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Uruguay•Liga AUF Uruguaya
Saturday, Sep 19, 2026, 18:30Sep 19, 18:30
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AI Prediction
Top Pick30%
Away Win (2)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Away Win (2). Correct Score: 1:2.
Correct Score1:2
Win Probabilities
CA Cerro25.5%
Draw18.5%
Penarol56%
Match Analysis
Penarol is heavily favored to take the points, backed by a 56% win probability. Our AI model recommends backing Away Win (2), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at CA Cerro's home ground.
Scoring Trends
CA Cerro
VS
Penarol
CA Cerro
VS
Penarol
0.88
Goals Scored
2.13
0.88
Goals Scored
2.13
1.38
Goals Conceded
0.75
1.38
Goals Conceded
0.75
0.78
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
0.78
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
75%
Over 1.5
63%
75%
Over 1.5
63%
38%
Over 2.5
63%
38%
Over 2.5
63%
13%
Over 3.5
50%
13%
Over 3.5
50%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 07.06.26 | CA CerrovsPenarol | 0:1 |
| 21.03.26 | PenarolvsCA Cerro | 3:1 |
| 25.10.25 | CA CerrovsPenarol | 2:0 |
| 28.06.25 | PenarolvsCA Cerro | 2:0 |
| 27.04.25 | PenarolvsCA Cerro | 3:1 |
CA Cerro Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13.09.26 | ProgresovsCA Cerro | 1:3W |
| 10.09.26 | CA CerrovsCerrito | 0:2L |
| 06.09.26 | CA CerrovsRacing Montevideo | 1:0W |
| 01.09.26 | WanderersvsCA Cerro | 1:1D |
| 29.08.26 | Boston RivervsCA Cerro | 1:1D |
Penarol Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13.09.26 | PenarolvsAlbion | 3:1W |
| 05.09.26 | DanubiovsPenarol | 0:4W |
| 02.09.26 | AtenasvsPenarol | 2:2D |
| 30.08.26 | PenarolvsClub Nacional | 0:1L |
| 26.08.26 | PenarolvsMontevideo City | 1:0W |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Liverpool M. | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 13 |
| 3 | CA Cerro | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Racing Montevideo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 11 |
| 5 | Penarol | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 6 | Juventud | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 7 | Maldonado | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 8 | Boston River | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 9 | Club Nacional | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 8 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 11 | Progreso | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3:7 | 6 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 13 | Central Esp. | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | 5 |
| 14 | Defensor Sp. | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:10 | 5 |
| 15 | Danubio | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1:7 | 3 |
| 16 | Albion | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | 0 |