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Ethiopia•Premier League 2025/2026
Sunday, May 10, 2026, 12:00May 10, 12:00
WLWDL
LLDWL
AI Prediction
Top Pick100%
Home Win (1)
AI prediction points: 100%. Pick: Home Win (1). Correct Score: 1:0.
Correct Score1:0
Win Probabilities
Bahir Dar Kenema70%
Draw15%
Welwalo Adigrat15%
Match Analysis
Bahir Dar Kenema enters this match as the clear favorite with a 70% chance of securing a win. Defenses could be on top here, with stats suggesting a lower-scoring game. Our AI model recommends backing Home Win (1), predicting a likely scoreline of 1:0. Taking into account recent form and head-to-head data, this promises to be an intriguing battle at Bahir Dar Kenema's home ground.
Scoring Trends
Bahir Dar Kenema
VS
Welwalo Adigrat
Bahir Dar Kenema
VS
Welwalo Adigrat
0.75
Goals Scored
1.13
0.75
Goals Scored
1.13
0.63
Goals Conceded
1.25
0.63
Goals Conceded
1.25
0.84
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
0.84
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
25%
Over 1.5
75%
25%
Over 1.5
75%
25%
Over 2.5
38%
25%
Over 2.5
38%
25%
Over 3.5
25%
25%
Over 3.5
25%
Head to Head Matches (H2H)
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 24.10.26 | Bahir Dar KenemavsWelwalo Adigrat | 0:0 |
| 10.05.26 | Bahir Dar KenemavsWelwalo Adigrat | 0:0 |
| 29.12.25 | Welwalo AdigratvsBahir Dar Kenema | 0:0 |
| 25.06.25 | Bahir Dar KenemavsWelwalo Adigrat | 3:0 |
| 21.09.24 | Welwalo AdigratvsBahir Dar Kenema | 0:1 |
Bahir Dar Kenema Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 22.10.26 | Welayta DichavsBahir Dar Kenema | 1:3W |
| 16.10.26 | Halaba Ketema FCvsBahir Dar Kenema | 1:0L |
| 11.10.26 | Hadiya HossanavsBahir Dar Kenema | 0:1W |
| 03.07.26 | Ethiopia Nigd BankvsBahir Dar Kenema | 2:2D |
| 28.06.26 | Bahir Dar KenemavsSidama Bunna | 0:1L |
Welwalo Adigrat Last Matches
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 24.10.26 | Al Ahly TripolivsWelwalo Adigrat | 4:1L |
| 16.10.26 | Welwalo AdigratvsAl Ahly Tripoli | 0:4L |
| 09.10.26 | Halaba Ketema FCvsWelwalo Adigrat | 1:1D |
| 12.09.26 | Welwalo AdigratvsHilal Alsahil | 3:1W |
| 04.09.26 | Hilal AlsahilvsWelwalo Adigrat | 2:1L |
Group A
| # | Team | PL | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |