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Wales•Cymru South
Saturday, Feb 21, 2026, 14:00Feb 21, 14:00
DWWDW
LLWDW
Match Events
47'
•McNamara C.
58'
⚽Joda J.
Parker T.⚽
68'
69'
⚽Cummings L.
Parker T.⚽
73'
McLean T.•
86'
90'
•Thomas L.
47'
•
McNamara C.
Carmarthen Town
58'
⚽
Joda J.
Carmarthen Town
68'
⚽
Parker T.
Caerau Ely
69'
⚽
Cummings L.
Carmarthen Town
73'
⚽
Parker T.
Caerau Ely
86'
•
McLean T.
Caerau Ely
90'
•
Thomas L.
Carmarthen Town
AI Prediction
Top Pick20%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 20%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 2:2.
Correct Score2:2
Win Probabilities
Caerau Ely28%
Draw44%
Carmarthen Town28%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Cymru South is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Caerau Ely (28%) and Carmarthen Town (28%). Expect a high-scoring affair, as both sides have been prolific in front of goal recently. Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Caerau Ely's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Caerau Ely
VS
Carmarthen Town
Caerau Ely
VS
Carmarthen Town
2.88
Goals Scored
3
2.88
Goals Scored
3
1.13
Goals Conceded
2.25
1.13
Goals Conceded
2.25
2.50
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
2.50
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
88%
Over 1.5
75%
88%
Over 1.5
75%
88%
Over 2.5
75%
88%
Over 2.5
75%
63%
Over 3.5
75%
63%
Over 3.5
75%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21.02.26 | Caerau ElyvsCarmarthen Town | 3:4 |
| 28.11.25 | Carmarthen TownvsCaerau Ely | 1:1 |
| 25.01.25 | Carmarthen TownvsCaerau Ely | 2:0 |
| 06.08.24 | Caerau ElyvsCarmarthen Town | 2:2 |
| 10.02.24 | Carmarthen TownvsCaerau Ely | 1:1 |
Caerau Ely Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18.04.26 | Pontypridd UnitedvsCaerau Ely | 0:0D |
| 04.04.26 | Caerau ElyvsYnyshir Albions | 2:0W |
| 28.03.26 | Llantwit MajorvsCaerau Ely | 1:4W |
| 21.03.26 | Caerau ElyvsCwmbran Celtic | 0:0D |
| 14.03.26 | Baglan DragonsvsCaerau Ely | 0:5W |
Carmarthen Town Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18.04.26 | TreowenvsCarmarthen Town | 4:1L |
| 04.04.26 | Carmarthen TownvsPontypridd United | 0:1L |
| 28.03.26 | Baglan DragonsvsCarmarthen Town | 0:7W |
| 21.03.26 | Carmarthen TownvsYnyshir Albions | 0:0D |
| 14.03.26 | Cardiff DraconiansvsCarmarthen Town | 2:3W |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | 10 |