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Match Events
Ramsey A.⚽
4'
35'
⚽Clark B.
46'
🔄Elder C.
Out: Elder C. In: Clarke M.
Humphreys B.🔄
Out: Humphreys B. In: Tuanzebe A.
46'
56'
🟨Adams E.
62'
🔄Osborn B.
Out: Osborn B. In: Thompson L.
62'
🔄Brewster R.
Out: Brewster R. In: Weimann A.
62'
🔄Clark B.
Out: Clark B. In: Brown D.
Tchaouna L.🔄
Out: Tchaouna L. In: Banel J.
62'
Broja A.🔄
Out: Broja A. In: Barnes A.
63'
70'
🔄Ward J.
Out: Ward J. In: Wilson K.
Flemming Z.🔄
Out: Flemming Z. In: Tresor Ndayishimiye M.
78'
Sonne O.⚽
90'
Ramsey A.🟨
90'
4'
⚽
Ramsey A.
Burnley
35'
⚽
Clark B.
Derby
46'
🔄
Elder C.
Out: Elder C. | In: Clarke M.
Derby
46'
🔄
Humphreys B.
Out: Humphreys B. | In: Tuanzebe A.
Burnley
56'
🟨
Adams E.
Derby
62'
🔄
Osborn B.
Out: Osborn B. | In: Thompson L.
Derby
62'
🔄
Brewster R.
Out: Brewster R. | In: Weimann A.
Derby
62'
🔄
Clark B.
Out: Clark B. | In: Brown D.
Derby
62'
🔄
Tchaouna L.
Out: Tchaouna L. | In: Banel J.
Burnley
63'
🔄
Broja A.
Out: Broja A. | In: Barnes A.
Burnley
70'
🔄
Ward J.
Out: Ward J. | In: Wilson K.
Derby
78'
🔄
Flemming Z.
Out: Flemming Z. | In: Tresor Ndayishimiye M.
Burnley
90'
⚽
Sonne O.
Burnley
90'
🟨
Ramsey A.
Burnley
AI Prediction
Top Pick20%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 20%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 2:2.
Correct Score2:2
Win Probabilities
Burnley28%
Draw44%
Derby28%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the EFL Cup 2025/2026 is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Burnley (28%) and Derby (28%). Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Burnley's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Burnley
VS
Derby
Burnley
VS
Derby
1
Goals Scored
0.88
1
Goals Scored
0.88
1.88
Goals Conceded
1.75
1.88
Goals Conceded
1.75
1.14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
1.14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
75%
Over 1.5
88%
75%
Over 1.5
88%
63%
Over 2.5
63%
63%
Over 2.5
63%
38%
Over 3.5
13%
38%
Over 3.5
13%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 26.08.25 | BurnleyvsDerby | 2:1 |
| 08.04.25 | DerbyvsBurnley | 0:0 |
| 10.12.24 | BurnleyvsDerby | 0:0 |
| 25.01.16 | BurnleyvsDerby | 4:1 |
| 21.09.15 | DerbyvsBurnley | 0:0 |
Burnley Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12.09.26 | SwanseavsBurnley | 3:1L |
| 08.09.26 | WrexhamvsBurnley | 1:1D |
| 05.09.26 | BurnleyvsBristol City | 1:2L |
| 02.09.26 | BurnleyvsMiddlesbrough | 1:1D |
| 29.08.26 | NorwichvsBurnley | 4:1L |
Derby Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12.09.26 | DerbyvsBirmingham | 1:2L |
| 09.09.26 | DerbyvsWest Brom | 0:1L |
| 05.09.26 | West HamvsDerby | 3:0L |
| 01.09.26 | PortsmouthvsDerby | 0:2W |
| 29.08.26 | DerbyvsSwansea | 0:3L |