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Wales•Cymru South
Friday, Jan 2, 2026, 19:00Jan 2, 19:00
DWWDW
WDDLW
Match Events
McLean T.•
43'
81'
•Bowen D.
McLean T.•
90'
43'
•
McLean T.
Caerau Ely
81'
•
Bowen D.
Cardiff Draconians
90'
•
McLean T.
Caerau Ely
AI Prediction
Top Pick30%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 2:1.
Correct Score2:1
Win Probabilities
Caerau Ely56%
Draw18.5%
Cardiff Draconians25.5%
Match Analysis
Caerau Ely enters this match as the clear favorite with a 56% chance of securing a win. Expect a high-scoring affair, as both sides have been prolific in front of goal recently. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Caerau Ely's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Caerau Ely
VS
Cardiff Draconians
Caerau Ely
VS
Cardiff Draconians
2.25
Goals Scored
1.75
2.25
Goals Scored
1.75
0.25
Goals Conceded
2.5
0.25
Goals Conceded
2.5
2.16
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
2.16
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
63%
Over 1.5
88%
63%
Over 1.5
88%
50%
Over 2.5
88%
50%
Over 2.5
88%
38%
Over 3.5
75%
38%
Over 3.5
75%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 02.01.26 | Caerau ElyvsCardiff Draconians | 2:1 |
| 16.08.25 | Cardiff DraconiansvsCaerau Ely | 0:1 |
Caerau Ely Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18.04.26 | Pontypridd UnitedvsCaerau Ely | 0:0D |
| 04.04.26 | Caerau ElyvsYnyshir Albions | 2:0W |
| 28.03.26 | Llantwit MajorvsCaerau Ely | 1:4W |
| 21.03.26 | Caerau ElyvsCwmbran Celtic | 0:0D |
| 14.03.26 | Baglan DragonsvsCaerau Ely | 0:5W |
Cardiff Draconians Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18.04.26 | Cardiff DraconiansvsAfan Lido | 4:1W |
| 11.04.26 | Cardiff DraconiansvsPontypridd United | 2:2D |
| 04.04.26 | Trethomas BluebirdsvsCardiff Draconians | 4:4D |
| 28.03.26 | Cardiff DraconiansvsNewport City | 0:1L |
| 24.03.26 | Cardiff DraconiansvsYnyshir Albions | 4:1W |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | 10 |