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Match Events
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11'
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59'
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11'
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Shade T.
Burton
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Out: | In:
Burton
59'
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Derby
59'
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Derby
59'
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Burton
62'
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Burton
63'
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Out: | In:
Derby
64'
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Out: | In:
Burton
71'
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Out: | In:
Derby
72'
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Out: | In:
Burton
81'
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Derby
82'
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Out: | In:
Burton
82'
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Out: | In:
Burton
AI Prediction
Top Pick30%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 1:1.
Correct Score1:1
Win Probabilities
Burton27%
Draw46%
Derby27%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Club Friendly is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Burton (27%) and Derby (27%). Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Burton's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Burton
VS
Derby
Burton
VS
Derby
0.75
Goals Scored
1.38
0.75
Goals Scored
1.38
1.13
Goals Conceded
1.63
1.13
Goals Conceded
1.63
0.94
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
0.94
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
63%
Over 1.5
88%
63%
Over 1.5
88%
25%
Over 2.5
75%
25%
Over 2.5
75%
13%
Over 3.5
25%
13%
Over 3.5
25%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 26.07.25 | BurtonvsDerby | 2:1 |
| 15.01.24 | DerbyvsBurton | 3:2 |
| 12.08.23 | BurtonvsDerby | 0:3 |
| 22.04.23 | DerbyvsBurton | 1:0 |
| 10.12.22 | BurtonvsDerby | 1:1 |
Burton Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01.08.26 | BurtonvsDerby | 1:0W |
| 28.07.26 | Solihull MoorsvsBurton | 1:1D |
| 22.07.26 | BurtonvsBirmingham | 0:1L |
| 18.07.26 | BurtonvsLeicester | 0:3L |
| 11.07.26 | AlfretonvsBurton | 0:0D |
Derby Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 04.08.26 | RotherhamvsDerby | 1:1D |
| 01.08.26 | BurtonvsDerby | 1:0L |
| 31.07.26 | MansfieldvsDerby | 1:3W |
| 28.07.26 | DerbyvsValencia | 1:2L |
| 24.07.26 | FreiburgvsDerby | 3:1L |