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Uganda•Premier League 2025/2026
Wednesday, Feb 18, 2026, 13:00Feb 18, 13:00
WLWDD
DDLWL
AI Prediction
Top Pick50%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 50%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 2:1.
Correct Score2:1
Win Probabilities
Calvary60%
Draw17.5%
Express FC22.5%
Match Analysis
Calvary enters this match as the clear favorite with a 60% chance of securing a win. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Calvary's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Calvary
VS
Express FC
Calvary
VS
Express FC
0.88
Goals Scored
1
0.88
Goals Scored
1
0.63
Goals Conceded
1.13
0.63
Goals Conceded
1.13
0.89
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
0.89
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
63%
Over 1.5
75%
63%
Over 1.5
75%
0%
Over 2.5
25%
0%
Over 2.5
25%
0%
Over 3.5
13%
0%
Over 3.5
13%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18.02.26 | CalvaryvsExpress FC | 0:0 |
| 04.12.25 | Express FCvsCalvary | 4:0 |
Calvary Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 08.10.26 | CalvaryvsKaaro Karungi | 2:0W |
| 04.10.26 | Young Elephant AcademyvsCalvary | 2:0L |
| 23.05.26 | CalvaryvsNEC FC | 2:0W |
| 19.05.26 | UPDF FCvsCalvary | 0:0D |
| 12.05.26 | Uganda RevenuevsCalvary | 1:1D |
Express FC Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 08.10.26 | NEC FCvsExpress FC | 0:0D |
| 17.09.26 | Express FCvsKitara | 1:1D |
| 09.09.26 | VillavsExpress FC | 2:0L |
| 03.09.26 | Express FCvsKampala City | 2:0W |
| 30.08.26 | BULvsExpress FC | 1:0L |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vipers | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 55:17 | 67 |
| 2 | Kampala City | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 46:22 | 62 |
| 3 | Villa | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 47:17 | 61 |
| 4 | Kitara | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:22 | 56 |
| 5 | Entebbe UPPC | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 30:20 | 51 |
| 6 | NEC FC | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 51 |
| 7 | Police | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 47 |
| 8 | Maroons | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 26:27 | 38 |
| 9 | BUL | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:33 | 37 |
| 10 | Express FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:31 | 37 |
| 11 | Uganda Revenue | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 27:30 | 31 |
| 12 | Mbarara City | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26:46 | 27 |
| 13 | Lugazi | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 19:36 | 25 |
| 14 | UPDF FC | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24:41 | 22 |
| 15 | Calvary | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 14:39 | 21 |
| 16 | Buhimba | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 16:66 | 15 |