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Wales•Cymru South 2025/2026
Saturday, Feb 21, 2026, 14:00Feb 21, 14:00
LWDLD
LWWWL
Match Events
47'
•McNamara C.
58'
⚽Joda J.
Parker T.⚽
68'
69'
⚽Cummings L.
Parker T.⚽
73'
McLean T.•
86'
90'
•Thomas L.
47'
•
McNamara C.
Carmarthen Town
58'
⚽
Joda J.
Carmarthen Town
68'
⚽
Parker T.
Caerau Ely
69'
⚽
Cummings L.
Carmarthen Town
73'
⚽
Parker T.
Caerau Ely
86'
•
McLean T.
Caerau Ely
90'
•
Thomas L.
Carmarthen Town
AI Prediction
Top Pick30%
Away Win (2)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Away Win (2). Correct Score: 1:2.
Correct Score1:2
Win Probabilities
Caerau Ely25.5%
Draw18.5%
Carmarthen Town56%
Match Analysis
Carmarthen Town is heavily favored to take the points, backed by a 56% win probability. Expect a high-scoring affair, as both sides have been prolific in front of goal recently. Our AI model recommends backing Away Win (2), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Caerau Ely's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Caerau Ely
VS
Carmarthen Town
Caerau Ely
VS
Carmarthen Town
1.5
Goals Scored
2.25
1.5
Goals Scored
2.25
1.13
Goals Conceded
2.13
1.13
Goals Conceded
2.13
1.57
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
1.57
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
63%
Over 1.5
88%
63%
Over 1.5
88%
38%
Over 2.5
88%
38%
Over 2.5
88%
25%
Over 3.5
75%
25%
Over 3.5
75%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01.08.26 | Carmarthen TownvsCaerau Ely | 4:3 |
| 21.02.26 | Caerau ElyvsCarmarthen Town | 3:4 |
| 28.11.25 | Carmarthen TownvsCaerau Ely | 1:1 |
| 25.01.25 | Carmarthen TownvsCaerau Ely | 2:0 |
| 06.08.24 | Caerau ElyvsCarmarthen Town | 2:2 |
Caerau Ely Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21.08.26 | Caerau ElyvsPure Swansea | 1:5L |
| 14.08.26 | Trethomas BluebirdsvsCaerau Ely | 2:4W |
| 07.08.26 | Caerau ElyvsYnyshir Albions | 1:1D |
| 01.08.26 | Carmarthen TownvsCaerau Ely | 4:3L |
| 25.07.26 | Caerau ElyvsBarnstaple Town | 4:4D |
Carmarthen Town Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 22.08.26 | Carmarthen TownvsTreowen | 2:4L |
| 14.08.26 | Carmarthen TownvsAfan Lido | 3:1W |
| 08.08.26 | Newport CityvsCarmarthen Town | 1:2W |
| 01.08.26 | Carmarthen TownvsCaerau Ely | 4:3W |
| 14.07.26 | Carmarthen TownvsBriton Ferry | 2:3L |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | 10 |