Boulogne vs Bastia Prediction & Stats

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France•Ligue 2 2025/2026

Tuesday, Sep 16, 2025, 17:00Sep 16, 17:00

Bastia

DLLLL

LWDWL

Match Events

Capuano G.🟨

17'

19'

🟨Etoga L.

41'

🟨Ducrocq T.

Siliadin L.🟨

42'

Siliadin L.🔄

Out: Siliadin L. In: Platret A.

57'

62'

🔄Karamoko I.

Out: Karamoko I. In: Zaouai A.

Fatar N.🔄

Out: Fatar N. In: Mpembele Boula E.

65'

Kouassi E.🔄

Out: Kouassi E. In: Boyer J.

65'

76'

🔄Sebas J.

Out: Sebas J. In: Aiki A.

76'

🔄Tomi F.

Out: Tomi F. In: Ble M.

Capuano G.🔄

Out: Capuano G. In: Fatou C.

79'

Bultel J.🔄

Out: Bultel J. In: Duflos S.

79'

Duflos S.🟨

80'

Mpembele Boula E.⚽

82'

84'

🔄Roncaglia A.

Out: Roncaglia A. In: Guevara J.

85'

🔄Etoga L.

Out: Etoga L. In: Bathily Y.

86'

🟨Ble M.

87'

🟨Guevara J.

17'

🟨

Capuano G.

Boulogne

19'

🟨

Etoga L.

Bastia

41'

🟨

Ducrocq T.

Bastia

42'

🟨

Siliadin L.

Boulogne

57'

🔄

Siliadin L.

Out: Siliadin L. | In: Platret A.

Boulogne

62'

🔄

Karamoko I.

Out: Karamoko I. | In: Zaouai A.

Bastia

65'

🔄

Fatar N.

Out: Fatar N. | In: Mpembele Boula E.

Boulogne

65'

🔄

Kouassi E.

Out: Kouassi E. | In: Boyer J.

Boulogne

76'

🔄

Sebas J.

Out: Sebas J. | In: Aiki A.

Bastia

76'

🔄

Tomi F.

Out: Tomi F. | In: Ble M.

Bastia

79'

🔄

Capuano G.

Out: Capuano G. | In: Fatou C.

Boulogne

79'

🔄

Bultel J.

Out: Bultel J. | In: Duflos S.

Boulogne

80'

🟨

Duflos S.

Boulogne

82'

⚽

Mpembele Boula E.

Boulogne

84'

🔄

Roncaglia A.

Out: Roncaglia A. | In: Guevara J.

Bastia

85'

🔄

Etoga L.

Out: Etoga L. | In: Bathily Y.

Bastia

86'

🟨

Ble M.

Bastia

87'

🟨

Guevara J.

Bastia

AI Prediction

Top Pick40%

Draw (X)

AI prediction points: 40%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 1:1.

Correct Score1:1

Win Probabilities

Boulogne26%

Draw48%

Bastia26%

Match Analysis

This matchup in the Ligue 2 2025/2026 is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Boulogne (26%) and Bastia (26%). Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:1. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Boulogne's home ground.

Scoring Trends

Boulogne

Bastia

Boulogne

Bastia

0.63

Goals Scored

1.13

0.63

Goals Scored

1.13

1.38

Goals Conceded

1.25

1.38

Goals Conceded

1.25

0.76

Expected Goals (xG)

1.01

0.76

Expected Goals (xG)

1.01

38%

Over 1.5

75%

38%

Over 1.5

75%

38%

Over 2.5

13%

38%

Over 2.5

13%

Over 3.5

13%

Over 3.5

13%

Head to Head Matches (H2H)

Date	Match	Score
13.03.26	BastiavsBoulogne	0:1
16.09.25	BoulognevsBastia	1:0
22.01.21	BoulognevsBastia	1:2
03.09.20	BastiavsBoulogne	0:1
12.01.18	BoulognevsBastia	0:0

Boulogne Last Matches

Date	Match	Score
04.07.26	AnderlechtvsBoulogne	0:0D
09.05.26	LavalvsBoulogne	2:1L
02.05.26	BoulognevsAnnecy	1:2L
27.04.26	BoulognevsDunkerque	2:6L
18.04.26	TroyesvsBoulogne	1:0L

Bastia Last Matches

Date	Match	Score
09.05.26	BastiavsLe Mans	0:2L
02.05.26	GuingampvsBastia	0:1W
24.04.26	ClermontvsBastia	1:1D
18.04.26	BastiavsSt Etienne	2:0W
11.04.26	Red StarvsBastia	4:3L

Group A

#	Team	PL	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Troyes	34	20	7	7	60:33	67
2	Le Mans	34	16	14	4	50:31	62
3	St Etienne	34	18	6	10	59:38	60
4	Red Star	34	16	10	8	45:37	58
5	Rodez	34	15	13	6	45:39	58
6	Reims	34	14	14	6	53:35	56
7	Annecy	34	15	7	12	49:39	52
8	Montpellier	34	14	9	11	41:31	51
9	Pau	34	12	9	13	48:62	45
10	Dunkerque	34	11	10	13	53:45	43
11	Guingamp	34	10	10	14	42:49	40
12	Grenoble	34	8	15	11	33:39	39
13	Clermont	34	9	10	15	38:44	37
14	Nancy	34	9	10	15	35:52	37
15	Boulogne	34	9	9	16	34:49	36
16	Laval	34	6	14	14	30:48	32
17	Bastia	34	5	13	16	23:39	28
18	Amiens SC	34	6	6	22	37:65	24
19	AC Ajaccio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

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