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Mozambique•Mocambola 2025
Tuesday, Sep 23, 2025, 12:45Sep 23, 12:45
DWDDD
LLDLD
AI Prediction
Top Pick90%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 90%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 1:0.
Correct Score1:0
Win Probabilities
Baia de Pemba68%
Draw15.5%
Ferroviario Nacala16.5%
Match Analysis
Baia de Pemba enters this match as the clear favorite with a 68% chance of securing a win. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:0. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Baia de Pemba's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Baia de Pemba
VS
Ferroviario Nacala
Baia de Pemba
VS
Ferroviario Nacala
0.63
Goals Scored
0.75
0.63
Goals Scored
0.75
0.88
Goals Conceded
0.5
0.88
Goals Conceded
0.5
0.55
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
0.55
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
38%
Over 1.5
38%
38%
Over 1.5
38%
25%
Over 2.5
13%
25%
Over 2.5
13%
13%
Over 3.5
13%
13%
Over 3.5
13%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14.05.26 | Ferroviario NacalavsBaia de Pemba | 1:0 |
| 23.09.25 | Baia de PembavsFerroviario Nacala | 3:0 |
| 05.07.25 | Ferroviario NacalavsBaia de Pemba | 1:0 |
| 19.08.23 | Baia de PembavsFerroviario Nacala | 1:0 |
| 06.05.23 | Ferroviario NacalavsBaia de Pemba | 0:1 |
Baia de Pemba Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 29.07.26 | Baia de PembavsSofala | 0:0D |
| 25.07.26 | Baia de PembavsFerroviario Beira | 2:1W |
| 01.07.26 | Chingale de TetevsBaia de Pemba | 0:0D |
| 26.06.26 | UD SongovsBaia de Pemba | 1:1D |
| 18.06.26 | Baia de PembavsENH Vilankulo | 2:2D |
Ferroviario Nacala Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 05.08.26 | Costa do SolvsFerroviario Nacala | 3:0L |
| 01.08.26 | Ferroviario NacalavsChingale de Tete | 0:1L |
| 27.07.26 | Ferroviario NacalavsUD Songo | 0:0D |
| 03.07.26 | Ferroviario BeiravsFerroviario Nacala | 2:0L |
| 29.06.26 | SofalavsFerroviario Nacala | 0:0D |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Songo | 22 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 50:13 | 57 |
| 2 | Associacao Black Bulls | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 35:26 | 39 |
| 3 | Ferroviario Beira | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 19:13 | 37 |
| 4 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 38:31 | 34 |
| 5 | Ferroviario Maputo | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 25:18 | 33 |
| 6 | Baia de Pemba | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 24:21 | 32 |
| 7 | ENH Vilankulo | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 22:21 | 31 |
| 8 | Costa do Sol | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 18:18 | 31 |
| 9 | Ferroviario Nacala | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 16:17 | 31 |
| 10 | Chingale de Tete | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 22:21 | 27 |
| 11 | Ferroviario Nampula | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:29 | 26 |
| 12 | Textafrica | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:30 | 20 |
| 13 | Desportivo de Nacala | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 13:31 | 12 |
| 14 | Desportivo Matola | 22 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 11:40 | 10 |