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Wales•Cymru South 2025/2026
Saturday, Feb 21, 2026, 14:00Feb 21, 14:00
LDLLW
WLLWL
Match Events
47'
•McNamara C.
58'
⚽Joda J.
Parker T.⚽
68'
69'
⚽Cummings L.
Parker T.⚽
73'
McLean T.•
86'
90'
•Thomas L.
47'
•
McNamara C.
Carmarthen Town
58'
⚽
Joda J.
Carmarthen Town
68'
⚽
Parker T.
Caerau Ely
69'
⚽
Cummings L.
Carmarthen Town
73'
⚽
Parker T.
Caerau Ely
86'
•
McLean T.
Caerau Ely
90'
•
Thomas L.
Carmarthen Town
AI Prediction
Top Pick30%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 2:1.
Correct Score2:1
Win Probabilities
Caerau Ely56%
Draw18.5%
Carmarthen Town25.5%
Match Analysis
Caerau Ely enters this match as the clear favorite with a 56% chance of securing a win. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Caerau Ely's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Caerau Ely
VS
Carmarthen Town
Caerau Ely
VS
Carmarthen Town
1.63
Goals Scored
1.71
1.63
Goals Scored
1.71
0.5
Goals Conceded
2.29
0.5
Goals Conceded
2.29
1.70
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
1.70
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
63%
Over 1.5
71%
63%
Over 1.5
71%
25%
Over 2.5
71%
25%
Over 2.5
71%
25%
Over 3.5
71%
25%
Over 3.5
71%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01.08.26 | Carmarthen TownvsCaerau Ely | 4:3 |
| 21.02.26 | Caerau ElyvsCarmarthen Town | 3:4 |
| 28.11.25 | Carmarthen TownvsCaerau Ely | 1:1 |
| 25.01.25 | Carmarthen TownvsCaerau Ely | 2:0 |
| 06.08.24 | Caerau ElyvsCarmarthen Town | 2:2 |
Caerau Ely Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01.08.26 | Carmarthen TownvsCaerau Ely | 4:3L |
| 25.07.26 | Caerau ElyvsBarnstaple Town | 4:4D |
| 21.07.26 | HaverfordwestvsCaerau Ely | 2:1L |
| 11.07.26 | EveshamvsCaerau Ely | 2:0L |
| 03.07.26 | Caerau ElyvsCroesyceiliog FC | 5:1W |
Carmarthen Town Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01.08.26 | Carmarthen TownvsCaerau Ely | 4:3W |
| 14.07.26 | Carmarthen TownvsBriton Ferry | 2:3L |
| 07.07.26 | Carmarthen TownvsCardiff Metropolitan University | 1:3L |
| 03.07.26 | Carmarthen TownvsTrefelin | 4:2W |
| 18.04.26 | TreowenvsCarmarthen Town | 4:1L |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | 10 |