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EuropeUEFA Nations League 2024/2025
Oct 12, 16:00
DLWWW
WLWWL

Match Events

4'
🟨
Kolev A.
Bulgaria
18'
🟨
Curci A.
Luxembourg
20'
🟨
Antov V.
Bulgaria
27'
🟨
Martins C.
Luxembourg
36'
🟨
Carlson D.
Luxembourg
38'
🟨
Petkov A.
Bulgaria
45'
🟨
Atanasov Z.
Bulgaria
46'
🔄
Curci A.
Out: Curci A. | In: Rodrigues G.
Luxembourg
51'
🟨
Bohnert F.
Luxembourg
51'
🟨
Nurnberger F.
Bulgaria
60'
🟨
Rodrigues G.
Luxembourg
61'
🔄
Mica Pinto
Out: Mica Pinto | In: D'Anzico K.
Luxembourg
63'
🔄
Antov V.
Out: Antov V. | In: Dimitrov Z.
Bulgaria
63'
🔄
Kirilov R.
Out: Kirilov R. | In: Minchev M.
Bulgaria
64'
🟨
Kostadinov G.
Bulgaria
76'
🔄
Kolev A.
Out: Kolev A. | In: Minchev G.
Bulgaria
83'
🔄
Kostadinov G.
Out: Kostadinov G. | In: Chochev I.
Bulgaria
90'
🔄
Carlson D.
Out: Carlson D. | In: Martins M.
Luxembourg

AI Prediction

Top Pick70%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 70%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 1:0.
Correct Score1:0

Win Probabilities

Bulgaria64%
Draw16.5%
Luxembourg19.5%

Match Analysis

Bulgaria enters this match as the clear favorite with a 64% chance of securing a win. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:0. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Bulgaria's home ground.

Scoring Trends

Bulgaria
VS
Luxembourg
1.75
Goals Scored
0.75
2.63
Goals Conceded
1.63
1.59
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
88%
Over 1.5
75%
75%
Over 2.5
38%
38%
Over 3.5
25%

Head to Head Matches (H2H)

DateMatchScore
15.11.24
LuxembourgvsBulgaria
0:1
12.10.24
BulgariavsLuxembourg
0:0
20.11.22
LuxembourgvsBulgaria
0:0
10.10.17
LuxembourgvsBulgaria
1:1
06.09.16
BulgariavsLuxembourg
4:3

Bulgaria Last Matches

DateMatchScore
05.06.26
MoldovavsBulgaria
2:2D
01.06.26
BulgariavsMontenegro
0:1L
30.03.26
IndonesiavsBulgaria
0:1W
27.03.26
Solomon IslandsvsBulgaria
2:10W
18.11.25
BulgariavsGeorgia
2:1W

Luxembourg Last Matches

DateMatchScore
06.06.26
AlbaniavsLuxembourg
0:1W
03.06.26
LuxembourgvsItaly
0:1L
31.03.26
LuxembourgvsMalta
3:0W
26.03.26
MaltavsLuxembourg
0:2W
17.11.25
Northern IrelandvsLuxembourg
1:0L

Group 1

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Sweden
651019:416
2
Slovakia
641110:513
3
Estonia
61143:94
4
Azerbaijan
60153:171

Group 2

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Romania
660018:318
2
Kosovo
640210:712
3
Cyprus
62044:156
4
Lithuania
60064:110

Group 3

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
Northern Ireland
632111:311
2
Bulgaria
62313:69
3
Belarus
61413:47
4
Luxembourg
60333:73

Group 4

#TeamPLWDLGDPts
1
North Macedonia
651010:116
2
Armenia
62138:97
3
Faroe Islands
61325:66
4
Latvia
61144:114