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Wales•Cymru South 2025/2026
Saturday, Feb 21, 2026, 14:00Feb 21, 14:00
LWDWD
LWLLW
Match Events
47'
•McNamara C.
58'
⚽Joda J.
Parker T.⚽
68'
69'
⚽Cummings L.
Parker T.⚽
73'
McLean T.•
86'
90'
•Thomas L.
47'
•
McNamara C.
Carmarthen Town
58'
⚽
Joda J.
Carmarthen Town
68'
⚽
Parker T.
Caerau Ely
69'
⚽
Cummings L.
Carmarthen Town
73'
⚽
Parker T.
Caerau Ely
86'
•
McLean T.
Caerau Ely
90'
•
Thomas L.
Carmarthen Town
AI Prediction
Top Pick30%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 2:1.
Correct Score2:1
Win Probabilities
Caerau Ely56%
Draw18.5%
Carmarthen Town25.5%
Match Analysis
Caerau Ely enters this match as the clear favorite with a 56% chance of securing a win. Expect a high-scoring affair, as both sides have been prolific in front of goal recently. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Caerau Ely's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Caerau Ely
VS
Carmarthen Town
Caerau Ely
VS
Carmarthen Town
2
Goals Scored
2.29
2
Goals Scored
2.29
0.13
Goals Conceded
1.71
0.13
Goals Conceded
1.71
1.78
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
1.78
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
63%
Over 1.5
71%
63%
Over 1.5
71%
38%
Over 2.5
71%
38%
Over 2.5
71%
25%
Over 3.5
71%
25%
Over 3.5
71%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21.02.26 | Caerau ElyvsCarmarthen Town | 3:4 |
| 28.11.25 | Carmarthen TownvsCaerau Ely | 1:1 |
| 25.01.25 | Carmarthen TownvsCaerau Ely | 2:0 |
| 06.08.24 | Caerau ElyvsCarmarthen Town | 2:2 |
| 10.02.24 | Carmarthen TownvsCaerau Ely | 1:1 |
Caerau Ely Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11.07.26 | EveshamvsCaerau Ely | 2:0L |
| 03.07.26 | Caerau ElyvsCroesyceiliog FC | 5:1W |
| 30.06.26 | Caerau ElyvsCardiff Corries | 0:0D |
| 26.06.26 | Caerau ElyvsUndy | 2:0W |
| 18.04.26 | Pontypridd UnitedvsCaerau Ely | 0:0D |
Carmarthen Town Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 07.07.26 | Carmarthen TownvsCardiff Metropolitan University | 1:3L |
| 03.07.26 | Carmarthen TownvsTrefelin | 4:2W |
| 18.04.26 | TreowenvsCarmarthen Town | 4:1L |
| 04.04.26 | Carmarthen TownvsPontypridd United | 0:1L |
| 28.03.26 | Baglan DragonsvsCarmarthen Town | 0:7W |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | 10 |