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Uganda•Premier League 2025/2026
Wednesday, Feb 18, 2026, 13:00Feb 18, 13:00
WDDWL
LWLLD
AI Prediction
Top Pick70%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 70%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 2:1.
Correct Score2:1
Win Probabilities
Calvary64%
Draw16.5%
Express FC19.5%
Match Analysis
Calvary enters this match as the clear favorite with a 64% chance of securing a win. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Calvary's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Calvary
VS
Express FC
Calvary
VS
Express FC
0.63
Goals Scored
0.88
0.63
Goals Scored
0.88
0.38
Goals Conceded
1
0.38
Goals Conceded
1
0.69
Expected Goals (xG)
0.59
0.69
Expected Goals (xG)
0.59
38%
Over 1.5
63%
38%
Over 1.5
63%
0%
Over 2.5
25%
0%
Over 2.5
25%
0%
Over 3.5
13%
0%
Over 3.5
13%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18.02.26 | CalvaryvsExpress FC | 0:0 |
| 04.12.25 | Express FCvsCalvary | 4:0 |
Calvary Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23.05.26 | CalvaryvsNEC FC | 2:0W |
| 19.05.26 | UPDF FCvsCalvary | 0:0D |
| 12.05.26 | Uganda RevenuevsCalvary | 1:1D |
| 06.05.26 | CalvaryvsPolice | 1:0W |
| 29.04.26 | Entebbe UPPCvsCalvary | 2:0L |
Express FC Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 09.09.26 | VillavsExpress FC | 2:0L |
| 03.09.26 | Express FCvsKampala City | 2:0W |
| 30.08.26 | BULvsExpress FC | 1:0L |
| 23.05.26 | VipersvsExpress FC | 2:0L |
| 19.05.26 | Express FCvsLugazi | 0:0D |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vipers | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 55:17 | 67 |
| 2 | Kampala City | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 46:22 | 62 |
| 3 | Villa | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 47:17 | 61 |
| 4 | Kitara | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:22 | 56 |
| 5 | Entebbe UPPC | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 30:20 | 51 |
| 6 | NEC FC | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 51 |
| 7 | Police | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 47 |
| 8 | Maroons | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 26:27 | 38 |
| 9 | BUL | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:33 | 37 |
| 10 | Express FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:31 | 37 |
| 11 | Uganda Revenue | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 27:30 | 31 |
| 12 | Mbarara City | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26:46 | 27 |
| 13 | Lugazi | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 19:36 | 25 |
| 14 | UPDF FC | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24:41 | 22 |
| 15 | Calvary | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 14:39 | 21 |
| 16 | Buhimba | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 16:66 | 15 |