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Mozambique•Mocambola 2025
Saturday, Sep 27, 2025, 13:00Sep 27, 13:00
DDLLL
LWLLL
Match Events
Carrelo J.⚽
26'
Cipriano S.⚽
79'
26'
⚽
Carrelo J.
Baia de Pemba
79'
⚽
Cipriano S.
Baia de Pemba
AI Prediction
Top Pick30%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 30%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 2:2.
Correct Score2:2
Win Probabilities
Baia de Pemba27%
Draw46%
Desportivo Matola27%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Mocambola 2025 is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Baia de Pemba (27%) and Desportivo Matola (27%). Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Baia de Pemba's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Baia de Pemba
VS
Desportivo Matola
Baia de Pemba
VS
Desportivo Matola
0.5
Goals Scored
0.33
0.5
Goals Scored
0.33
0.75
Goals Conceded
0.67
0.75
Goals Conceded
0.67
0.51
Expected Goals (xG)
0.39
0.51
Expected Goals (xG)
0.39
25%
Over 1.5
33%
25%
Over 1.5
33%
25%
Over 2.5
33%
25%
Over 2.5
33%
13%
Over 3.5
0%
13%
Over 3.5
0%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 27.09.25 | Baia de PembavsDesportivo Matola | 2:0 |
| 20.05.25 | Desportivo MatolavsBaia de Pemba | 0:1 |
Baia de Pemba Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 26.06.26 | UD SongovsBaia de Pemba | 1:1D |
| 18.06.26 | Baia de PembavsENH Vilankulo | 2:2D |
| 24.05.26 | Ferroviario LichingavsBaia de Pemba | 1:0L |
| 14.05.26 | Ferroviario NacalavsBaia de Pemba | 1:0L |
| 10.05.26 | Ferroviario NampulavsBaia de Pemba | 1:0L |
Desportivo Matola Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23.11.25 | Ferroviario NacalavsDesportivo Matola | 3:0L |
| 16.11.25 | Desportivo MatolavsDesportivo de Nacala | 2:1W |
| 08.11.25 | Chingale de TetevsDesportivo Matola | 3:0L |
| 28.10.25 | Desportivo MatolavsUD Songo | 0:4L |
| 25.10.25 | Costa do SolvsDesportivo Matola | 2:1L |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Songo | 22 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 50:13 | 57 |
| 2 | Associacao Black Bulls | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 35:26 | 39 |
| 3 | Ferroviario Beira | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 19:13 | 37 |
| 4 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 38:31 | 34 |
| 5 | Ferroviario Maputo | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 25:18 | 33 |
| 6 | Baia de Pemba | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 24:21 | 32 |
| 7 | ENH Vilankulo | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 22:21 | 31 |
| 8 | Costa do Sol | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 18:18 | 31 |
| 9 | Ferroviario Nacala | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 16:17 | 31 |
| 10 | Chingale de Tete | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 22:21 | 27 |
| 11 | Ferroviario Nampula | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:29 | 26 |
| 12 | Textafrica | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:30 | 20 |
| 13 | Desportivo de Nacala | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 13:31 | 12 |
| 14 | Desportivo Matola | 22 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 11:40 | 10 |