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Mozambique•Mocambola 2025
Sunday, Dec 14, 2025, 13:00Dec 14, 13:00
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AI Prediction
Top Pick20%
Draw (X)
AI prediction points: 20%. Pick: Draw (X). Correct Score: 2:2.
Correct Score2:2
Win Probabilities
Baia de Pemba28%
Draw44%
Desportivo de Nacala28%
Match Analysis
This matchup in the Mocambola 2025 is expected to be a tight contest, with the win probabilities nearly split between Baia de Pemba (28%) and Desportivo de Nacala (28%). Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Draw (X), predicting a likely scoreline of 2:2. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Baia de Pemba's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Baia de Pemba
VS
Desportivo de Nacala
Baia de Pemba
VS
Desportivo de Nacala
0.5
Goals Scored
0.29
0.5
Goals Scored
0.29
0.75
Goals Conceded
0.86
0.75
Goals Conceded
0.86
0.57
Expected Goals (xG)
0.37
0.57
Expected Goals (xG)
0.37
25%
Over 1.5
29%
25%
Over 1.5
29%
25%
Over 2.5
29%
25%
Over 2.5
29%
13%
Over 3.5
14%
13%
Over 3.5
14%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14.12.25 | Baia de PembavsDesportivo de Nacala | 0:0 |
| 24.08.25 | Desportivo de NacalavsBaia de Pemba | 0:0 |
| 15.09.24 | Desportivo de NacalavsBaia de Pemba | 1:0 |
| 19.05.24 | Baia de PembavsDesportivo de Nacala | 1:1 |
| 21.08.19 | Baia de PembavsDesportivo de Nacala | 3:1 |
Baia de Pemba Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 26.06.26 | UD SongovsBaia de Pemba | 1:1D |
| 18.06.26 | Baia de PembavsENH Vilankulo | 2:2D |
| 24.05.26 | Ferroviario LichingavsBaia de Pemba | 1:0L |
| 14.05.26 | Ferroviario NacalavsBaia de Pemba | 1:0L |
| 10.05.26 | Ferroviario NampulavsBaia de Pemba | 1:0L |
Desportivo de Nacala Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23.11.25 | TextafricavsDesportivo de Nacala | 3:1L |
| 16.11.25 | Desportivo MatolavsDesportivo de Nacala | 2:1L |
| 12.11.25 | Ferroviario MaputovsDesportivo de Nacala | 1:0L |
| 09.11.25 | ENH VilankulovsDesportivo de Nacala | 0:0D |
| 24.10.25 | Desportivo de NacalavsFerroviario Lichinga | 2:2D |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Songo | 22 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 50:13 | 57 |
| 2 | Associacao Black Bulls | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 35:26 | 39 |
| 3 | Ferroviario Beira | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 19:13 | 37 |
| 4 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 38:31 | 34 |
| 5 | Ferroviario Maputo | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 25:18 | 33 |
| 6 | Baia de Pemba | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 24:21 | 32 |
| 7 | ENH Vilankulo | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 22:21 | 31 |
| 8 | Costa do Sol | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 18:18 | 31 |
| 9 | Ferroviario Nacala | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 16:17 | 31 |
| 10 | Chingale de Tete | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 22:21 | 27 |
| 11 | Ferroviario Nampula | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:29 | 26 |
| 12 | Textafrica | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:30 | 20 |
| 13 | Desportivo de Nacala | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 13:31 | 12 |
| 14 | Desportivo Matola | 22 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 11:40 | 10 |