | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 47:17 | 61 |
| 4 | Kitara | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:22 | 56 |
| 5 | Entebbe UPPC | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 30:20 | 51 |
| 6 | NEC FC | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 51 |
| 7 | Police | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 47 |
| 8 | Maroons | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 26:27 | 38 |
| 9 | BUL | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:33 | 37 |
| 10 | Express FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:31 | 37 |
| 11 | Uganda Revenue | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 27:30 | 31 |
| 12 | Mbarara City | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26:46 | 27 |
| 13 | Lugazi | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 19:36 | 25 |
| 14 | UPDF FC | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24:41 | 22 |
| 15 | Calvary | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 14:39 | 21 |
| 16 | Buhimba | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 16:66 | 15 |